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The effect of landscape, transmission mode and social behavior on disease transmission: Simulating the transmission of chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) populations using a spatially explicit agent-based model

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  • Kjær, Lene J.
  • Schauber, Eric M.

Abstract

We developed a spatially explicit agent-based model (ABM), DeerLandscapeDisease (DLD), to investigate the effects of landscape structure, disease transmission, and management alternatives on dynamics of chronic wasting disease (CWD) in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus). We fitted biased random walk models to data from GPS-collared deer to simulate movements of individual deer and deer groups in an agricultural landscape with fragmented forest patches and a forest-dominated landscape. We estimated behavioral and demographic parameters from field data and published literature of deer ecology. We considered both direct and indirect transmission routes and assumed that bioavailability of infectious pathogens deposited in the environment decreased exponentially over time. We tuned transmission parameters to match observed trajectories of CWD prevalence in Wisconsin, and assumed that infection probability during an encounter was equal for all age classes. Thus, infection prevalence varied with sex- and age-specific behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Kjær, Lene J. & Schauber, Eric M., 2022. "The effect of landscape, transmission mode and social behavior on disease transmission: Simulating the transmission of chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) populations," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 472(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:472:y:2022:i:c:s0304380022002162
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110114
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta & DeAngelis, Donald L. & Polhill, J. Gary & Giske, Jarl & Railsback, Steven F., 2010. "The ODD protocol: A review and first update," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(23), pages 2760-2768.
    5. John M Drake, 2005. "Density-Dependent Demographic Variation Determines Extinction Rate of Experimental Populations," PLOS Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(7), pages 1-1, June.
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