IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v342y2016icp49-59.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effects of dispersal and stochasticity on the presence–absence of multiple species

Author

Listed:
  • Mohd, Mohd Hafiz
  • Murray, Rua
  • Plank, Michael J.
  • Godsoe, William

Abstract

A key problem in ecology is to predict the presence–absence of species across a geographical region. Dispersal is thought to have an important influence on the range limits of species, and understanding this problem in a multi-species community with priority effects (i.e. initial abundances determine the presence–absence of species) is a challenging task because dispersal interacts with biotic and abiotic factors as well as demographic stochasticity. By using stochastic individual-based models (IBM) and deterministic models consisting of biotic interactions and environmental gradients, we investigate the joint effects of dispersal and stochasticity on the occurrence of priority effects that can shape the presence–absence of multiple species. Our analysis shows the conditions under which priority effects occur and disappear as dispersal intensity changes. Without dispersal, priority effects emerge in the presence of intense biotic interactions; only one species surviving at any given location, with no overlap in their ranges. Inclusion of dispersal first reduces the prevalence of priority effects (i.e. for weak dispersal), and then leads to their increase (i.e. for moderate dispersal); consequently, dispersal enhances the possibility for species ranges to overlap. Increasing dispersal strength above a threshold value leads to the disappearance of priority effects and causes extinction of some species. We also demonstrate contrasting observations of stochasticity on priority effects: while this phenomenon is more prevalent in the stochastic IBM than in the deterministic models for large populations, we observe fewer occurrences of priority effects in IBM for small populations; in particular, our IBM results show that priority effects are eliminated by weaker values of dispersal when population sizes are small than when they are large. This situation can induce an uncertainty in the predictions of species presence–absence. Overall, our results demonstrate how the interplay of dispersal and stochasticity can combine to result in the (dis-)appearance of priority effects that strongly determine the presence–absence of species.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Murray, Rua & Plank, Michael J. & Godsoe, William, 2016. "Effects of dispersal and stochasticity on the presence–absence of multiple species," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 342(C), pages 49-59.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:342:y:2016:i:c:p:49-59
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.09.026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380016305129
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.09.026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. P. A. Venail & R. C. MacLean & T. Bouvier & M. A. Brockhurst & M. E. Hochberg & N. Mouquet, 2008. "Diversity and productivity peak at intermediate dispersal rate in evolving metacommunities," Nature, Nature, vol. 452(7184), pages 210-214, March.
    2. Andrew J. Davis & Linda S. Jenkinson & John H. Lawton & Bryan Shorrocks & Simon Wood, 1998. "Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming," Nature, Nature, vol. 391(6669), pages 783-786, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Md. Noorani, Mohd Salmi, 2021. "Local dispersal, trophic interactions and handling times mediate contrasting effects in prey-predator dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz, 2019. "Diversity in interaction strength promotes rich dynamical behaviours in a three-species ecological system," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 243-253.
    3. Aliyu, Murtala Bello & Mohd, Mohd Hafiz, 2021. "The interplay between mutualism, competition and dispersal promotes species coexistence in a multiple interactions type system," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 452(C).
    4. Umar Sharif, Umi Syahirah Binti & Mohd, Mohd Hafiz, 2022. "Combined influences of environmental enrichment and harvesting mediate rich dynamics in an intraguild predation fishery system," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 474(C).
    5. Park, Junpyo, 2021. "Evolutionary dynamics in the rock-paper-scissors system by changing community paradigm with population flow," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    6. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Park, Junpyo, 2021. "The interplay of rock-paper-scissors competition and environments mediates species coexistence and intriguing dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    7. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Murray, Rua & Plank, Michael J. & Godsoe, William, 2017. "Effects of biotic interactions and dispersal on the presence-absence of multiple species," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 185-194.
