IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v314y2022ics0306261922003580.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Self-fulfilling or self-destroying prophecy? The relevance of de-rating factors in modern capacity mechanisms

Author

Listed:
  • Brito-Pereira, Paulo
  • Rodilla, Pablo
  • Mastropietro, Paolo
  • Batlle, Carlos

Abstract

Capacity mechanisms aim at enhancing mid- to long-term reliability by adding an extra income for generation and demand response resources, based on their firm capacity, a parameter commonly defined by the regulator. The firm capacity is often calculated by multiplying the installed capacity by a de-rating factor, to reflect the expected capability of the resources to contribute to system reliability. Computing de-rating factors is quite a challenging and pivotal task, for any error in its determination can seriously affect the performance of the capacity mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • Brito-Pereira, Paulo & Rodilla, Pablo & Mastropietro, Paolo & Batlle, Carlos, 2022. "Self-fulfilling or self-destroying prophecy? The relevance of de-rating factors in modern capacity mechanisms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:314:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922003580
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118939
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261922003580
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.118939?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Meyer, Roland & Gore, Olga, 2015. "Cross-border effects of capacity mechanisms: Do uncoordinated market design changes contradict the goals of the European market integration?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 9-20.
    2. Hary, Nicolas & Rious, Vincent & Saguan, Marcelo, 2016. "The electricity generation adequacy problem: Assessing dynamic effects of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 113-127.
    3. Olsina, Fernando & Pringles, Rolando & Larisson, Carlos & Garcés, Francisco, 2014. "Reliability payments to generation capacity in electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 211-224.
    4. Muireann A. Lynch and Mel T. Devine, 2017. "Investment vs. Refurbishment: Examining Capacity Payment Mechanisms Using Stochastic Mixed Complementarity Problems," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    5. de Maere d’Aertrycke, Gauthier & Ehrenmann, Andreas & Smeers, Yves, 2017. "Investment with incomplete markets for risk: The need for long-term contracts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 571-583.
    6. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "Cross-border effects of capacity mechanisms in interconnected power systems," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 33-47.
    7. Vazquez, Carlos & Hallack, Michelle & Vazquez, Miguel, 2017. "Price computation in electricity auctions with complex rules: An analysis of investment signals," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 550-561.
    8. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Marcheselli, Anna & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J. L. & Vries, Laurens J. De, 2017. "An analysis of a forward capacity market with long-term contracts," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 111, pages 255-267.
    9. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & Vries, Laurens J. De, 2017. "Cross-border effects of capacity mechanisms in interconnected power systems," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 46, pages 33-47.
    10. Neuhoff, Karsten & De Vries, Laurens, 2004. "Insufficient incentives for investment in electricity generations," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 253-267, December.
    11. Fabra, Natalia, 2018. "A primer on capacity mechanisms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 323-335.
    12. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Marcheselli, Anna & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "An analysis of a forward capacity market with long-term contracts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 255-267.
    13. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "The effectiveness of capacity markets in the presence of a high portfolio share of renewable energy sources," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 76-91.
    14. Petitet, Marie & Finon, Dominique & Janssen, Tanguy, 2017. "Capacity adequacy in power markets facing energy transition: A comparison of scarcity pricing and capacity mechanism," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 30-46.
    15. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & Vries, Laurens J. De, 2017. "The effectiveness of capacity markets in the presence of a high portfolio share of renewable energy sources," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 48, pages 76-91.
    16. Botero B, Sergio & Isaza C, Felipe & Valencia, Adriana, 2010. "Evaluation of methodologies for remunerating wind power's reliability in Colombia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 14(7), pages 2049-2058, September.
    17. Mastropietro, Paolo & Herrero, Ignacio & Rodilla, Pablo & Batlle, Carlos, 2016. "A model-based analysis on the impact of explicit penalty schemes in capacity mechanisms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 406-417.
    18. Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Batlle, Carlos, 2019. "De-rating of wind and solar resources in capacity mechanisms: A review of international experiences," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 253-262.
    19. Fraunholz, Christoph & Keles, Dogan & Fichtner, Wolf, 2021. "On the role of electricity storage in capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    20. Batlle, Carlos & Vazquez, Carlos & Rivier, Michel & Perez-Arriaga, Ignacio J., 2007. "Enhancing power supply adequacy in Spain: Migrating from capacity payments to reliability options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 4545-4554, September.
    21. Nolan, Sheila & Neu, Olivier & O’Malley, Mark, 2017. "Capacity value estimation of a load-shifting resource using a coupled building and power system model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 71-82.
    22. Milstein, Irena & Tishler, Asher, 2019. "On the effects of capacity payments in competitive electricity markets: Capacity adequacy, price cap, and reliability," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 370-385.
    23. Karsten Neuhoff & Laurens De Vries, 2004. "Insufficient Incentives for Investment," Working Papers EP42, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    24. Cynthia Bothwell and Benjamin F. Hobbs, 2017. "Crediting Wind and Solar Renewables in Electricity Capacity Markets: The Effects of Alternative Definitions upon Market Efficiency," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(KAPSARC S).
    25. Oren, Shmuel S., 2005. "Generation Adequacy via Call Options Obligations: Safe Passage to the Promised Land," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(9), pages 28-42, November.
    26. Sengupta, Manajit & Xie, Yu & Lopez, Anthony & Habte, Aron & Maclaurin, Galen & Shelby, James, 2018. "The National Solar Radiation Data Base (NSRDB)," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 51-60.
