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Natural disasters and high-stakes exam performance: Evidence from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake

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  • Lu, Wei
  • Yang, Po
  • Zheng, Shilin
  • Zhou, Sen

Abstract

In this study, the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, China serves as a natural experiment for examining the effect of natural disasters on high-stakes exam performance among students who were admitted to four-year colleges between 2005 and 2011. Results of a generalized difference-in-differences model show that, on average, the earthquake reduced a student's National College Entrance Examination (NCEE) standard score by 55% of a standard deviation. The findings have implications for higher education and China's economy, because earthquake exposure lowers a student's probability of being accepted to an elite college, pursuing a major in a high-salary field, and moving to a highly developed urban area for education or employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Lu, Wei & Yang, Po & Zheng, Shilin & Zhou, Sen, 2023. "Natural disasters and high-stakes exam performance: Evidence from the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:77:y:2023:i:c:s1043951x22001572
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2022.101899
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