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Quantification and scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from the central heating supply system in China from 2006 to 2025

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  • Du, Mingxi
  • Wang, Xiaoge
  • Peng, Changhui
  • Shan, Yuli
  • Chen, Huai
  • Wang, Meng
  • Zhu, Qiuan

Abstract

Policies associated with the central heating supply system affect the livelihoods of people in China. With the extensive consumption of energy for central heating, large quantities of CO2 emissions are produced each year. Coal-fired heating boiler plants are the primary source of emissions; however, thermal power plants are becoming much more prevalent, and gas-fired heating boiler plants remain uncommon. This study quantified the amount of CO2 emitted from the central heating supply system in China using a mass balance method with updated emission factors from the IPCC. Emissions increased from 189.04 Tg to 319.39 Tg between 2006 and 2015. From a spatial perspective, regions with larger central heating areas, durations and coverages produced more CO2 emissions. The central heating method depends on the level of electric power consumption, policies and regulations, and resource reserves at the local scale. Compared with the use of only coal-fired heating boiler plants to provide central heating, using thermal power plants and gas-fired heating boiler plants reduced CO2 emissions by 98.19 Tg in 2015 in China. A comparison of the CO2 emissions under various central heating scenarios showed that emissions will be 520.97 Tg, 308.79 Tg and 191.86 Tg for business as usual, positive and optimal scenarios through 2025, respectively. China has acknowledged the considerable potential for reducing central heating and will make efforts to pursue improved heating strategies in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Mingxi & Wang, Xiaoge & Peng, Changhui & Shan, Yuli & Chen, Huai & Wang, Meng & Zhu, Qiuan, 2018. "Quantification and scenario analysis of CO2 emissions from the central heating supply system in China from 2006 to 2025," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 869-875.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:225:y:2018:i:c:p:869-875
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.05.064
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    Cited by:

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    2. Cui, Yuanzheng & Zhang, Weishi & Wang, Can & Streets, David G. & Xu, Ying & Du, Mingxi & Lin, Jintai, 2019. "Spatiotemporal dynamics of CO2 emissions from central heating supply in the North China Plain over 2012–2016 due to natural gas usage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 245-256.
    3. Wei Shi & Wenwen Tang & Fuwei Qiao & Zhiquan Sha & Chengyuan Wang & Sixue Zhao, 2022. "How to Reduce Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Power Systems in Gansu Province—Analyze from the Life Cycle Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-15, May.
    4. Shuiguang Tong & Xiang Zhang & Zheming Tong & Yanling Wu & Ning Tang & Wei Zhong, 2019. "Online Ash Fouling Prediction for Boiler Heating Surfaces based on Wavelet Analysis and Support Vector Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    5. Chen, Han & Chen, Wenying, 2019. "Potential impacts of coal substitution policy on regional air pollutants and carbon emission reductions for China's building sector during the 13th Five-Year Plan period," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 281-294.
    6. Zhang, Jinrui & Meerman, Hans & Benders, René & Faaij, André, 2021. "Techno-economic and life cycle greenhouse gas emissions assessment of liquefied natural gas supply chain in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    7. Zhang, Jingxiao & Jin, Weixing & Yang, Guo-liang & Li, Hui & Ke, Yongjian & Philbin, Simon Patrick, 2021. "Optimizing regional allocation of CO2 emissions considering output under overall efficiency," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).

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    Keywords

    Climate change; CO2 emissions; Central heating; China;
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