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Diverse soil microbial communities may mitigate climate system bifurcation

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  • Sudakow, Ivan
  • Savenkova, Elena
  • Kondrashov, Dmitri
  • Vakulenko, Sergey A.
  • Sashina, Elena

Abstract

Permafrost thaw reinforces greenhouse gas production. The resulting growth of greenhouse gases (especially methane) in the atmosphere may trigger a climate system bifurcation. To study how changes in the microbial community may cause greenhouse gas emissions from permafrost and produce bifurcations in climate temperature dynamics we propose a conceptual nonlinear model that couples an atmospheric dynamics model with the population structure of microbial communities. Our model is mathematically well-posed, demonstrating that microbial population diversity can significantly lower planetary surface temperatures, an outcome contingent upon the average population parameters and their standard deviations.

Suggested Citation

  • Sudakow, Ivan & Savenkova, Elena & Kondrashov, Dmitri & Vakulenko, Sergey A. & Sashina, Elena, 2023. "Diverse soil microbial communities may mitigate climate system bifurcation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:177:y:2023:i:c:s096007792301175x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2023.114273
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