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The pricing of exchange risk in emerging stock markets

Author

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  • Francesca Carrieri

    (Faculty of Management, McGill University, Montreal, Canada)

  • Basma Majerbi

    (Faculty of Business, University of Victoria, Canada)

Abstract

In this paper, we provide new evidence about the unconditional pricing of exchange risk in the stock market, based on emerging market data. We conduct empirical tests using cross-sectional data at the market, portfolio and firm level from nine emerging markets (EMs) to determine whether exchange risk is priced under alternative model specifications and exchange rate measures. Our results support the hypothesis of a significant unconditional exchange risk premium in emerging stock markets, differently from most unconditional tests for major developed markets. However, there is indication that at the aggregate market level the significance of the exchange risk factor is subsumed by local market risk. With firm-level data, although the importance of local market is confirmed for most countries, some measure of exchange rate risk remains significant for most countries. This suggests that a careful model specification is necessary for EMs when testing for the pricing of exchange risk in order to avoid a potential spurious significance of such factor because of a missing local risk or vice versa. Journal of International Business Studies (2006) 37, 372–391. doi:10.1057/palgrave.jibs.8400204

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Carrieri & Basma Majerbi, 2006. "The pricing of exchange risk in emerging stock markets," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 37(3), pages 372-391, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:jintbs:v:37:y:2006:i:3:p:372-391
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wagner, Alexander F. & Schrimpf, Paul & Petzev, Ivan, 2015. "Has the Pricing of Stocks Become More Global?," CEPR Discussion Papers 10966, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Azher, Sara & Iqbal, Javed, 2016. "Pricing of foreign exchange risk and market segmentation: Evidence from Pakistan's equity market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 37-48.
    3. Ramos, Sofia B. & Veiga, Helena, 2011. "Risk factors in oil and gas industry returns: International evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 525-542, May.
    4. DAVTYAN Azat, 2014. "Gmm Estimation And Shapiro-Francia Normality Test: A Case Study Of Developing Countries," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 9(1), pages 43-58, April.
    5. Bergbrant, Mikael C. & Francis, Bill B. & Hunter, Delroy M., 2024. "How does currency risk impact firms? New evidence from bank loan contracts," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Carrieri, Francesca & Errunza, Vihang & Majerbi, Basma, 2006. "Local risk factors in emerging markets: Are they separately priced?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 444-461, October.
    7. Cristiana Tudor, 2021. "Investors’ Trading Activity and Information Asymmetry: Evidence from the Romanian Stock Market," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-19, August.
    8. Ramos, Sofia B. & Veiga, Helena, 2013. "Oil price asymmetric effects: Answering the puzzle in international stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 136-145.
    9. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Anwar, Sajid, 2014. "Time-varying exchange rate exposure and exchange rate risk pricing in the Canadian Equity Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 451-463.
    10. Chung, Hyunchul & Majerbi, Basma & Rizeanu, Sorin, 2015. "Exchange risk premia and firm characteristics," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 96-125.
    11. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2014. "The conditional pricing of currency and inflation risks in Africa's equity markets," MPRA Paper 56100, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Dranev Yury & Maxim Babushkin, 2014. "Asymmetric exchange-rate exposure in BRIC countries," HSE Working papers WP BRP 27/FE/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    13. Robin H. Luo & Thi Kim Anh Nguyen, 2012. "Dependence Structure of Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets: Evidence from Industrialized Asian Economies," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 2(1), pages 1-17.
    14. Ramos, Sofía B. & Veiga, Helena, 2010. "Asymmetric effects of oil price fluctuations in international stock markets," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws100904, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    15. Mpoha, Salifya & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2020. "Assessing the extent of exchange rate risk pricing in equity markets: emerging versus developed economies," MPRA Paper 99597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Benjamin Mudiangombe Mudiangombe & John Weirstrass Muteba Mwamba, 2022. "Dynamic Asymmetric Effect of Currency Risk Pricing of Exchange Rate on Equity Markets: A Regime-Switching Based C-Vine Copulas Method," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-30, August.
    17. Huang, Lin & Wu, Jia & Zhang, Rui, 2014. "Exchange risk and asset returns: A theoretical and empirical study of an open economy asset pricing model," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 96-116.
    18. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2014. "Conditional pricing of currency risk in Africa's equity markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 133-155.
    19. Kodongo, Odongo & Ojah, Kalu, 2011. "Foreign exchange risk pricing and equity market segmentation in Africa," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2295-2310, September.
    20. Francis, Bill B. & Hasan, Iftekhar & Hunter, Delroy M., 2008. "Does hedging tell the full story? Reconciling differences in US aggregate and industry-level exchange rate risk premia," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 14/2008, Bank of Finland.
    21. Sirr, Gordon & Garvey, John & Gallagher, Liam, 2011. "Emerging markets and portfolio foreign exchange risk: An empirical investigation using a value-at-risk decomposition technique," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1749-1772.

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