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Time-varying instrumental variable estimation

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  • Giraitis, Liudas
  • Kapetanios, George
  • Marcellino, Massimiliano

Abstract

We develop non-parametric instrumental variable estimation and inferential theory for econometric models with possibly endogenous regressors whose coefficients can vary over time either deterministically or stochastically, and the time-varying and uniform versions of the standard Hausman exogeneity test. After deriving the asymptotic properties of the proposed procedures, we assess their finite sample performance by means of a set of Monte Carlo experiments, and illustrate their application by means of an empirical example on the Phillips curve.

Suggested Citation

  • Giraitis, Liudas & Kapetanios, George & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2021. "Time-varying instrumental variable estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(2), pages 394-415.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:224:y:2021:i:2:p:394-415
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.08.013
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    Cited by:

    1. Michele Fratianni & Federico Giri & Riccardo Lucchetti & Francesco Valentini, 2022. "Monetization, wars, and the Italian fiscal multiplier," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 176, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    2. Riccardo Lucchetti & Francesco Valentini, 2023. "Kernel-based time-varying IV estimation: handle with care," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 3001-3026, December.
    3. Mikihito Nishi, 2024. "Estimating Time-Varying Parameters of Various Smoothness in Linear Models via Kernel Regression," Papers 2406.14046, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    4. Yu Bai & Massimiliano Marcellino & George Kapetanios, 2023. "Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 13/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    5. Fu, Zhonghao & Hong, Yongmiao & Su, Liangjun & Wang, Xia, 2023. "Specification tests for time-varying coefficient models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(2), pages 720-744.
    6. Francisco Blasques & Noah Stegehuis, 2024. "A Score-Driven Filter for Causal Regression Models with Time- Varying Parameters and Endogenous Regressors," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-016/III, Tinbergen Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Instrumental variables; Time-varying parameters; Endogeneity; Hausman test; Non-parametric methods; Phillips curve;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • C26 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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