IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v345y2017icp56-62.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Delineating the ecological conservation redline based on the persistence of key species: Giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) inhabiting the Qinling Mountains

Author

Listed:
  • Gong, Minghao
  • Fan, Zhiyong
  • Wang, Junyan
  • Liu, Gang
  • Lin, Chen

Abstract

To effectively resolve conflicts between natural resources and environmental protection and guarantee ecological safety, the Chinese government has proposed a national strategy to delineate ecological conservation redlines (ECRs). The ECR is defined as the least amount of area needed to guarantee the national and regional ecological safety of ecosystem services and implementation of strict mandatory protection policy. Because this was piloted by government and theoretical study has lagged, there remains no fully accepted ECR delineation framework. Being neglected in the current delineating guidelines for ECR, we focused on ECR delineation of the Qinling Mountains based on the sustainable survival needs of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) to explore the ECR delineation approach with species persistence. We define the concepts of basic, current and future ECR, and set the principals and procedures for ECR delineation based on the historical and current giant panda population range, current and future habitat modeling with data from national giant panda surveys, and the impacts of climate change. Our results indicate that the basic ECR is 369,531ha; the current ECR is 422,149ha with 33,498ha of suitable and sub-suitable habitat from the basic ECR covering 67% of current giant panda reserves. The future ECR in 2050 is 516,838ha with 109,990ha future suitable and sub-suitable habitat based on current ECR and covers 84% of current reserves. As the foundation of an ecosystem, species deserve to be an important basis when delineating ECR. Concentrating on the needs of long-term species survival, rich and powerful study of target species’ biology makes ECR delineation feasible and operational, while strengthening theoretical and scientific support at better temporal and spatial scales. The approach and index system employed here is a scientific framework for ECR delineation, especially given the temporal scale of population and habitat, and the main driving factors for future habitat dynamics. This method avoids the complicated process of ecological assessment. We hope our methods and reasoning can be incorporated into national guidelines and applied to ECR delineation across China.

