IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/anture/v88y2021ics0160738321000414.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

COVID-19 impacts of inbound tourism on Australian economy

Author

Listed:
  • Pham, Tien Duc
  • Dwyer, Larry
  • Su, Jen-Je
  • Ngo, Tramy

Abstract

The pandemic COVID-19 has severely impacted upon the world economy, devastating the tourism industry globally. This paper estimates the short-run economic impacts of the inbound tourism industry on the Australian economy during the pandemic. The analysis covers effects both at the macroeconomic as well as at the industry and occupation level, from direct contribution (using tourism satellite accounts) to economy-wide effects (using the computable general equilibrium modelling technique). Findings show that the pandemic affects a range of industries and occupations that are beyond the tourism sector. The paper calls for strong support from the government on tourism as the recovery of tourism can deliver spillover benefits for other sectors and across the whole spectrum of occupations in the labour market.

Suggested Citation

  • Pham, Tien Duc & Dwyer, Larry & Su, Jen-Je & Ngo, Tramy, 2021. "COVID-19 impacts of inbound tourism on Australian economy," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:88:y:2021:i:c:s0160738321000414
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2021.103179
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160738321000414
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.annals.2021.103179?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Warwick McKibbin & Roshen Fernando, 2021. "The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 20(2), pages 1-30, Summer.
    2. Madhu Shree & Akhlak Ahmad, 2020. "New Resources," Indian Journal of Gender Studies, Centre for Women's Development Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 502-506, October.
    3. Oscar Jorda & Sanjay R. Singh & Alan M. Taylor, 2022. "Longer-Run Economic Consequences of Pandemics," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 166-175, March.
    4. Larry Dwyer, 2015. "Computable general equilibrium modelling: an important tool for tourism policy analysis," Tourism and Hospitality Management, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management, vol. 21(2), pages 111-126, December.
    5. David Bonilla & Colin J. Axon & Justin D.K. Bishop, 2020. "Resource Rents, Democracy & the Eight Policy Lessons," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 15(4), pages 599-620, Octubre -.
    6. Burfisher,Mary E., 2017. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107584686, June.
    7. Hsiao-I Kuo & Chia-Lin Chang & Bing-Wen Huang & Chi-Chung Chen & Michael McAleer, 2009. "Estimating the Impact of Avian Flu on International Tourism Demand Using Panel Data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 15(3), pages 501-511, September.
    8. Lars Jonung & Werner Roeger, 2006. "The macroeconomic effects of a pandemic in Europe - A model-based assessment," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 251, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    9. Gianluca Benigno & Luca Fornaro & Martin Wolf, 2019. "The global financial resource curse," Economics Working Papers 1803, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Dec 2023.
    10. Emanuel Kohlscheen & Benoit Mojon & Daniel Rees, 2020. "The macroeconomic spillover effects of the pandemic on the global economy," BIS Bulletins 4, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ana-Isabel Guerra & Ferran Sancho, 2017. "Applied General Equilibrium," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, Springer, edition 2, number 978-3-662-54893-6, December.
    12. Frederic Boissay & Nikhil Patel & Hyun Song Shin, 2020. "Trade credit, trade finance, and the Covid-19 Crisis," BIS Bulletins 24, Bank for International Settlements.
    13. Veland Ramadani & Esra Memili & Ramo Palalić & Erick P. C. Chang, 2020. "Human Resource Management in Family Businesses," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, in: Entrepreneurial Family Businesses, chapter 7, pages 121-135, Springer.
    14. Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ana-Isabel Guerra & Ferran Sancho, 2017. "Real-World Examples of Applied General Equilibrium Analysis," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, in: Applied General Equilibrium, edition 2, chapter 7, pages 145-165, Springer.
    15. Marcus Keogh-Brown & Richard Smith & John Edmunds & Philippe Beutels, 2010. "The macroeconomic impact of pandemic influenza: estimates from models of the United Kingdom, France, Belgium and The Netherlands," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 11(6), pages 543-554, December.
    16. Wen Hai & Zhong Zhao & Jian Wang & Zhen-Gang Hou, 2004. "The Short-Term Impact of SARS on the Chinese Economy," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 3(1), pages 57-61.
    17. Marcus R. Keogh‐Brown & Simon Wren‐Lewis & W. John Edmunds & Philippe Beutels & Richard D. Smith, 2010. "The possible macroeconomic impact on the UK of an influenza pandemic," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(11), pages 1345-1360, November.
    18. Adam Blake & M. Thea Sinclair & Guntur Sugiyarto, 2003. "Quantifying the Impact of Foot and Mouth Disease on Tourism and the UK Economy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 9(4), pages 449-465, December.
