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Temperature shocks, rice production, and migration in Vietnamese households

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  • Baronchelli, Adelaide
  • Ricciuti, Roberto

Abstract

This paper analyses the relationship between temperature shocks and migration in rural households in Viet Nam. To control for the potential endogeneity between crop production and migration we use monthly minimum temperatures in the growing season as an instrument of rice production. In this way, we exploit a relationship uncovered in the natural science. Results show that the rise in minimum temperature during the core month of the growing season (i.e. June) does cause a reduction in rice production which, in turn, has a positive impact on people's propensity to migrate. This finding, which is robust to the use of different estimators and plausible violations of the exogeneity of the instrument, supports the ‘agricultural channel’ between climate shocks and migration by highlighting a specific feature at work in a rice-producing country.

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  • Baronchelli, Adelaide & Ricciuti, Roberto, 2022. "Temperature shocks, rice production, and migration in Vietnamese households," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolec:v:193:y:2022:i:c:s0921800921003608
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107301
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    2. Gauri Sreekumar & Sabuj Kumar Mandal, 2024. "Impact of Social Connections on Flood-induced Migration Among Rural Agricultural Households: Empirical Evidence from India," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 513-539, November.
    3. Baronchelli Adelaide, 2022. "Temperature Variability and Trust in Vietnamese Rural Households," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 28(3), pages 225-241, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Temperature shocks; Rice production; Migration; Viet Nam;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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