IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v377y2025ipcs0306261924019834.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A multi-fidelity framework for power prediction of wind farm under yaw misalignment

Author

Listed:
  • Tu, Yu
  • Chen, Yaoran
  • Zhang, Kai
  • He, Ruiyang
  • Han, Zhaolong
  • Zhou, Dai

Abstract

Collective yaw control is a promising approach for wind farm flow control. The investigation approaches exhibit varying levels of fidelity. High-fidelity numerical simulations offer accurate representations but are computationally expensive, while low-fidelity analytical models provide rapid calculations with reduced accuracy. Confronted with this dilemma, the multi-fidelity surrogate model emerges as a compelling solution. In this paper, we introduce a multi-fidelity framework based on the co-Kriging algorithm to efficiently predict the wind farm power under yaw misalignment. Two surrogate models are compared, the single-fidelity Kriging (SFK) model and the multi-fidelity co-Kriging (MFK) model. Both models provide desired accuracy, with MFK model outperforming SFK model. For one-dimensional and three-dimensional cases, the MFK model significantly reduces the demanding high-fidelity samples, while remains accuracy of 96.5% and 93.9%, respectively. We further investigate the influence of low-fidelity data sources on MFK model, including the Gauss-Curl Hybrid (GCH) wake model, Gaussian wake model, and Jensen wake model. The MFK-GCH model shows better prediction accuracy, indicating that low-fidelity data with more physical information benefits the model. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis is given to ensure reliable and consistent results. The multi-fidelity framework enables efficient and accurate power prediction, which lays the foundation of yaw optimization in large-scale wind farms.

