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Trading aggression when price limit hits are imminent: NARDL based intraday investigation of magnet effect

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  • Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad
  • Mohamad, Azhar

Abstract

Utilizing an experimental Non-linear ARDL technique (NARDL), this paper tests an ex-ante hypothesized side-effect of financial market circuit breakers called the magnet effect. The hypothesis states that, in large price swing scenarios, circuit breakers (limits or halts), by their very existence, invite trading activities toward themselves in a way that the prophecy of the trigger is fulfilled. Most empirical works testing this effect hail from East Asian exchanges, which typically employ a tight price band. Our empirical venue, Bursa Malaysia, is a marked exception, sticking to a ±30% limit since 1989. Employing high-frequency (millisecond) proprietary intraday data from 2015 to 2017, we examine the magnet effect through order aggression and price velocity as the possibility of a limit draws closer. We find evidence of moderate magnet effect for most stocks, suggesting accelerated trading activities proportionate to likelihood of a limit-hit. The effect is more pronounced for lower limit stocks. Interestingly, several upper limit scenarios also exhibit the opposite of magnet effect: the repellent effect, suggesting investors recoil from trading when a limit-hit appears imminent. We discuss several regulatory, industry, and academic implications of our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad & Mohamad, Azhar, 2018. "Trading aggression when price limit hits are imminent: NARDL based intraday investigation of magnet effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 1-8.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:20:y:2018:i:c:p:1-8
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2018.01.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Zare & Omid Naghshineh Arjmand & Erfan Salavati & Adel Mohammadpour, 2021. "An Agent‐Based model for Limit Order Book: Estimation and simulation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 1112-1121, January.
    2. Zhang, Xiaotao & Li, Xinxian & Hao, Jing & Li, Peigong, 2023. "Price limit change and magnet effect: The role of investor attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    3. Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad & Mohamad, Azhar, 2020. "A survey on the magnet effect of circuit breakers in financial markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 138-151.
    4. Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad, 2019. "Circuit breakers as market stability levers: A survey of research, praxis, and challenges," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 1130-1169, July.
    5. Ji, Jingru & Wang, Donghua & Xu, Dinghai & Xu, Chi, 2020. "Combining a self-exciting point process with the truncated generalized Pareto distribution: An extreme risk analysis under price limits," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 52-70.
    6. Hao Li & Zhisheng Li, 2022. "The effect of daily price limits on stock liquidity: Evidence from the Chinese stock market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 62(5), pages 4885-4917, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Circuit breakers; Price limits; Trading halts; Malaysia; Magnet effect; NARDL;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets

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