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Likelihood-free Bayesian estimation of multivariate quantile distributions

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  • Drovandi, Christopher C.
  • Pettitt, Anthony N.

Abstract

In this paper, we present new multivariate quantile distributions and utilise likelihood-free Bayesian algorithms for inferring the parameters. In particular, we apply a sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm that is adaptive in nature and requires very little tuning compared with other approximate Bayesian computation algorithms. Furthermore, we present a framework for the development of multivariate quantile distributions based on a copula. We consider bivariate and time series extensions of the g-and-k distribution under this framework, and develop an efficient component-wise updating scheme free of likelihood functions to be used within the SMC algorithm. In addition, we trial the set of octiles as summary statistics as well as functions of these that form robust measures of location, scale, skewness and kurtosis. We show that these modifications lead to reasonably precise inferences that are more closely comparable to computationally intensive likelihood-based inference. We apply the quantile distributions and algorithms to simulated data and an example involving daily exchange rate returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Drovandi, Christopher C. & Pettitt, Anthony N., 2011. "Likelihood-free Bayesian estimation of multivariate quantile distributions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(9), pages 2541-2556, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:55:y:2011:i:9:p:2541-2556
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. C. C. Drovandi & A. N. Pettitt, 2011. "Estimation of Parameters for Macroparasite Population Evolution Using Approximate Bayesian Computation," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 67(1), pages 225-233, March.
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    5. Nicolas Chopin, 2002. "A sequential particle filter method for static models," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(3), pages 539-552, August.
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    Cited by:

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    3. Ji, Yonggang & Lin, Nan & Zhang, Baoxue, 2012. "Model selection in binary and tobit quantile regression using the Gibbs sampler," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 827-839.
    4. Ong, Victor M.-H. & Nott, David J. & Tran, Minh-Ngoc & Sisson, Scott A. & Drovandi, Christopher C., 2018. "Likelihood-free inference in high dimensions with synthetic likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 271-291.
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    6. Kobayashi, Genya, 2014. "A transdimensional approximate Bayesian computation using the pseudo-marginal approach for model choice," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 167-183.
    7. Oh, Man-Suk & Park, Eun Sug & So, Beong-Soo, 2016. "Bayesian variable selection in binary quantile regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 177-181.
    8. Marco Bee & Julien Hambuckers & Flavio Santi & Luca Trapin, 2021. "Testing a parameter restriction on the boundary for the g-and-h distribution: a simulated approach," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 2177-2200, September.
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    10. Li, J. & Nott, D.J. & Fan, Y. & Sisson, S.A., 2017. "Extending approximate Bayesian computation methods to high dimensions via a Gaussian copula model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 77-89.
    11. Perepolkin, Dmytro & Goodrich, Benjamin & Sahlin, Ullrika, 2021. "The tenets of indirect inference in Bayesian models," OSF Preprints enzgs, Center for Open Science.
    12. Bhattacharya, Indrabati & Ghosal, Subhashis, 2021. "Bayesian multivariate quantile regression using Dependent Dirichlet Process prior," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    13. Perepolkin, Dmytro & Lindsröm, Erik & Sahlin, Ullrika, 2023. "Quantile-parameterized distributions for expert knowledge elicitation," OSF Preprints tq3an, Center for Open Science.
    14. Jayabrata Biswas & Kiranmoy Das, 2021. "A Bayesian quantile regression approach to multivariate semi-continuous longitudinal data," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 241-260, March.
    15. Menéndez, P. & Fan, Y. & Garthwaite, P.H. & Sisson, S.A., 2014. "Simultaneous adjustment of bias and coverage probabilities for confidence intervals," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 35-44.

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