Suggested Citation

  • Gong, Minghao & Fan, Zhiyong & Wang, Junyan & Liu, Gang & Lin, Chen, 2017. "Delineating the ecological conservation redline based on the persistence of key species: Giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) inhabiting the Qinling Mountains," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 56-62.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:345:y:2017:i:c:p:56-62
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.011
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380016304343
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.011?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ilkka Hanski & Otso Ovaskainen, 2000. "The metapopulation capacity of a fragmented landscape," Nature, Nature, vol. 404(6779), pages 755-758, April.
    2. Fan, Juntao & Li, Junsheng & Xia, Rui & Hu, Lile & Wu, Xiaopu & Li, Guo, 2014. "Assessing the impact of climate change on the habitat distribution of the giant panda in the Qinling Mountains of China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 274(C), pages 12-20.
    3. Mao-Ning Tuanmu & Andrés Viña & Julie A. Winkler & Yu Li & Weihua Xu & Zhiyun Ouyang & Jianguo Liu, 2013. "Climate-change impacts on understorey bamboo species and giant pandas in China’s Qinling Mountains," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(3), pages 249-253, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Hongjuan & Gao, Yan & Hua, Yawei & Zhang, Yue & Liu, Kang, 2019. "Assessing and mapping recreationists’ perceived social values for ecosystem services in the Qinling Mountains, China," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    2. Liu, Haoqi & Li, Weide & Lv, Guanghui, 2019. "How nonrandom habitat loss affects nature reserve planning strategies," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 397(C), pages 39-46.
    3. Jiang, Bo & Bai, Yang & Wong, Christina P. & Xu, Xibao & Alatalo, Juha M., 2019. "China’s ecological civilization program–Implementing ecological redline policy," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 111-114.
    4. Chao Zhang & Dayi Lin & Lixia Wang & Haiguang Hao & Yuanyuan Li, 2022. "The Effects of the Ecological Conservation Redline in China: A Case Study in Anji County," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-13, June.
    5. Liu, Haoqi & Li, Weide & Lv, Guanghui, 2017. "The design of nature reserves in the face of habitat loss," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 358(C), pages 50-58.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jing Zhen & Xinyuan Wang & Qingkai Meng & Jingwei Song & Ying Liao & Bo Xiang & Huadong Guo & Chuansheng Liu & Ruixia Yang & Lei Luo, 2018. "Fine-Scale Evaluation of Giant Panda Habitats and Countermeasures against the Future Impacts of Climate Change and Human Disturbance (2015–2050): A Case Study in Ya’an, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-19, April.
    2. Laguna, M.F. & Abramson, G. & Kuperman, M.N. & Lanata, J.L. & Monjeau, J.A., 2015. "Mathematical model of livestock and wildlife: Predation and competition under environmental disturbances," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 309, pages 110-117.
    3. Joyce Maschinski & Michael Ross & Hong Liu & Joe O’Brien & Eric Wettberg & Kristin Haskins, 2011. "Sinking ships: conservation options for endemic taxa threatened by sea level rise," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 147-167, July.
    4. Cornell, Stephen J. & Ovaskainen, Otso, 2008. "Exact asymptotic analysis for metapopulation dynamics on correlated dynamic landscapes," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 74(3), pages 209-225.
    5. Christensen, Claire & Albert, István & Grenfell, Bryan & Albert, Réka, 2010. "Disease dynamics in a dynamic social network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(13), pages 2663-2674.
    6. Bodin, Örjan & Saura, Santiago, 2010. "Ranking individual habitat patches as connectivity providers: Integrating network analysis and patch removal experiments," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(19), pages 2393-2405.
    7. Ohlmann, Marc & Munoz, François & Massol, François & Thuiller, Wilfried, 2024. "Assessing mutualistic metacommunity capacity by integrating spatial and interaction networks," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 22-39.
    8. Gaaff, Aris & Reinhard, Stijn, 2012. "Incorporating the value of ecological networks into cost–benefit analysis to improve spatially explicit land-use planning," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 66-74.
    9. Munoz, François & Cheptou, Pierre-Olivier & Kjellberg, Finn, 2007. "Spectral analysis of simulated species distribution maps provides insights into metapopulation dynamics," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 205(3), pages 314-322.
    10. Ventura, Paulo C. & Tokuda, Eric K. & da F. Costa, Luciano & Rodrigues, Francisco A., 2023. "A Markov chain for metapopulations of small sizes with attraction landscape," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    11. Elina Numminen & Anna-Liisa Laine, 2020. "The spread of a wild plant pathogen is driven by the road network," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, March.
    12. Alexander Korotkov & Sergei Petrovskii, 2023. "Extinctions in a Metapopulation with Nonlinear Dispersal Coupling," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-22, October.
    13. Xingzhao Liu & Guimei Yang & Qingmin Que & Qi Wang & Zengke Zhang & Liujing Huang, 2022. "How Do Landscape Heterogeneity, Community Structure, and Topographical Factors Contribute to the Plant Diversity of Urban Remnant Vegetation at Different Scales?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-20, November.
    14. Bode, Michael & Burrage, Kevin & Possingham, Hugh P., 2008. "Using complex network metrics to predict the persistence of metapopulations with asymmetric connectivity patterns," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 201-209.
    15. Vuilleumier, S. & Goudet, J. & Perrin, N., 2010. "Evolution in heterogeneous populations: From migration models to fixation probabilities," Theoretical Population Biology, Elsevier, vol. 78(4), pages 250-258.
    16. Jacopo Grilli & György Barabás & Stefano Allesina, 2015. "Metapopulation Persistence in Random Fragmented Landscapes," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(5), pages 1-13, May.
    17. Zamberletti, Patrizia & Zaffaroni, Marta & Accatino, Francesco & Creed, Irena F. & De Michele, Carlo, 2018. "Connectivity among wetlands matters for vulnerable amphibian populations in wetlandscapes," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 384(C), pages 119-127.
    18. Baveco, Johannes M. & Kuipers, Harold & Nolet, Bart A., 2011. "A large-scale multi-species spatial depletion model for overwintering waterfowl," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(20), pages 3773-3784.
    19. Perhans, Karin & Glöde, Dan & Gilbertsson, Jessica & Persson, Anette & Gustafsson, Lena, 2011. "Fine-scale conservation planning outside of reserves: Cost-effective selection of retention patches at final harvest," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 771-777, February.
    20. Vuilleumier, Séverine & Fontanillas, Pierre, 2007. "Landscape structure affects dispersal in the greater white-toothed shrew: Inference between genetic and simulated ecological distances," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 369-376.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:345:y:2017:i:c:p:56-62. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.