    19. Smith, Richard D. & Keogh-Brown, Marcus R. & Barnett, Tony, 2011. "Estimating the economic impact of pandemic influenza: An application of the computable general equilibrium model to the UK," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 235-244, July.
    20. Madhu Shree & Akhlaq Ahmed, 2020. "New Resources," Indian Journal of Gender Studies, Centre for Women's Development Studies, vol. 27(2), pages 339-342, June.
    21. Madhu Shree & Akhlaq Ahmed, 2020. "New Resources," Indian Journal of Gender Studies, Centre for Women's Development Studies, vol. 27(1), pages 173-175, February.
    22. Warwick McKibbin & Alexandra Sidorenko, 2006. "Global Macroeconomic Consequences of Pandemic Influenza," CAMA Working Papers 2006-26, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    23. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Hongru & Chen, Xiang, 2020. "Coronavirus pandemic and tourism: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium modeling of infectious disease outbreak," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    24. Burfisher,Mary E., 2017. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107132207, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Boto-García, David & Mayor, Matías, 2022. "Domestic tourism and the resilience of hotel demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    2. Elvira P. de Lara-Tuprio & Maria Regina Justina E. Estuar & Joselito T. Sescon & Cymon Kayle Lubangco & Rolly Czar Joseph T. Castillo & Timothy Robin Y. Teng & Lenard Paulo V. Tamayo & Jay Michael R. , 2022. "Economic losses from COVID-19 cases in the Philippines: a dynamic model of health and economic policy trade-offs," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. Yu, Ling & Zhao, Pengjun & Tang, Junqing & Pang, Liang, 2023. "Changes in tourist mobility after COVID-19 outbreaks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    4. Martin Henseler & Hélène Maisonnave & Asiya Maskaeva, 2021. "Economic impacts of COVID-19 on the tourism sector in Tanzania," Working Papers hal-03501722, HAL.
    5. Xu, Nuo & Kasimov, Ikboljon & Wang, Yanan, 2022. "Unlocking private investment as a new determinant of green finance for renewable development in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 1121-1130.
    6. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2022. "Did COVID-19 tourism sector supports alleviate investor fear?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    7. Seržantė Milena & Pakalka Algimantas, 2022. "Assessment of the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Service Sector in Lithuania," Economics and Culture, Sciendo, vol. 19(2), pages 57-69, December.
    8. Emrah Kocak & Fevzi Okumus & Mehmet Altin, 2023. "Global pandemic uncertainty, pandemic discussion and visitor behaviour: A comparative tourism demand estimation for the US," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(5), pages 1225-1250, August.
    9. Chica, Manuel & Hernández, Juan M. & Santos, Francisco C., 2022. "Cooperation dynamics under pandemic risks and heterogeneous economic interdependence," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    10. Yao, Xuan & Xu, Zeshui & Škare, Marinko & Wang, Xindi, 2024. "Aftermath on COVID-19 technological and socioeconomic changes: A meta-analytic review," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    11. Zhengtang Fu & Peiwu Dong & Siyao Li & Yanbing Ju, 2021. "An intelligent cross-border transaction system based on consortium blockchain: A case study in Shenzhen, China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(6), pages 1-22, June.
    12. Can Wang & Xianming Meng & Mahinda Siriwardana & Tien Pham, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese tourism industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 131-152, February.
    13. Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues & Proque, Andressa Lemes & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & de Almeida Vale, Vinicius, 2021. "COVID-19, public agglomerations and economic effects: Assessing the recovery time of passenger transport services in Brazil," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 254-272.
    14. Mehmet Yildiz & Nicola Pless & Semih Ceyhan & Rob Hallak, 2023. "Responsible Leadership and Innovation during COVID-19: Evidence from the Australian Tourism and Hospitality Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    15. Dzyuba, Yu. & Bakalova, I., 2023. "CGE models for resource-based economy: A comprehensive bibliometric analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 61(4), pages 12-50.
    16. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Carol X. & Rickly, Jillian M., 2021. "A review of early COVID-19 research in tourism: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research's Curated Collection on coronavirus and tourism1," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    17. Oliver Cruz-Milan & Sergio Lagunas-Puls, 2021. "Effects of COVID-19 on Variations of Taxpayers in Tourism-Reliant Regions: The Case of the Mexican Caribbean," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-23, December.
    18. Nazia Nabi, 2023. "Segmenting travellers of luxury destinations in a post-pandemic era," Service Business, Springer;Pan-Pacific Business Association, vol. 17(3), pages 747-770, September.
