IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v71y2024ics1062940824000469.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investor sentiment response to COVID-19 outbreak-related news: A sectoral analysis of US firms

Author

Listed:
  • Blajer-Gołębiewska, Anna
  • Honecker, Lukas
  • Nowak, Sabina

Abstract

Capital markets literature has challenged the efficient market hypothesis, and one of the factors that explain unpredictable changes in stock prices is investor sentiment. In this study, we examine the investor sentiment index’s response to COVID-19 outbreak-related events in 2020, based on a sample of the S&P 500 companies from the sectors most severely affected by the pandemic: healthcare, industrials, consumer goods and consumer services. Using principal component analysis, we determine objective market-based measures of the investor sentiment, both for sectors, and individual companies. Taking advantage of the event study methodology and using the Daily News Sentiment Index as a benchmark, we found that the abnormal investor sentiment index’s response to COVID-19 outbreak-related news was highly negative, with a few exceptions of positive reaction on selected announcements in the healthcare and industrials sectors.

Suggested Citation

  • Blajer-Gołębiewska, Anna & Honecker, Lukas & Nowak, Sabina, 2024. "Investor sentiment response to COVID-19 outbreak-related news: A sectoral analysis of US firms," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824000469
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2024.102121
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940824000469
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102121?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kumari, Jyoti & Mahakud, Jitendra, 2015. "Does investor sentiment predict the asset volatility? Evidence from emerging stock market India," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 25-39.
    2. Utku Uygur & Oktay Tas, 2014. "The impacts of investor sentiment on different economic sectors: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 14(4), pages 236-241, December.
    3. Guofu Zhou, 2018. "Measuring Investor Sentiment," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 239-259, November.
    4. Anthony Sanford, 2022. "Does Perception Matter in Asset Pricing? Modeling Volatility Jumps Using Twitter-Based Sentiment Indices," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 262-280, July.
    5. Li, Shengfeng & Hoque, Hafiz & Liu, Jia, 2023. "Investor sentiment and firm capital structure," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. Baker, Malcolm & Stein, Jeremy C., 2004. "Market liquidity as a sentiment indicator," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 271-299, June.
    8. Gregory W. Brown & Michael T. Cliff, 2005. "Investor Sentiment and Asset Valuation," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 78(2), pages 405-440, March.
    9. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    10. Roman Frydman & Nicholas Mangee & Josh Stillwagon, 2021. "How Market Sentiment Drives Forecasts of Stock Returns," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 351-367, October.
    11. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2007. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 21(2), pages 129-152, Spring.
    12. Nicholas Mangee, 2018. "Stock Returns and the Tone of Marketplace Information: Does Context Matter?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 396-406, October.
    13. Donadelli, Michael & Kizys, Renatas & Riedel, Max, 2017. "Dangerous infectious diseases: Bad news for Main Street, good news for Wall Street?," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 84-103.
    14. De Long, J Bradford & Andrei Shleifer & Lawrence H. Summers & Robert J. Waldmann, 1990. "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(4), pages 703-738, August.
    15. Sun, Yunpeng & Bao, Qun & Lu, Zhou, 2021. "Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak, investor sentiment, and medical portfolio: Evidence from China, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, and U.S," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    16. Haroon, Omair & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2020. "COVID-19: Media coverage and financial markets behavior—A sectoral inquiry," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    17. Carlos Colón-De-Armas & Javier Rodriguez & Herminio Romero, 2017. "Investor sentiment and US presidential elections," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9(3), pages 227-241, October.
    18. Hui-Chu Shu & Jung-Hsien Chang, 2015. "Investor Sentiment and Financial Market Volatility," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 206-219, July.
    19. Stoughton, Neal M. & Wong, Kit Pong & Yi, Long, 2017. "Investment Efficiency and Product Market Competition," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(6), pages 2611-2642, December.
    20. Yang, Chunpeng & Zhou, Liyun, 2015. "Investor trading behavior, investor sentiment and asset prices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 42-62.
    21. Emre Cevik & Buket Kirci Altinkeski & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Sel Dibooglu, 2022. "Investor sentiments and stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-34, December.
    22. Shelby R. Buckman & Adam Hale Shapiro & Moritz Sudhof & Daniel J. Wilson, 2020. "News Sentiment in the Time of COVID-19," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2020(08), pages 1-05, April.
    23. Barberis, Nicholas & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert, 1998. "A model of investor sentiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 307-343, September.
    24. Paul J. Irvine & Jeffrey Pontiff, 2009. "Idiosyncratic Return Volatility, Cash Flows, and Product Market Competition," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 1149-1177, March.
    25. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Information uncertainty, investor sentiment, and analyst reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    26. Chiang, Ming-Ti & Lin, Mei-Chen, 2019. "Market sentiment and herding in analysts’ stock recommendations," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 48-64.
    27. Fama, Eugene F, 1991. "Efficient Capital Markets: II," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(5), pages 1575-1617, December.
    28. Zhenni Jin & Kun Guo & Yi Sun & Lin Lai & Zhewen Liao, 2020. "The industrial asymmetry of the stock price prediction with investor sentiment: Based on the comparison of predictive effects with SVR," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(7), pages 1166-1178, November.
    29. Lee, Wayne Y. & Jiang, Christine X. & Indro, Daniel C., 2002. "Stock market volatility, excess returns, and the role of investor sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(12), pages 2277-2299.
