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Are Price Limits Effective? Evidence From The Istanbul Stock Exchange

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  • Recep Bildik
  • Güzhan Gülay

Abstract

There is considerable discussion about controlling volatility by imposing price limits on asset prices. We examine the effects of price limits on a stock market by testing the volatility spillover, delayed price discovery, and trading interference hypotheses in a leading emerging market, the Istanbul Stock Exchange, which has a unique market microstructure as related to price limits. Our results support the volatility spillover, delayed price discovery, and trading interference hypotheses. We also show price locks at limits provide significantly stronger evidence regarding the effects of price limits than limit moves only. Finally, price limits have a significant effect on the stock market, casting doubt on their effectiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • Recep Bildik & Güzhan Gülay, 2006. "Are Price Limits Effective? Evidence From The Istanbul Stock Exchange," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(3), pages 383-403, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:29:y:2006:i:3:p:383-403
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2006.00185.x
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    1. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3utlh0ehcn860pus6p2p683ade is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Clapham, Benjamin & Gomber, Peter & Haferkorn, Martin & Panz, Sven, 2017. "Managing excess volatility: Design and effectiveness of circuit breakers," SAFE Working Paper Series 195, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    3. Kim, Yong H. & Yagüe, José & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2008. "Relative performance of trading halts and price limits: Evidence from the Spanish Stock Exchange," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 197-215.
    4. Li, Huimin & Zheng, Dazhi & Chen, Jun, 2014. "Effectiveness, cause and impact of price limit—Evidence from China's cross-listed stocks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 217-241.
    5. James Brugler & Oliver Linton, 2014. "Circuit Breakers on the London Stock Exchange: Do they improve subsequent market quality?," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1453, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    6. Leal, Sandrine Jacob & Napoletano, Mauro, 2019. "Market stability vs. market resilience: Regulatory policies experiments in an agent-based model with low- and high-frequency trading," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 15-41.
    7. Sifat, Imtiaz Mohammad & Mohamad, Azhar, 2018. "Trading aggression when price limit hits are imminent: NARDL based intraday investigation of magnet effect," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 1-8.
    8. Seza Danışoğlu & Z. Nuray Güner, 2018. "Do price limits help control stock price volatility?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 260(1), pages 129-157, January.
    9. Farag, Hisham, 2013. "Price limit bands, asymmetric volatility and stock market anomalies: Evidence from emerging markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 85-97.
    10. Imtiaz Mohammad Sifat & Azhar Mohamad, 2019. "Circuit breakers as market stability levers: A survey of research, praxis, and challenges," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 1130-1169, July.
    11. Kim, Yong H. & Yang, J. Jimmy, 2008. "The effect of price limits on intraday volatility and information asymmetry," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 522-538, November.
    12. Ya-Kai Chang & Che-Jui Chang, 2021. "The Magnet Effect Under Relaxed Daily Price Limits: Evidence From Taiwan," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 15(1), pages 33-44.
    13. Aktas, Osman Ulas & Kryzanowski, Lawrence & Zhang, Jie, 2021. "Volatility spillover around price limits in an emerging market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    14. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3utlh0ehcn860pus6p2p683ade is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Farag, Hisham, 2014. "The effectiveness of competing regulatory regimes and the switching effects: Evidence from an emerging market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 136-147.
    16. Farag, Hisham, 2015. "The influence of price limits on overreaction in emerging markets: Evidence from the Egyptian stock market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 190-199.
    17. Wonse Kim & Sungjae Jun, 2018. "Effects of a Price limit Change on Market Stability at the Intraday Horizon in the Korean Stock Market," Papers 1805.04728, arXiv.org.
    18. James Brugler & Oliver Linton, 2014. "Single stock circuit breakers on the London Stock Exchange: do they improve subsequent market quality?," CeMMAP working papers CWP07/14, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.

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