Suggested Citation

  • Tu, Yu & Chen, Yaoran & Zhang, Kai & He, Ruiyang & Han, Zhaolong & Zhou, Dai, 2025. "A multi-fidelity framework for power prediction of wind farm under yaw misalignment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PC).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:377:y:2025:i:pc:s0306261924019834
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124600
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924019834
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124600?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Doekemeijer, Bart M. & van der Hoek, Daan & van Wingerden, Jan-Willem, 2020. "Closed-loop model-based wind farm control using FLORIS under time-varying inflow conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 719-730.
    2. Dou, Bingzheng & Guala, Michele & Lei, Liping & Zeng, Pan, 2019. "Wake model for horizontal-axis wind and hydrokinetic turbines in yawed conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1383-1395.
    3. Kuang, Limin & Katsuchi, Hiroshi & Zhou, Dai & Chen, Yaoran & Han, Zhaolong & Zhang, Kai & Wang, Jiaqi & Bao, Yan & Cao, Yong & Liu, Yijie, 2023. "Strategy for mitigating wake interference between offshore vertical-axis wind turbines: Evaluation of vertically staggered arrangement," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
    4. Li, Xuyang & Qiu, Yingning & Feng, Yanhui & Wang, Zheng, 2021. "Wind turbine power prediction considering wake effects with dual laser beam LiDAR measured yaw misalignment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    5. Pawar, Suraj & Sharma, Ashesh & Vijayakumar, Ganesh & Bay, Chrstopher J. & Yellapantula, Shashank & San, Omer, 2022. "Towards multi-fidelity deep learning of wind turbine wakes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 867-879.
    6. Yin, Xiong & Wen, Kai & Huang, Weihe & Luo, Yinwei & Ding, Yi & Gong, Jing & Gao, Jianfeng & Hong, Bingyuan, 2023. "A high-accuracy online transient simulation framework of natural gas pipeline network by integrating physics-based and data-driven methods," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    7. He, Ruiyang & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin, 2023. "Optimal yaw strategy and fatigue analysis of wind turbines under the combined effects of wake and yaw control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    8. Wang, Yu & Wei, Shanbi & Yang, Wei & Chai, Yi, 2023. "Adaptive economic predictive control for offshore wind farm active yaw considering generation uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
    9. He, Ruiyang & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Gao, Xiaoxia, 2024. "Site-specific wake steering strategy for combined power enhancement and fatigue mitigation within wind farms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    10. Nouri, Reza & Vasel-Be-Hagh, Ahmad & Archer, Cristina L., 2020. "The Coriolis force and the direction of rotation of the blades significantly affect the wake of wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    11. Anagnostopoulos, Sokratis J. & Bauer, Jens & Clare, Mariana C.A. & Piggott, Matthew D., 2023. "Accelerated wind farm yaw and layout optimisation with multi-fidelity deep transfer learning wake models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    12. He, Ruiyang & Deng, Xiaowei & Li, Yichun & Dong, Zhikun & Gao, Xiaoxia & Lu, Lin & Zhou, Yue & Wu, Jianzhong & Yang, Hongxing, 2023. "Three-dimensional yaw wake model development with validations from wind tunnel experiments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    13. Fleming, Paul A. & Gebraad, Pieter M.O. & Lee, Sang & van Wingerden, Jan-Willem & Johnson, Kathryn & Churchfield, Matt & Michalakes, John & Spalart, Philippe & Moriarty, Patrick, 2014. "Evaluating techniques for redirecting turbine wakes using SOWFA," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 211-218.
    14. Bastankhah, Majid & Porté-Agel, Fernando, 2014. "A new analytical model for wind-turbine wakes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 116-123.
    15. Cao, Jiufa & Nyborg, Camilla Marie & Feng, Ju & Hansen, Kurt S. & Bertagnolio, Franck & Fischer, Andreas & Sørensen, Thomas & Shen, Wen Zhong, 2022. "A new multi-fidelity flow-acoustics simulation framework for wind farm application," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Song, Dongran & Fan, Xinyu & Yang, Jian & Liu, Anfeng & Chen, Sifan & Joo, Young Hoon, 2018. "Power extraction efficiency optimization of horizontal-axis wind turbines through optimizing control parameters of yaw control systems using an intelligent method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 267-279.
    17. Cai, Wei & Hu, Yang & Fang, Fang & Yao, Lujin & Liu, Jizhen, 2023. "Wind farm power production and fatigue load optimization based on dynamic partitioning and wake redirection of wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    18. Sun, Jili & Chen, Zheng & Yu, Hao & Gao, Shan & Wang, Bin & Ying, You & Sun, Yong & Qian, Peng & Zhang, Dahai & Si, Yulin, 2022. "Quantitative evaluation of yaw-misalignment and aerodynamic wake induced fatigue loads of offshore Wind turbines," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C), pages 71-86.
    19. Amin Niayifar & Fernando Porté-Agel, 2016. "Analytical Modeling of Wind Farms: A New Approach for Power Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-13, September.
    20. Zhou, Shengtao & Li, Chao & Xiao, Yiqing & Wang, Xiaolu & Xiang, Wenyuan & Sun, Qing, 2023. "Evaluation of floating wind turbine substructure designs by using long-term dynamic optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    21. Kumar, P. Madhan & Seo, Jeonghwa & Seok, Woochan & Rhee, Shin Hyung & Samad, Abdus, 2019. "Multi-fidelity optimization of blade thickness parameters for a horizontal axis tidal stream turbine," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 277-287.
    22. Tang, Jia & Wang, Dan & Wang, Xuyang & Jia, Hongjie & Wang, Chengshan & Huang, Renle & Yang, Zhanyong & Fan, Menghua, 2017. "Study on day-ahead optimal economic operation of active distribution networks based on Kriging model assisted particle swarm optimization with constraint handling techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 143-162.
