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Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes

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  • Lee, Yoon-Jin
  • Okui, Ryo
  • Shintani, Mototsugu

Abstract

In this paper we consider the estimation of a dynamic panel autoregressive (AR) process of possibly infinite order in the presence of individual effects. We employ double asymptotics under which both the cross-sectional sample size and the length of time series tend to infinity and utilize the sieve AR approximation with its lag order increasing with the sample size. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the fixed effects estimator and propose a bias-corrected fixed effects estimator based on a theoretical asymptotic bias term. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate the usefulness of bias correction. As an illustration, the proposed methods are applied to dynamic panel estimation of the law of one price deviations among US cities.

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  • Lee, Yoon-Jin & Okui, Ryo & Shintani, Mototsugu, 2018. "Asymptotic inference for dynamic panel estimators of infinite order autoregressive processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 204(2), pages 147-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:204:y:2018:i:2:p:147-158
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2017.04.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Okui, Ryo & Yanagi, Takahide, 2019. "Panel data analysis with heterogeneous dynamics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 212(2), pages 451-475.
    2. Ryo Okui & Takahide Yanagi, 2020. "Kernel estimation for panel data with heterogeneous dynamics," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(1), pages 156-175.
    3. Abhimanyu Gupta & Myung Hwan Seo, 2023. "Robust Inference on Infinite and Growing Dimensional Time‐Series Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 91(4), pages 1333-1361, July.
    4. Greenaway-McGrevy, Ryan, 2022. "Forecast combination for VARs in large N and T panels," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 142-164.
    5. Juan Sebastian Cubillos-Rocha & Luis Fernando Melo-Velandia, 2018. "Asymptotically unbiased inference for a panel VAR model with p lags," Borradores de Economia 1059, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Lu, Xun & Su, Liangjun, 2020. "Determining individual or time effects in panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 60-83.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Autoregressive sieve estimation; Bias correction; Double asymptotics; Fixed effects estimator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation

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