    30. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and daily stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    31. Doojin Ryu & Hyeyoen Kim & Heejin Yang, 2017. "Investor sentiment, trading behavior and stock returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(12), pages 826-830, July.
    32. Alexander Molchanov & Jeffrey Stangl, 2018. "Investor sentiment and industry returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 546-570, October.
    33. Sun, Yunchuan & Wu, Mengyuan & Zeng, Xiaoping & Peng, Zihan, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese stock market: Sentimental or substantial?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    34. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and the stock market response to earnings news," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 221-240.
    35. Wayne R. Landsman & Edward L. Maydew, 2002. "Has the Information Content of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Declined in the Past Three Decades?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 797-808, June.
    36. Wenti Du, 2021. "News and Market Efficiency in the Japanese Stock Market," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 306-319, July.
    37. Anastasiou, Dimitris & Ballis, Antonis & Drakos, Konstantinos, 2022. "Constructing a positive sentiment index for COVID-19: Evidence from G20 stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    38. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    39. Imlak Shaikh, 2021. "Impact of COVID-19 pandemic disease outbreak on the global equity markets," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 2317-2336, January.
    40. Sowmya Subramaniam & Madhumita Chakraborty, 2021. "COVID-19 fear index: does it matter for stock market returns?," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 40-50, March.
    41. Zeitun, Rami & Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "The impact of Twitter-based sentiment on US sectoral returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    42. Doowon Ryu & Doojin Ryu & Heejin Yang, 2020. "Investor Sentiment, Market Competition, and Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Korean Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(8), pages 1804-1816, June.
    43. Nijole Maknickiene & Indre Lapinskaite & Algirdas Maknickas, 2018. "Application of ensemble of recurrent neural networks for forecasting of stock market sentiments," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(1), pages 7-27, March.
    44. Shen, Shulin & Xia, Le & Shuai, Yulin & Gao, Da, 2022. "Measuring news media sentiment using big data for Chinese stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    45. Paul J. Irvine & Jeffrey Pontiff, 2009. "Idiosyncratic Return Volatility, Cash Flows, and Product Market Competition," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(3), pages 1149-1177.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Investor sentiment or information content? A simple test for investor sentiment proxies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kim, Karam & Ryu, Doojin & Yang, Heejin, 2021. "Information uncertainty, investor sentiment, and analyst reports," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2021. "Stock Market’s responses to intraday investor sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    4. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Dual effects of investor sentiment and uncertainty in financial markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 300-315.
    5. Hu, May & Chao, Chi-Chur & Lim, Jin Hao, 2016. "Another explanation of the mutual fund fee puzzle," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 134-152.
    6. Ahmed Bouteska & Taimur Sharif & Mohammad Zoynul Abedin, 2024. "Does investor sentiment create value for asset pricing? An empirical investigation of the KOSPI‐listed firms," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3487-3509, July.
    7. Zhou, Liyun & Yang, Chunpeng, 2019. "Stochastic investor sentiment, crowdedness and deviation of asset prices from fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 130-140.
    8. Gric, Zuzana & Bajzík, Josef & Badura, Ondřej, 2023. "Does sentiment affect stock returns? A meta-analysis across survey-based measures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and daily stock returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    10. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Foglia, Matteo & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Angelini, Eliana, 2021. "Feverish sentiment and global equity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 1088-1108.
    11. Keunbae Ahn, 2021. "Predictable Fluctuations in the Cross-Section and Time-Series of Asset Prices," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2021, January-A.
    12. Li, Jinfang, 2019. "Sentiment trading, informed trading and dynamic asset pricing," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 210-222.
    13. Muhammad Zia Ur Rehman & Zain ul Abidin & Faisal Rizwan & Zaheer Abbas & Sajjad Ahmad Baig, 2017. "How investor sentiments spillover from developed countries to developing countries?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1309096-130, January.
    14. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2022. "Quantile connectedness between sentiment and financial markets: Evidence from the S&P 500 twitter sentiment index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Chen, Haozhi & Zhang, Yue, 2023. "Research on the effect of firm-specific investor sentiment on the idiosyncratic volatility anomaly: Evidence from the Chinese market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    16. Utku Uygur & Oktay Taş, 2014. "The impacts of investor sentiment on returns and conditional volatility of international stock markets," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1165-1179, May.
    17. Ramiah, Vikash & Xu, Xiaoming & Moosa, Imad A., 2015. "Neoclassical finance, behavioral finance and noise traders: A review and assessment of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 89-100.
    18. Nizar Raissi & Sahbi Missaoui, 2015. "Role of investor sentiment in financial markets: an explanation by behavioural finance approach," International Journal of Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 362-401.
    19. Di, Li & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich, 2021. "The power of investor sentiment in explaining bank stock performance: Listed conventional vs. Islamic banks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    20. Sayim, Mustafa & Rahman, Hamid, 2015. "An examination of U.S. institutional and individual investor sentiment effect on the Turkish stock market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-17.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor sentiment; Covid-19; Stock market; Behavioural finance; US firms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G4 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824000469. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.