    19. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    20. Fangming Qin & Gezhi Chen, 2022. "Vulnerability of Tourist Cities’ Economic Systems Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic: System Characteristics and Formation Mechanisms—A Case Study of 46 Major Tourist Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Qi & He, Ling & Liu, Yu & Zheng, Yanting & Wei, Wei & Yang, Bo & Zhou, Meifang, 2021. "The impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on China’s transport sectors based on the CGE model coupled with a decomposition analysis approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 103-115.
    2. Tiberiu Cristian Avrămescu, 2020. "Assessments on the Effects of the Coronavirus Pandemic on the Economies of the Central and South-East European Union Countries," Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, Ovidius University of Constantza, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 0(1), pages 105-112, August.
    3. B. Lahcen & J. Brusselaers & K. Vrancken & Y. Dams & C. Silva Paes & J. Eyckmans & S. Rousseau, 2020. "Green Recovery Policies for the COVID-19 Crisis: Modelling the Impact on the Economy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 76(4), pages 731-750, August.
    4. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2021. "Pandemic Economics," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 20401.
    5. David E. Bloom & Michael Kuhn & Klaus Prettner, 2022. "Modern Infectious Diseases: Macroeconomic Impacts and Policy Responses," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 60(1), pages 85-131, March.
    6. Sanchez Serrano, Antonio, 2022. "From Lost Turnover to Nonperforming Loans: The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Economy and on the Financial System," Journal of Financial Crises, Yale Program on Financial Stability (YPFS), vol. 4(3), pages 99-164, April.
    7. Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, 2021. "Macroeconomic effects of COVID‐19: A mid‐term review," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(4), pages 439-458, October.
    8. George Verikios & Maura Sullivan & Pane Stojanovski & James Giesecke & Gordon Woo, 2016. "Assessing Regional Risks From Pandemic Influenza: A Scenario Analysis," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(8), pages 1225-1255, August.
    9. Ilan Noy & Tomáš Uher, 2022. "Economic consequences of pre-COVID-19 epidemics: a literature review," Chapters, in: Mark Skidmore (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Disasters, chapter 7, pages 117-133, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues & Proque, Andressa Lemes & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & de Almeida Vale, Vinicius, 2021. "COVID-19, public agglomerations and economic effects: Assessing the recovery time of passenger transport services in Brazil," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 254-272.
    11. Can Wang & Xianming Meng & Mahinda Siriwardana & Tien Pham, 2022. "The impact of COVID-19 on the Chinese tourism industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(1), pages 131-152, February.
    12. Ilan Noy & Tomáš Uher, 2022. "Economic consequences of pre-COVID-19 epidemics: a literature review," Chapters, in: Mark Skidmore (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Disasters, chapter 7, pages 117-133, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    13. Smith, Richard D. & Keogh-Brown, Marcus R. & Barnett, Tony, 2011. "Estimating the economic impact of pandemic influenza: An application of the computable general equilibrium model to the UK," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 235-244, July.
    14. Ngouhouo, Ibrahim & Tchoffo, Rodrigue & Younchawou, Ngouwouo & Tafakeu, Marie-Josée, 2021. "Opening of alcoholic drink establishments during the Coronavirus period in Cameroon: scope and economic consequences," MPRA Paper 108630, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2021.
    15. Emmanuel Apergis & Nicholas Apergis, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on economic growth: evidence from a Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(58), pages 6739-6751, December.
    16. Zhang, Ke & Hou, Yuansi & Li, Gang, 2020. "Threat of infectious disease during an outbreak: Influence on tourists' emotional responses to disadvantaged price inequality," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    17. Marcus Roller, 2023. "Estimation of direct net effects of events," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(6), pages 1577-1597, September.
    18. Adesoji O. Farayibi & Simplice A. Asongu, 2020. "The Economic Consequences of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Nigeria," Working Papers 20/042, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    19. Xi Wu & Adam Blake, 2023. "The Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Air Travel Demand: Some Evidence From China," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
    20. Beirne, John Beirne & Renzhi, Nuobu & Sugandi, Eric Alexander & Volz, Ulrich, 2020. "Financial Market and Capital Flow Dynamics During the COVID-19 Pandemic," ADBI Working Papers 1158, Asian Development Bank Institute.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:88:y:2021:i:c:s0160738321000414. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/annals-of-tourism-research/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.