    27. Herrero, Ignacio & Rodilla, Pablo & Batlle, Carlos, 2015. "Electricity market-clearing prices and investment incentives: The role of pricing rules," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 42-51.
    28. Cepeda, Mauricio, 2018. "Assessing cross-border integration of capacity mechanisms in coupled electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 28-40.
    29. Bidwell, Miles, 2005. "Reliability Options: A Market-Oriented Approach to Long-Term Adequacy," The Electricity Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 11-25, June.
    30. Chapman, Andrew J. & McLellan, Benjamin C. & Tezuka, Tetsuo, 2018. "Prioritizing mitigation efforts considering co-benefits, equity and energy justice: Fossil fuel to renewable energy transition pathways," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 187-198.
    31. Brito-Pereira, Paulo & Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Barroso, Luiz Augusto & Batlle, Carlos, 2022. "Adjusting the aim of capacity mechanisms: Future-proof reliability metrics and firm supply calculations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    32. Kozlova, M. & Overland, I., 2022. "Combining capacity mechanisms and renewable energy support: A review of the international experience," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    33. Hall, Stephen & Roelich, Katy E. & Davis, Mark E. & Holstenkamp, Lars, 2018. "Finance and justice in low-carbon energy transitions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 772-780.
    34. Schwenen, Sebastian, 2014. "Market design and supply security in imperfect power markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 256-263.
    35. Joskow, Paul L., 2008. "Capacity payments in imperfect electricity markets: Need and design," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 159-170, September.
    36. Cepeda, Mauricio & Finon, Dominique, 2013. "How to correct for long-term externalities of large-scale wind power development by a capacity mechanism?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 671-685.
    37. Chen, Huadong & Wang, Can & Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Jianhui, 2018. "Simulating the impact of investment preference on low-carbon transition in power sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 440-455.
    38. Svobodova, K. & Owen, J.R. & Harris, J. & Worden, S., 2020. "Complexities and contradictions in the global energy transition: A re-evaluation of country-level factors and dependencies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    39. Gauthier DE MAERE D’AERTRYCKE & Andreas EHRENMANN & Yves SMEERS, 2017. "Investment with incomplete markets for risk: the need for long-term contracts," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2849, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bublitz, Andreas & Keles, Dogan & Zimmermann, Florian & Fraunholz, Christoph & Fichtner, Wolf, 2019. "A survey on electricity market design: Insights from theory and real-world implementations of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1059-1078.
    2. Bublitz, Andreas & Keles, Dogan & Zimmermann, Florian & Fraunholz, Christoph & Fichtner, Wolf, 2018. "A survey on electricity market design: Insights from theory and real-world implementations of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 27, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    3. Keppler, Jan Horst & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2022. "Why the sustainable provision of low-carbon electricity needs hybrid markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    4. Khan, Agha Salman M. & Verzijlbergh, Remco A. & Sakinci, Ozgur Can & De Vries, Laurens J., 2018. "How do demand response and electrical energy storage affect (the need for) a capacity market?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 39-62.
    5. Komorowska, Aleksandra & Benalcazar, Pablo & Kaszyński, Przemysław & Kamiński, Jacek, 2020. "Economic consequences of a capacity market implementation: The case of Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Marcheselli, Anna & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "An analysis of a forward capacity market with long-term contracts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 255-267.
    7. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & Vries, Laurens J. De, 2017. "The effectiveness of capacity markets in the presence of a high portfolio share of renewable energy sources," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 48, pages 76-91.
    8. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Iychettira, Kaveri K. & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "The effectiveness of capacity markets in the presence of a high portfolio share of renewable energy sources," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 76-91.
    9. Simshauser, Paul, 2020. "Merchant renewables and the valuation of peaking plant in energy-only markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    10. Brito-Pereira, Paulo & Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Barroso, Luiz Augusto & Batlle, Carlos, 2022. "Adjusting the aim of capacity mechanisms: Future-proof reliability metrics and firm supply calculations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    11. Christos K. Simoglou & Pandelis N. Biskas, 2023. "Capacity Mechanisms in Europe and the US: A Comparative Analysis and a Real-Life Application for Greece," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-32, January.
    12. Heidarizadeh, Mohammad & Ahmadian, Mohammad, 2019. "Capacity certificate mechanism: A step forward toward a market based generation capacity incentive," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 45-56.
    13. Sebastian Schäfer & Lisa Altvater, 2019. "On the functioning of a capacity market with an increasing share of renewable energy," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 59-84, August.
    14. Kozlova, Mariia & Huhta, Kaisa & Lohrmann, Alena, 2023. "The interface between support schemes for renewable energy and security of supply: Reviewing capacity mechanisms and support schemes for renewable energy in Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    15. Perica Ilak & Lin Herenčić & Ivan Rajšl & Sara Raos & Željko Tomšić, 2021. "Equilibrium Pricing with Duality-Based Method: Approach for Market-Oriented Capacity Remuneration Mechanism," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-19, January.
    16. Mier, Mathias, 2021. "Efficient pricing of electricity revisited," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    17. Mastropietro, Paolo & Rodilla, Pablo & Rivier, Michel & Batlle, Carlos, 2024. "Reliability options: Regulatory recommendations for the next generation of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    18. Brown, David P., 2018. "Capacity payment mechanisms and investment incentives in restructured electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 131-142.
    19. Roques, Fabien A., 2008. "Market design for generation adequacy: Healing causes rather than symptoms," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 171-183, September.
    20. Simshauser, Paul, 2022. "Rooftop solar PV and the peak load problem in the NEM's Queensland region," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:314:y:2022:i:c:s0306261922003580. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.