    23. Song, Dongran & Li, Ziqun & Wang, Lei & Jin, Fangjun & Huang, Chaoneng & Xia, E. & Rizk-Allah, Rizk M. & Yang, Jian & Su, Mei & Joo, Young Hoon, 2022. "Energy capture efficiency enhancement of wind turbines via stochastic model predictive yaw control based on intelligent scenarios generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    24. Maki, Kevin & Sbragio, Ricardo & Vlahopoulos, Nickolas, 2012. "System design of a wind turbine using a multi-level optimization approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 101-110.
    25. Lydia, M. & Kumar, S. Suresh & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel & Prem Kumar, G. Edwin, 2014. "A comprehensive review on wind turbine power curve modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 452-460.
    26. He, Ruiyang & Yang, Hongxing & Sun, Shilin & Lu, Lin & Sun, Haiying & Gao, Xiaoxia, 2022. "A machine learning-based fatigue loads and power prediction method for wind turbines under yaw control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    27. Carrillo, C. & Obando Montaño, A.F. & Cidrás, J. & Díaz-Dorado, E., 2013. "Review of power curve modelling for wind turbines," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 572-581.
    28. Ma, Hongliang & Ge, Mingwei & Wu, Guangxing & Du, Bowen & Liu, Yongqian, 2021. "Formulas of the optimized yaw angles for cooperative control of wind farms with aligned turbines to maximize the power production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    29. Zong, Haohua & Porté-Agel, Fernando, 2021. "Experimental investigation and analytical modelling of active yaw control for wind farm power optimization," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1228-1244.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Song, Jeonghwan & Kim, Taewan & You, Donghyun, 2023. "Particle swarm optimization of a wind farm layout with active control of turbine yaws," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 738-747.
    2. Balakrishnan, Raj Kiran & Son, Eunkuk & Hur, Sung-ho, 2024. "Optimization of wind farm power output using wake redirection control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    3. Wang, Yu & Wei, Shanbi & Yang, Wei & Chai, Yi, 2023. "Adaptive economic predictive control for offshore wind farm active yaw considering generation uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 351(C).
    4. Zhu, Xiaoxun & Chen, Yao & Xu, Shinai & Zhang, Shaohai & Gao, Xiaoxia & Sun, Haiying & Wang, Yu & Zhao, Fei & Lv, Tiancheng, 2023. "Three-dimensional non-uniform full wake characteristics for yawed wind turbine with LiDAR-based experimental verification," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    5. Kim, Taewan & Kim, Changwook & Song, Jeonghwan & You, Donghyun, 2024. "Optimal control of a wind farm in time-varying wind using deep reinforcement learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    6. He, Ruiyang & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin & Gao, Xiaoxia, 2024. "Site-specific wake steering strategy for combined power enhancement and fatigue mitigation within wind farms," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    7. Shen, Wen Zhong & Lin, Jian Wei & Jiang, Yu Hang & Feng, Ju & Cheng, Li & Zhu, Wei Jun, 2023. "A novel yaw wake model for wind farm control applications," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    8. Amiri, Mojtaba Maali & Shadman, Milad & Estefen, Segen F., 2024. "A review of physical and numerical modeling techniques for horizontal-axis wind turbine wakes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    9. Ti, Zilong & Deng, Xiao Wei & Yang, Hongxing, 2020. "Wake modeling of wind turbines using machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    10. He, Ruiyang & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin, 2023. "Optimal yaw strategy and fatigue analysis of wind turbines under the combined effects of wake and yaw control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    11. Ti, Zilong & Deng, Xiao Wei & Zhang, Mingming, 2021. "Artificial Neural Networks based wake model for power prediction of wind farm," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 618-631.
    12. Cai, Wei & Hu, Yang & Fang, Fang & Yao, Lujin & Liu, Jizhen, 2023. "Wind farm power production and fatigue load optimization based on dynamic partitioning and wake redirection of wind turbines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    13. Huanqiang, Zhang & Xiaoxia, Gao & Hongkun, Lu & Qiansheng, Zhao & Xiaoxun, Zhu & Yu, Wang & Fei, Zhao, 2024. "Investigation of a new 3D wake model of offshore floating wind turbines subjected to the coupling effects of wind and wave," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
    14. Nicolas Kirchner-Bossi & Fernando Porté-Agel, 2018. "Realistic Wind Farm Layout Optimization through Genetic Algorithms Using a Gaussian Wake Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, November.
    15. Nicolas Kirchner-Bossi & Fernando Porté-Agel, 2021. "Wind Farm Area Shape Optimization Using Newly Developed Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-25, July.
    16. Zhang, Jincheng & Zhao, Xiaowei, 2020. "A novel dynamic wind farm wake model based on deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    17. Michael F. Howland & John O. Dabiri, 2020. "Influence of Wake Model Superposition and Secondary Steering on Model-Based Wake Steering Control with SCADA Data Assimilation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, December.
    18. Dou, Bingzheng & Guala, Michele & Lei, Liping & Zeng, Pan, 2019. "Wake model for horizontal-axis wind and hydrokinetic turbines in yawed conditions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1383-1395.
    19. Yang, Shanghui & Deng, Xiaowei & Yang, Kun, 2024. "Machine-learning-based wind farm optimization through layout design and yaw control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    20. Maarten T. van Beek & Axelle Viré & Søren J. Andersen, 2021. "Sensitivity and Uncertainty of the FLORIS Model Applied on the Lillgrund Wind Farm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-21, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:377:y:2025:i:pc:s0306261924019834. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.