IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v208y2017icp1198-1207.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantitative analysis on the impact of nuclear energy supply disruption on electricity supply security

Author

Listed:
  • Kosai, Shoki
  • Unesaki, Hironobu

Abstract

Improvement of power supply security is of paramount importance to sustain human activities. Technical and engineering failures of power grid system have been analyzed to evaluate power system reliability hitherto. However, after Fukushima nuclear accident, the sudden electricity supply disruption particularly associated with nuclear energy utilization brings upon a new risk of electricity supply security arising from societal issues, or nuclear vulnerability. As such, a methodology of quantifying nuclear vulnerability is firstly established under varying both the magnitude and time instant of sudden stoppage of nuclear power operation. Through the nuclear vulnerability analysis, a new electricity supply security index dedicated for nuclear power utilization, named System Interruption Nuclear Vulnerability Index (SINVI) is developed. SINVI could be used to predict the risk of electricity supply disruption arising from the sudden stoppage of nuclear power operation corresponding to the different capacity combination of various energy sources. Finally, the widely proposed dimensions of energy security for undisturbed electricity supply – diversification and redundancy – are incorporated with nuclear vulnerability to design the more secured power system taking into account the risk of nuclear energy utilization. The established algorithm can be readily implemented in any other electricity grid network including nuclear power technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Kosai, Shoki & Unesaki, Hironobu, 2017. "Quantitative analysis on the impact of nuclear energy supply disruption on electricity supply security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 1198-1207.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:208:y:2017:i:c:p:1198-1207
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.09.033
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261917313168
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.09.033?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vivoda, Vlado, 2009. "Diversification of oil import sources and energy security: A key strategy or an elusive objective?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4615-4623, November.
    2. Cohen, Gail & Joutz, Frederick & Loungani, Prakash, 2011. "Measuring energy security: Trends in the diversification of oil and natural gas supplies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 4860-4869, September.
    3. Kjølle, G.H. & Utne, I.B. & Gjerde, O., 2012. "Risk analysis of critical infrastructures emphasizing electricity supply and interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 80-89.
    4. Sovacool, Benjamin K. & Mukherjee, Ishani, 2011. "Conceptualizing and measuring energy security: A synthesized approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 5343-5355.
    5. Jakhrani, Abdul Qayoom & Othman, Al-Khalid & Rigit, Andrew Ragai Henry & Samo, Saleem Raza & Kamboh, Shakeel Ahmed, 2012. "A novel analytical model for optimal sizing of standalone photovoltaic systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 675-682.
    6. Lefèvre, Nicolas, 2010. "Measuring the energy security implications of fossil fuel resource concentration," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1635-1644, April.
    7. Portugal-Pereira, Joana & Esteban, Miguel, 2014. "Implications of paradigm shift in Japan’s electricity security of supply: A multi-dimensional indicator assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 424-434.
    8. Mulder, Karel, 2012. "The dynamics of public opinion on nuclear power. Interpreting an experiment in the Netherlands," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 1513-1524.
    9. Celik, A.N., 2007. "Effect of different load profiles on the loss-of-load probability of stand-alone photovoltaic systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2096-2115.
    10. Henneaux, Pierre & Labeau, Pierre-Etienne & Maun, Jean-Claude, 2012. "A level-1 probabilistic risk assessment to blackout hazard in transmission power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 41-52.
    11. Ang, B.W. & Choong, W.L. & Ng, T.S., 2015. "Energy security: Definitions, dimensions and indexes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1077-1093.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shoki Kosai & Chia Kwang Tan & Eiji Yamasue, 2018. "Evaluating Power Reliability Dedicated for Sudden Disruptions: Its Application to Determine Capacity on the Basis of Energy Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Chuang, Ming Chih & Ma, Hwong Wen, 2013. "Energy security and improvements in the function of diversity indices—Taiwan energy supply structure case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 9-20.
    3. Zhang, Hai-Ying & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2013. "An evaluation framework for oil import security based on the supply chain with a case study focused on China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 87-95.
    4. Liu, Litao & Cao, Zhi & Liu, Xiaojie & Shi, Lei & Cheng, Shengkui & Liu, Gang, 2020. "Oil security revisited: An assessment based on complex network analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    5. Sutrisno, Aziiz & Nomaler, Ӧnder & Alkemade, Floor, 2021. "Has the global expansion of energy markets truly improved energy security?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 148(PA).
    6. Honorata Nyga-Łukaszewska & Kentaka Aruga & Katarzyna Stala-Szlugaj, 2020. "Energy Security of Poland and Coal Supply: Price Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    7. Narula, Kapil & Reddy, B. Sudhakara, 2016. "A SES (sustainable energy security) index for developing countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 326-343.
    8. Pin Li & Jinsuo Zhang, 2019. "Is China’s Energy Supply Sustainable? New Research Model Based on the Exponential Smoothing and GM(1,1) Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-30, January.
    9. Erahman, Qodri Febrilian & Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu & Sudibandriyo, Mahmud & Hidayatno, Akhmad, 2016. "An assessment of Indonesia's energy security index and comparison with seventy countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 364-376.
    10. Ioannidis, Alexis & Chalvatzis, Konstantinos J. & Li, Xin & Notton, Gilles & Stephanides, Phedeas, 2019. "The case for islands’ energy vulnerability: Electricity supply diversity in 44 global islands," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 440-452.
    11. Kamonphorn Kanchana & Hironobu Unesaki, 2015. "Assessing Energy Security Using Indicator-Based Analysis: The Case of ASEAN Member Countries," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-47, December.
    12. Honorata Nyga-Łukaszewska & Eliza Chilimoniuk-Przeździecka, 2017. "Modelling Energy Security and International Competitiveness: The Export Perspective," Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, Centre for Strategic and International Entrepreneurship at the Cracow University of Economics., vol. 5(2), pages 71-84.
    13. Honorata Nyga-Łukaszewska & Tomasz M. Napiórkowski, 2022. "Does Energy Demand Security Affect International Competitiveness? Case of Selected Energy-Exporting OECD Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-19, March.
    14. Kang, Duan, 2024. "The establishment of evaluation systems and an index for energy superpower," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
    15. Ye, Ruike & Zhou, Yunheng & Chen, Jiawei & Tu, Kevin, 2021. "Natural gas security evaluation from a supply vs. demand perspective: A quantitative application of four As," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Gasser, Patrick, 2020. "A review on energy security indices to compare country performances," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    17. Brutschin, Elina & Fleig, Andreas, 2018. "Geopolitically induced investments in biofuels," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 721-732.
    18. Zhang, Long & Bai, Wuliyasu & Xiao, Huijuan & Ren, Jingzheng, 2021. "Measuring and improving regional energy security: A methodological framework based on both quantitative and qualitative analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    19. Larsen, Erik R. & Osorio, Sebastian & van Ackere, Ann, 2017. "A framework to evaluate security of supply in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 646-655.
    20. Wang, Deqing & Tian, Sihua & Fang, Lei & Xu, Yan, 2020. "A functional index model for dynamically evaluating China's energy security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:208:y:2017:i:c:p:1198-1207. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.