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Dynamics of a time-delayed SIR epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment

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  • Avila-Vales, Eric
  • Pérez, Ángel G.C.

Abstract

In this paper, we incorporate a nonlinear incidence rate and a logistic growth rate into a SIR epidemic model for a vector-borne disease with incubation time delay and Holling type II saturated treatment. We compute the basic reproduction number and show that it completely determines the local stability of the disease-free equilibrium. Sufficient conditions for the existence of backward bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation are also established. Furthermore, we determine the direction and stability of the Hopf bifurcation around the endemic equilibrium by means of the center manifold theory. Our study reveals that the model admits a Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation when the time delay and the maximal disease transmission rate are varied. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the dynamics of the model and to study the effects caused by varying the treatment rate and delay parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Avila-Vales, Eric & Pérez, Ángel G.C., 2019. "Dynamics of a time-delayed SIR epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 55-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:127:y:2019:i:c:p:55-69
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2019.06.024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Muhammad Ozair & Abid Ali Lashari & Il Hyo Jung & Kazeem Oare Okosun, 2012. "Stability Analysis and Optimal Control of a Vector-Borne Disease with Nonlinear Incidence," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2012, pages 1-21, November.
    2. Li, Jinhui & Teng, Zhidong & Wang, Guangqing & Zhang, Long & Hu, Cheng, 2017. "Stability and bifurcation analysis of an SIR epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 63-71.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jiao, Xubin & Liu, Xiuxiang, 2024. "Rich dynamics of a delayed Filippov avian-only influenza model with two-thresholds policy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    2. Sabbar, Yassine & Din, Anwarud & Kiouach, Driss, 2023. "Influence of fractal–fractional differentiation and independent quadratic Lévy jumps on the dynamics of a general epidemic model with vaccination strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    3. Kumari, Sangeeta & Upadhyay, Ranjit Kumar, 2021. "Exploring the behavior of malware propagation on mobile wireless sensor networks: Stability and control analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 246-269.
    4. Das, Tanuja & Srivastava, Prashant K., 2023. "Effect of a novel generalized incidence rate function in SIR model: Stability switches and bifurcations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    5. Gupta, R.P. & Kumar, Arun, 2022. "Endemic bubble and multiple cusps generated by saturated treatment of an SIR model through Hopf and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcations," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 1-21.

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