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Bayesian nonparametric quantile regression using splines

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  • Thompson, Paul
  • Cai, Yuzhi
  • Moyeed, Rana
  • Reeve, Dominic
  • Stander, Julian

Abstract

A new technique based on Bayesian quantile regression that models the dependence of a quantile of one variable on the values of another using a natural cubic spline is presented. Inference is based on the posterior density of the spline and an associated smoothing parameter and is performed by means of a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Examples of the application of the new technique to two real environmental data sets and to simulated data for which polynomial modelling is inappropriate are given. An aid for making a good choice of proposal density in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is discussed. The new nonparametric methodology provides more flexible modelling than the currently used Bayesian parametric quantile regression approach.

Suggested Citation

  • Thompson, Paul & Cai, Yuzhi & Moyeed, Rana & Reeve, Dominic & Stander, Julian, 2010. "Bayesian nonparametric quantile regression using splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1138-1150, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:4:p:1138-1150
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Yun Yang & Surya T. Tokdar, 2017. "Joint Estimation of Quantile Planes Over Arbitrary Predictor Spaces," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(519), pages 1107-1120, July.
    3. Bernardi, Mauro & Bottone, Marco & Petrella, Lea, 2018. "Bayesian quantile regression using the skew exponential power distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 92-111.
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    5. Salaheddine El Adlouni, 2018. "Quantile regression C-vine copula model for spatial extremes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 299-317, October.
    6. Rodrigues, T. & Dortet-Bernadet, J.-L. & Fan, Y., 2019. "Simultaneous fitting of Bayesian penalised quantile splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 93-109.
    7. Yunwen Yang & Huixia Judy Wang & Xuming He, 2016. "Posterior Inference in Bayesian Quantile Regression with Asymmetric Laplace Likelihood," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 84(3), pages 327-344, December.
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    9. Gareth W. Peters, 2018. "General Quantile Time Series Regressions for Applications in Population Demographics," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-47, September.

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