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Electric vehicle deployment & fossil fuel tax revenue in Mexico to 2050

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  • Bonilla, David
  • Arias Soberon, Héctor
  • Galarza, Oscar Ugarteche

Abstract

We assess the changes in Mexico's privately owned vehicle fleet and tax losses (fuel duty on gasoline) associated to the deployment of electric vehicles (EVs) through a diffusion model. Our projections for 2050 focus on a) electricity use of EVs, b) gasoline use and c) revenue for Mexico's treasury. The model uses population growth and vehicles sales to project two items: a) EV diffusion and b) substitution rates of ICVs with EVs. The equation uses vehicle km travelled and average consumption of fuel to calculate gasoline use of vehicles.

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  • Bonilla, David & Arias Soberon, Héctor & Galarza, Oscar Ugarteche, 2022. "Electric vehicle deployment & fossil fuel tax revenue in Mexico to 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:171:y:2022:i:c:s0301421522004955
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113276
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Leslie Cardoza Cedillo & Michelle Montoya & Mónica Jaldón & Ma Guadalupe Paredes, 2023. "GHG Emission Accounting and Reduction Strategies in the Academic Sector: A Case Study in Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Chang, Sung-Eun & Woo, JongRoul, 2024. "Are electric vehicle users willing to pay tax for charging electric vehicles? A case study of South Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).

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