    8. Karim, Md Aktar Ul & Aithal, Vikram & Bhowmick, Amiya Ranjan, 2023. "Random variation in model parameters: A comprehensive review of stochastic logistic growth equation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 484(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    2. Barlett, Trinidad Ruiz & Laguna, María Fabiana & Abramson, Guillermo & Monjeau, Adrian & Martin, Gabriel, 2024. "A new distributional model coupling environmental and biotic factors," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 489(C).
    3. Choden, Kunzang & Nitschke, Craig R. & Stewart, Stephen B. & Keenan, Rodney J., 2021. "The potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of key tree species and Cordyceps in Bhutan: Implications for ecological functions and rural livelihoods," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 455(C).
    4. Trnka, M. & Muška, F. & Semerádová, D. & Dubrovský, M. & Kocmánková, E. & Žalud, Z., 2007. "European Corn Borer life stage model: Regional estimates of pest development and spatial distribution under present and future climate," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 61-84.
    5. Rocio Santiago & Monica Cristina Martins & Tais Nascimento & Luis Filipe de Barros & Matheus Vilaca & Emerson Peter Falcão & Nicacio Henriques da Silva & Maria Estrella Legaz & Carlos Vicente & Eugen, 2021. "Production of Bioactive Lichen Compounds by Alginate-Immobilized Bionts Isolated from Cladonia verticillaris: An in Vitro Study," Journal of Plant Studies, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(1), pages 1-43, December.
    6. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz, 2019. "Diversity in interaction strength promotes rich dynamical behaviours in a three-species ecological system," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 243-253.
    7. Zdeněk Laštůvka, 2009. "Climate change and its possible influence on the occurrence and importance of insect pests," Plant Protection Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 45(SpecialIs), pages 53-62.
    8. Gaikwad, Jitendra & Wilson, Peter D. & Ranganathan, Shoba, 2011. "Ecological niche modeling of customary medicinal plant species used by Australian Aborigines to identify species-rich and culturally valuable areas for conservation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(18), pages 3437-3443.
    9. Rinnan, D. Scott, 2018. "Population persistence in the face of climate change and competition: A battle on two fronts," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 385(C), pages 78-88.
    10. Takuya Iwamura & Kerrie A Wilson & Oscar Venter & Hugh P Possingham, 2010. "A Climatic Stability Approach to Prioritizing Global Conservation Investments," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(11), pages 1-9, November.
    11. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Park, Junpyo, 2021. "The interplay of rock-paper-scissors competition and environments mediates species coexistence and intriguing dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    12. Hof, Anouschka R. & Jansson, Roland & Nilsson, Christer, 2012. "The usefulness of elevation as a predictor variable in species distribution modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 246(C), pages 86-90.
    13. Munoz, François, 2009. "Distance-based eigenvector maps (DBEM) to analyse metapopulation structure with irregular sampling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(20), pages 2683-2689.
    14. Shengman Lyu & Jake M. Alexander, 2022. "Competition contributes to both warm and cool range edges," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Ariel E Marcy & Scott Fendorf & James L Patton & Elizabeth A Hadly, 2013. "Morphological Adaptations for Digging and Climate-Impacted Soil Properties Define Pocket Gopher (Thomomys spp.) Distributions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(5), pages 1-14, May.
    16. Buse, Jörn & Griebeler, Eva Maria, 2011. "Incorporating classified dispersal assumptions in predictive distribution models – A case study with grasshoppers and bush-crickets," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(13), pages 2130-2141.
    17. McRae, Brad H. & Schumaker, Nathan H. & McKane, Robert B. & Busing, Richard T. & Solomon, Allen M. & Burdick, Connie A., 2008. "A multi-model framework for simulating wildlife population response to land-use and climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 77-91.
    18. Mohd, Mohd Hafiz & Murray, Rua & Plank, Michael J. & Godsoe, William, 2017. "Effects of biotic interactions and dispersal on the presence-absence of multiple species," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 185-194.
    19. Filotas, Elise & Grant, Martin & Parrott, Lael & Rikvold, Per Arne, 2010. "The effect of positive interactions on community structure in a multi-species metacommunity model along an environmental gradient," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(6), pages 885-894.
    20. Daniel K Gibson-Reinemer & Frank J Rahel, 2015. "Inconsistent Range Shifts within Species Highlight Idiosyncratic Responses to Climate Warming," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:342:y:2016:i:c:p:49-59. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.