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Forecasting campground demand in US national parks

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  • Rice, William L.
  • Park, So Young
  • Pan, Bing
  • Newman, Peter

Abstract

Camping has grown from a recreational activity to an emerging tourism sector. In America's national parks, this growth is amplified by increasing visitation and an occupancy limited by a mission to preserve the nation's natural wonders. Forecasting future demand for campsites can not only aid administrators' resource allocation, efficient management, and effective communication, but also provide valuable information to campers as they plan their vacations. This manuscript explores the unique nature of campground administration and tests a variety of forecasting methods to identify which best lends itself to the distinctive behavior of camping tourists and the unique nature of campsites. An in-depth study of five popular campgrounds finds an ensemble model most accurate prediction model.

Suggested Citation

  • Rice, William L. & Park, So Young & Pan, Bing & Newman, Peter, 2019. "Forecasting campground demand in US national parks," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 424-438.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:anture:v:75:y:2019:i:c:p:424-438
    DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.01.013
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    Cited by:

    1. LU, Yi & Zhao, Jianting & Wu, Xueying & Lo, Siu Ming, 2020. "Escaping to nature in pandemic: a natural experiment of COVID-19 in Asian cities," SocArXiv rq8sn, Center for Open Science.
    2. Leiv Opstad & Randi Hammervold & Johannes Idsø, 2021. "The Influence of Income and Currency Changes on Tourist Inflow to Norwegian Campsites: The Case of Swedish and German Visitors," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-13, July.
    3. Craig, Christopher A., 2021. "Camping, glamping, and coronavirus in the United States," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Buda Baji'c & Sr{dj}an Mili'cevi'c & Aleksandar Anti'c & Slobodan Markovi'c & Nemanja Tomi'c, 2024. "Neural Network Modeling for Forecasting Tourism Demand in Stopi\'{c}a Cave: A Serbian Cave Tourism Study," Papers 2404.04974, arXiv.org.
    5. Siyao Ma & Christopher Craig & Daniel Scott & Song Feng, 2021. "Global Climate Resources for Camping and Nature-Based Tourism," Tourism and Hospitality, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-15, December.

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