IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v246y2015i2p619-630.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A moment-matching method to generate arbitrage-free scenarios

Author

Listed:
  • Staino, Alessandro
  • Russo, Emilio

Abstract

We propose a new moment-matching method to build scenario trees that rule out arbitrage opportunities when describing the dynamics of financial assets. The proposed scenario generator is based on the monomial method, a technique to solve systems of algebraic equations. Extensive numerical experiments show the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed moment-matching method when solving financial problems in complete and incomplete markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Staino, Alessandro & Russo, Emilio, 2015. "A moment-matching method to generate arbitrage-free scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 246(2), pages 619-630.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:246:y:2015:i:2:p:619-630
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.04.045
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221715003653
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.04.045?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michal Kaut & Hercules Vladimirou & Stein W. Wallace & Stavros A. Zenios, 2007. "Stability analysis of portfolio management with conditional value-at-risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(4), pages 397-409.
    2. Consiglio, Andrea & Carollo, Angelo & Zenios, Stavros A., 2014. "Generating Multi-factor Arbitrage-Free Scenario Trees with Global Optimization," Working Papers 13-35, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    3. Ronald Hochreiter & Georg Pflug, 2007. "Financial scenario generation for stochastic multi-stage decision processes as facility location problems," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 152(1), pages 257-272, July.
    4. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "No-arbitrage bounds for financial scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 657-663.
    5. M.A.H. Dempster & R.T. Thompson, 1999. "EVPI‐based importance sampling solution proceduresfor multistage stochastic linear programmeson parallel MIMD architectures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 90(0), pages 161-184, January.
    6. Kjetil Høyland & Stein W. Wallace, 2001. "Generating Scenario Trees for Multistage Decision Problems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 295-307, February.
    7. Klaassen, Pieter, 1997. "Discretized reality and spurious profits in stochastic programming models for asset/liability management," Serie Research Memoranda 0011, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    8. Klaassen, Pieter, 1997. "Discretized reality and spurious profits in stochastic programming models for asset/liability management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 374-392, September.
    9. Gulpinar, Nalan & Rustem, Berc & Settergren, Reuben, 2004. "Simulation and optimization approaches to scenario tree generation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1291-1315, April.
    10. Golub, Bennett & Holmer, Martin & McKendall, Raymond & Pohlman, Lawrence & Zenios, Stavros A., 1995. "A stochastic programming model for money management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 282-296, September.
    11. Jacek Gondzio & Roy Kouwenberg, 2001. "High-Performance Computing for Asset-Liability Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(6), pages 879-891, December.
    12. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2010. "No-arbitrage conditions, scenario trees, and multi-asset financial optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 206(3), pages 609-613, November.
    13. Pieter Klaassen, 2002. "Comment on "Generating Scenario Trees for Multistage Decision Problems"," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(11), pages 1512-1516, November.
    14. Pieter Klaassen, 1998. "Financial Asset-Pricing Theory and Stochastic Programming Models for Asset/Liability Management: A Synthesis," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 31-48, January.
    15. Jitka Dupačová & Giorgio Consigli & Stein Wallace, 2000. "Scenarios for Multistage Stochastic Programs," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 100(1), pages 25-53, December.
    16. Alois Geyer & William T. Ziemba, 2008. "The Innovest Austrian Pension Fund Financial Planning Model InnoALM," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(4), pages 797-810, August.
    17. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    18. M. I. Kusy & W. T. Ziemba, 1986. "A Bank Asset and Liability Management Model," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(3), pages 356-376, June.
    19. Stephen P. Bradley & Dwight B. Crane, 1972. "A Dynamic Model for Bond Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 139-151, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Jinkyu & Bae, Sanghyeon & Kim, Woo Chang & Lee, Yongjae, 2023. "Value function gradient learning for large-scale multistage stochastic programming problems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 321-335.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2010. "No-arbitrage conditions, scenario trees, and multi-asset financial optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 206(3), pages 609-613, November.
    2. Robert Ferstl & Alex Weissensteiner, 2010. "Cash management using multi-stage stochastic programming," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 209-219.
    3. Libo Yin & Liyan Han, 2013. "Options strategies for international portfolios with overall risk management via multi-stage stochastic programming," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 206(1), pages 557-576, July.
    4. ManMohan S. Sodhi, 2005. "LP Modeling for Asset-Liability Management: A Survey of Choices and Simplifications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 53(2), pages 181-196, April.
    5. Robert Ferstl & Alexander Weissensteiner, 2011. "Backtesting Short-Term Treasury Management Strategies Based on Multi-Stage Stochastic Programming," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Gautam Mitra & Katharina Schwaiger (ed.), Asset and Liability Management Handbook, chapter 19, pages 469-494, Palgrave Macmillan.
    6. Sodhi, ManMohan S. & Tang, Christopher S., 2009. "Modeling supply-chain planning under demand uncertainty using stochastic programming: A survey motivated by asset-liability management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 728-738, October.
    7. Barro, Diana & Consigli, Giorgio & Varun, Vivek, 2022. "A stochastic programming model for dynamic portfolio management with financial derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Consiglio, Andrea & Carollo, Angelo & Zenios, Stavros A., 2014. "Generating Multi-factor Arbitrage-Free Scenario Trees with Global Optimization," Working Papers 13-35, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    9. de Lange, Petter E. & Fleten, Stein-Erik & Gaivoronski, Alexei A., 2004. "Modeling financial reinsurance in the casualty insurance business via stochastic programming," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 991-1012, February.
    10. Owadally, Iqbal & Jang, Chul & Clare, Andrew, 2021. "Optimal investment for a retirement plan with deferred annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 51-62.
    11. Gulpinar, Nalan & Rustem, Berc & Settergren, Reuben, 2004. "Simulation and optimization approaches to scenario tree generation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(7), pages 1291-1315, April.
    12. Ferstl, Robert & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2011. "Asset-liability management under time-varying investment opportunities," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 182-192, January.
    13. Topaloglou, Nikolas & Vladimirou, Hercules & Zenios, Stavros A., 2008. "A dynamic stochastic programming model for international portfolio management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1501-1524, March.
    14. Mitra, Sovan & Lim, Sungmook & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas, 2019. "Regression based scenario generation: Applications for performance management," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C).
    15. Geyer, Alois & Hanke, Michael & Weissensteiner, Alex, 2014. "No-arbitrage bounds for financial scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 657-663.
    16. Pieter Klaassen, 2002. "Comment on "Generating Scenario Trees for Multistage Decision Problems"," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(11), pages 1512-1516, November.
    17. Owadally, Iqbal & Jang, Chul & Clare, Andrew, 2021. "Optimal investment for a retirement plan with deferred annuities allowing for inflation and labour income risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(3), pages 1132-1146.
    18. Anne Pedersen & Alex Weissensteiner & Rolf Poulsen, 2013. "Financial planning for young households," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 205(1), pages 55-76, May.
    19. Ponomareva, K. & Roman, D. & Date, P., 2015. "An algorithm for moment-matching scenario generation with application to financial portfolio optimisation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 240(3), pages 678-687.
    20. Chul Jang & Andrew Clare & Iqbal Owadally, 2024. "Liability-driven investment for pension funds: stochastic optimization with real assets," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 1-32, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:246:y:2015:i:2:p:619-630. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.