IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecolet/v122y2014i2p224-228.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bias correcting adjustment coefficients in a cointegrated VAR with known cointegrating vectors

Author

Listed:
  • van Garderen, Kees Jan
  • Peter Boswijk, H.

Abstract

The maximum likelihood estimator of the adjustment coefficient in a cointegrated vector autoregressive model (CVAR) is generally biased. For the case where the cointegrating vector is known in a first-order CVAR with no intercept, we derive a condition for the unbiasedness of the maximum likelihood estimator of the adjustment coefficients, and provide a simple characterization of the bias in case this condition is violated. A feasible bias correction method is shown to virtually eliminate the bias over a large part of the parameter space.

Suggested Citation

  • van Garderen, Kees Jan & Peter Boswijk, H., 2014. "Bias correcting adjustment coefficients in a cointegrated VAR with known cointegrating vectors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 224-228.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:122:y:2014:i:2:p:224-228
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.12.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176513005326
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.12.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kees Jan van Garderen, 1999. "Exact Geometry of Autoregressive Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 1-21, January.
    2. repec:adr:anecst:y:1986:i:4:p:05 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. van GARDEREN, Kees Jan, 1997. "Exact geometry of explosive autoregressive models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 1997068, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    4. Jan R. Magnus, 1986. "The Exact Moments of a Ratio of Quadratic Forms in Normal Variables," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 4, pages 95-109.
    5. Karim M. Abadir & Kaddour Hadri & Elias Tzavalis, 1999. "The Influence of VAR Dimensions on Estimator Biases," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(1), pages 163-182, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Luca Nocciola, 2022. "Finite Sample Forecast Properties and Window Length Under Breaks in Cointegrated Systems," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 167-196, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Harvey, David I. & Mills, Terence C., 2002. "Common features in UK sectoral output," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 91-104, January.
    2. Marcet, Albert & Jarociński, Marek, 2010. "Autoregressions in small samples, priors about observables and initial conditions," Working Paper Series 1263, European Central Bank.
    3. F. Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2004. "Estimation and Testing of Dynamic Models with Generalised Hyperbolic Innovations," Working Papers wp2004_0411, CEMFI.
    4. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 227-240.
    5. Elizabeth Wakerly & Byron Scott & James Nason, 2006. "Common trends and common cycles in Canada: who knew so much has been going on?," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 320-347, February.
    6. Long Qu & Tobias Guennel & Scott L. Marshall, 2013. "Linear Score Tests for Variance Components in Linear Mixed Models and Applications to Genetic Association Studies," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 69(4), pages 883-892, December.
    7. Kan, Raymond, 2008. "From moments of sum to moments of product," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(3), pages 542-554, March.
    8. Magnus, J.R. & Pesaran, B., 1990. "Evaluation Of Moment Of Quadratic Forms In Normal Variables," Papers 9021, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research.
    9. Wagatha, Matthias, 2007. "Integration, Kointegration und die Langzeitprognose von Kreditausfallzyklen [Integration, Cointegration and Long-Horizont Forecasting of Credit-Default-Cycles]," MPRA Paper 8602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Valérie Mignon & Christophe Hurlin, 2005. "Une synthèse des tests de racine unitaire sur données de panel," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 169(3), pages 253-294.
    11. Ahamada Ibrahim & Boutahar Mohamed, 2012. "Power of the KPSS test against shift in variance: a further investigation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 854-865.
    12. Vasnev, Andrey L., 2010. "Sensitivity of GLS estimators in random effects models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(5), pages 1252-1262, May.
    13. Stelios Arvanitis & Antonis Demos, 2015. "A class of indirect inference estimators: higher‐order asymptotics and approximate bias correction," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(2), pages 200-241, June.
    14. Chen, Ye & Yu, Jun, 2015. "Optimal jackknife for unit root models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 135-142.
    15. Diego Fresoli, 2022. "Bootstrap VAR forecasts: The effect of model uncertainties," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 279-293, March.
    16. Mr. Alessandro Rebucci, 2003. "On the Heterogeneity Bias of Pooled Estimators in Stationary VAR Specifications," IMF Working Papers 2003/073, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Kiviet, Jan F. & Phillips, Garry D.A., 2014. "Improved variance estimation of maximum likelihood estimators in stable first-order dynamic regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 424-448.
    18. Rebucci, Alessandro, 2010. "Estimating VARs with long stationary heterogeneous panels: A comparison of the fixed effect and the mean group estimators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1183-1198, September.
    19. Javier Mencía & Enrique Sentana, 2012. "Distributional Tests in Multivariate Dynamic Models with Normal and Student-t Innovations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(1), pages 133-152, February.
    20. Anthony Garratt & Kevin Lee & M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin, 2003. "A Long run structural macroeconometric model of the UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(487), pages 412-455, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:122:y:2014:i:2:p:224-228. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.