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A multi-fidelity framework for power prediction of wind farm under yaw misalignment

Author

Listed:
  • Tu, Yu
  • Chen, Yaoran
  • Zhang, Kai
  • He, Ruiyang
  • Han, Zhaolong
  • Zhou, Dai

Abstract

Collective yaw control is a promising approach for wind farm flow control. The investigation approaches exhibit varying levels of fidelity. High-fidelity numerical simulations offer accurate representations but are computationally expensive, while low-fidelity analytical models provide rapid calculations with reduced accuracy. Confronted with this dilemma, the multi-fidelity surrogate model emerges as a compelling solution. In this paper, we introduce a multi-fidelity framework based on the co-Kriging algorithm to efficiently predict the wind farm power under yaw misalignment. Two surrogate models are compared, the single-fidelity Kriging (SFK) model and the multi-fidelity co-Kriging (MFK) model. Both models provide desired accuracy, with MFK model outperforming SFK model. For one-dimensional and three-dimensional cases, the MFK model significantly reduces the demanding high-fidelity samples, while remains accuracy of 96.5% and 93.9%, respectively. We further investigate the influence of low-fidelity data sources on MFK model, including the Gauss-Curl Hybrid (GCH) wake model, Gaussian wake model, and Jensen wake model. The MFK-GCH model shows better prediction accuracy, indicating that low-fidelity data with more physical information benefits the model. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis is given to ensure reliable and consistent results. The multi-fidelity framework enables efficient and accurate power prediction, which lays the foundation of yaw optimization in large-scale wind farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Tu, Yu & Chen, Yaoran & Zhang, Kai & He, Ruiyang & Han, Zhaolong & Zhou, Dai, 2025. "A multi-fidelity framework for power prediction of wind farm under yaw misalignment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:377:y:2025:i:pc:s0306261924019834
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124600
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