IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v327y2022ics0306261922013435.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Linear quadratic Gaussian control with advanced continuous-time disturbance models for building thermal regulation

Author

Listed:
  • Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne
  • Jørgensen, John Bagterp
  • Madsen, Henrik

Abstract

This paper introduces a linear quadratic control scheme for a continuous-time system with observations taken at discrete times. Particular attention is given to the derivation of the disturbance terms in the model. Control performance may depend critical on accurate disturbance forecasts. This is the case for building climate control, where solar rays pass through e.g. windows and deliver significant amounts of energy and the dynamics can be very fast, fluctuating, and spontaneous. We thus argue that it is critical for control performance to sufficiently describe and include disturbances in the control description to obtain satisfactory control accuracy. We suggest and derive in details a control framework based on continuous-time stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and linear quadratic Gaussian control using an advanced continuous-time disturbance model to supply disturbance forecasts. The numerical simulation results suggest that control with embedded forecasts handles uncertainties well and provides up to 26% performance improvements compared to standard disturbance mitigation techniques. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the quadratic controller has a useful trade-off between variability in the control signal, economic cost, and variability around the reference point.

Suggested Citation

  • Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne & Jørgensen, John Bagterp & Madsen, Henrik, 2022. "Linear quadratic Gaussian control with advanced continuous-time disturbance models for building thermal regulation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:327:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922013435
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120086
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261922013435
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.120086?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Junker, Rune Grønborg & Azar, Armin Ghasem & Lopes, Rui Amaral & Lindberg, Karen Byskov & Reynders, Glenn & Relan, Rishi & Madsen, Henrik, 2018. "Characterizing the energy flexibility of buildings and districts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 175-182.
    2. Chang-Soon Kang & Jong-Il Park & Mignon Park & Jaeho Baek, 2014. "Novel Modeling and Control Strategies for a HVAC System Including Carbon Dioxide Control," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Lago, Jesus & De Ridder, Fjo & De Schutter, Bart, 2018. "Forecasting spot electricity prices: Deep learning approaches and empirical comparison of traditional algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C), pages 386-405.
    4. Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne & Madsen, Henrik & Jørgensen, John Bagterp, 2021. "Advanced forecasting and disturbance modelling for model predictive control of smart energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernández-Blanco, Ricardo & Morales, Juan Miguel & Pineda, Salvador, 2021. "Forecasting the price-response of a pool of buildings via homothetic inverse optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    2. Thilker, Christian Ankerstjerne & Madsen, Henrik & Jørgensen, John Bagterp, 2021. "Advanced forecasting and disturbance modelling for model predictive control of smart energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    3. Chen, Yongbao & Chen, Zhe & Xu, Peng & Li, Weilin & Sha, Huajing & Yang, Zhiwei & Li, Guowen & Hu, Chonghe, 2019. "Quantification of electricity flexibility in demand response: Office building case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    4. Fabietti, Luca & Qureshi, Faran A. & Gorecki, Tomasz T. & Salzmann, Christophe & Jones, Colin N., 2018. "Multi-time scale coordination of complementary resources for the provision of ancillary services," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1164-1180.
    5. Gao, Yuan & Miyata, Shohei & Akashi, Yasunori, 2022. "Interpretable deep learning models for hourly solar radiation prediction based on graph neural network and attention," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 321(C).
    6. Erik Heilmann & Janosch Henze & Heike Wetzel, 2021. "Machine learning in energy forecasts with an application to high frequency electricity consumption data," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202135, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    7. Wang, Delu & Gan, Jun & Mao, Jinqi & Chen, Fan & Yu, Lan, 2023. "Forecasting power demand in China with a CNN-LSTM model including multimodal information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    8. Umut Ugurlu & Ilkay Oksuz & Oktay Tas, 2018. "Electricity Price Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-23, May.
    9. Vandermeulen, Annelies & Van Oevelen, Tijs & van der Heijde, Bram & Helsen, Lieve, 2020. "A simulation-based evaluation of substation models for network flexibility characterisation in district heating networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    10. Namrye Son, 2021. "Comparison of the Deep Learning Performance for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-25, November.
    11. Galarneau-Vincent, Rémi & Gauthier, Geneviève & Godin, Frédéric, 2023. "Foreseeing the worst: Forecasting electricity DART spikes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    12. Jennifer Date & José A. Candanedo & Andreas K. Athienitis, 2021. "A Methodology for the Enhancement of the Energy Flexibility and Contingency Response of a Building through Predictive Control of Passive and Active Storage," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-28, March.
    13. Karol Pilot & Alicja Ganczarek-Gamrot & Krzysztof Kania, 2024. "Dealing with Anomalies in Day-Ahead Market Prediction Using Machine Learning Hybrid Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-20, September.
    14. Emil Kraft & Dogan Keles & Wolf Fichtner, 2020. "Modeling of frequency containment reserve prices with econometrics and artificial intelligence," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(8), pages 1179-1197, December.
    15. Ahl, A. & Yarime, M. & Goto, M. & Chopra, Shauhrat S. & Kumar, Nallapaneni Manoj. & Tanaka, K. & Sagawa, D., 2020. "Exploring blockchain for the energy transition: Opportunities and challenges based on a case study in Japan," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    16. Wuyue An & Lin Wang & Dongfeng Zhang, 2023. "Comprehensive commodity price forecasting framework using text mining methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1865-1888, November.
    17. Jun Yuan & Jiang Zhu & Victor Nian, 2020. "Neural Network Modeling Based on the Bayesian Method for Evaluating Shipping Mitigation Measures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-14, December.
    18. Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    19. Vladimir Franki & Darin Majnarić & Alfredo Višković, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies in the Power Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, January.
    20. Alejandro Martínez-Martín & Miguel Ángel Jaramillo-Morán & Diego Carmona-Fernández & Manuel Calderón-Godoy & Juan Félix González González, 2024. "Neural Network for Sky Darkness Level Prediction in Rural Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-13, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:327:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922013435. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.