IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolet/v169y2018icp1-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Time-varying Lasso

Author

Listed:
  • Kapetanios, George
  • Zikes, Filip

Abstract

This paper introduces a Lasso-type estimator for large linear models with time-varying parameters. The estimator is easy to implement in practice and standard algorithms developed for Lasso with fixed parameters can be readily used. We derive theoretical properties of the estimator, allowing for deterministic or stochastic smoothly varying parameter processes and discuss ways in which tuning parameters can be data dependent. Monte Carlo simulation and an application to forecasting inflation with macroeconomic variables illustrates the usefulness of our method.

Suggested Citation

  • Kapetanios, George & Zikes, Filip, 2018. "Time-varying Lasso," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1-6.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:169:y:2018:i:c:p:1-6
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2018.04.029
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176518301666
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.04.029?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mert Demirer & Francis X. Diebold & Laura Liu & Kamil Yilmaz, 2018. "Estimating global bank network connectedness," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 1-15, January.
    2. Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Tony Yates, 2018. "Inference on Multivariate Heteroscedastic Time Varying Random Coefficient Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(2), pages 129-149, March.
    3. Friedman, Jerome H. & Hastie, Trevor & Tibshirani, Rob, 2010. "Regularization Paths for Generalized Linear Models via Coordinate Descent," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 33(i01).
    4. Giraitis, L. & Kapetanios, G. & Yates, T., 2014. "Inference on stochastic time-varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(1), pages 46-65.
    5. Sokbae Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Youngki Shin, 2016. "The lasso for high dimensional regression with a possible change point," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 78(1), pages 193-210, January.
    6. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Addendum: Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(5), pages 768-768, November.
    7. Li, Jiahan & Chen, Weiye, 2014. "Forecasting macroeconomic time series: LASSO-based approaches and their forecast combinations with dynamic factor models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 996-1015.
    8. Hui Zou & Trevor Hastie, 2005. "Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 67(2), pages 301-320, April.
    9. Fan J. & Li R., 2001. "Variable Selection via Nonconcave Penalized Likelihood and its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1348-1360, December.
    10. Antoniadis A. & Fan J., 2001. "Regularization of Wavelet Approximations," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 939-967, September.
    11. Liudas Giraitis & George Kapetanios & Anne Wetherilt & Filip ŽIKEŠ, 2016. "Estimating the Dynamics and Persistence of Financial Networks, with an Application to the Sterling Money Market," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 58-84, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tutz, Gerhard & Pößnecker, Wolfgang & Uhlmann, Lorenz, 2015. "Variable selection in general multinomial logit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 207-222.
    2. Umberto Amato & Anestis Antoniadis & Italia De Feis & Irene Gijbels, 2021. "Penalised robust estimators for sparse and high-dimensional linear models," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 30(1), pages 1-48, March.
    3. Camila Epprecht & Dominique Guegan & Álvaro Veiga & Joel Correa da Rosa, 2017. "Variable selection and forecasting via automated methods for linear models: LASSO/adaLASSO and Autometrics," Post-Print halshs-00917797, HAL.
    4. Zichen Zhang & Ye Eun Bae & Jonathan R. Bradley & Lang Wu & Chong Wu, 2022. "SUMMIT: An integrative approach for better transcriptomic data imputation improves causal gene identification," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2024. "Regularization for electricity price forecasting," Operations Research and Decisions, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 34(3), pages 267-286.
    6. Peter Bühlmann & Jacopo Mandozzi, 2014. "High-dimensional variable screening and bias in subsequent inference, with an empirical comparison," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 407-430, June.
    7. Peter Martey Addo & Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2018. "Credit Risk Analysis Using Machine and Deep Learning Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-20, April.
    8. Capanu, Marinela & Giurcanu, Mihai & Begg, Colin B. & Gönen, Mithat, 2023. "Subsampling based variable selection for generalized linear models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    9. Loann David Denis Desboulets, 2018. "A Review on Variable Selection in Regression Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-27, November.
    10. Zeyu Bian & Erica E. M. Moodie & Susan M. Shortreed & Sahir Bhatnagar, 2023. "Variable selection in regression‐based estimation of dynamic treatment regimes," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 988-999, June.
    11. Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2017. "Variance Decomposition Networks: Potential Pitfalls and a Simple Solution," IMF Working Papers 2017/107, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Jingxuan Luo & Lili Yue & Gaorong Li, 2023. "Overview of High-Dimensional Measurement Error Regression Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-22, July.
    13. Shutes, Karl & Adcock, Chris, 2013. "Regularized Extended Skew-Normal Regression," MPRA Paper 58445, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 09 Sep 2014.
    14. Yoshiki Nakajima & Naoya Sueishi, 2022. "Forecasting the Japanese macroeconomy using high-dimensional data," The Japanese Economic Review, Springer, vol. 73(2), pages 299-324, April.
    15. Zanhua Yin, 2020. "Variable selection for sparse logistic regression," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 83(7), pages 821-836, October.
    16. Cui, Hailong & Rajagopalan, Sampath & Ward, Amy R., 2020. "Predicting product return volume using machine learning methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 281(3), pages 612-627.
    17. Feng Hong & Lu Tian & Viswanath Devanarayan, 2023. "Improving the Robustness of Variable Selection and Predictive Performance of Regularized Generalized Linear Models and Cox Proportional Hazard Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, January.
    18. Dumitrescu, Elena & Hué, Sullivan & Hurlin, Christophe & Tokpavi, Sessi, 2022. "Machine learning for credit scoring: Improving logistic regression with non-linear decision-tree effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 1178-1192.
    19. Peter Bühlmann & Domagoj Ćevid, 2020. "Deconfounding and Causal Regularisation for Stability and External Validity," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 88(S1), pages 114-134, December.
    20. Nicholson, William B. & Matteson, David S. & Bien, Jacob, 2017. "VARX-L: Structured regularization for large vector autoregressions with exogenous variables," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 627-651.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Large datasets; Structural change; Penalised regressions; Lasso;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:169:y:2018:i:c:p:1-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.