IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v267y2022ics0378377422001822.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Effectiveness of best management practices for non-point source agricultural water pollution control with changing climate – Lithuania’s case

Author

Listed:
  • Plunge, Svajunas
  • Gudas, Mindaugas
  • Povilaitis, Arvydas

Abstract

This study aimed at the evaluation of the change in the effectiveness of Best Management Practices (BMPs) for agricultural pollution control in terms of reduction of nutrient loads to surface water bodies in Lithuania in the context of climate change (CC). The SWAT model was used by applying two CC representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), three time horizons (historical – 2000–2019, mid-century – 2040–2059, and end-century – 2080–2099), and five BMPs (arable land conversion to grasslands, reduced fertilization, no-till farming, catch-crops, and stubble fields throughout winter). The most effective (with the greatest nutrient reduction) BMPs include grasslands, stubble fields, and winter cover crops. No-plough farming and reduced fertilization BMPs appear to be the least effective ones. CC would increase the potential of reduced fertilization and conversion to grasslands BMPs up to 179% and 17%, respectively for total nitrogen (TN) reduction. Regarding total phosphorus (TP), the reduction potential would increase 226% for fertilization reduction, and remain approximate for grasslands (at median −4%). Due to winter reduction of loads, no-plough stubble fields, and winter cover crops would decrease by as much as − 50%, − 12% and − 26%, respectively for TN, and − 30%, − 11%, and − 17%, respectively for TP, compared to the historical period. The greatest change would be recorded for the most extreme CC scenario (RCP8.5) and the longest time horizon (end-century). The effectiveness of BMPs (except for no-plough) for TN load reduction would increase more, and on average would become greater in agriculture dominated areas (of central-northern Lithuania) than elsewhere, although the maximum reduction values would occur in western (and in some cases eastern) Lithuania (except for reduced fertilization). This suggests the importance of the application of the measures in both areas. BMPs (except for grasslands) are expected to have relatively little effect on the overall crop yield.

Suggested Citation

  • Plunge, Svajunas & Gudas, Mindaugas & Povilaitis, Arvydas, 2022. "Effectiveness of best management practices for non-point source agricultural water pollution control with changing climate – Lithuania’s case," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:267:y:2022:i:c:s0378377422001822
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107635
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377422001822
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.107635?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brouziyne, Youssef & Abouabdillah, Aziz & Hirich, Abdelaziz & Bouabid, Rachid & Zaaboul, Rashyd & Benaabidate, Lahcen, 2018. "Modeling sustainable adaptation strategies toward a climate-smart agriculture in a Mediterranean watershed under projected climate change scenarios," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 154-163.
    2. Hans Thodsen & Csilla Farkas & Jaroslaw Chormanski & Dennis Trolle & Gitte Blicher-Mathiesen & Ruth Grant & Alexander Engebretsen & Ignacy Kardel & Hans Estrup Andersen, 2017. "Modelling Nutrient Load Changes from Fertilizer Application Scenarios in Six Catchments around the Baltic Sea," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 7(5), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Wallace, Carlington W. & Flanagan, Dennis C. & Engel, Bernard A., 2017. "Quantifying the effects of conservation practice implementation on predicted runoff and chemical losses under climate change," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 51-65.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kun Li & Junchen Chen & Jingyu Lin & Huanyu Zhang & Yujing Xie & Zhaohua Li & Ling Wang, 2022. "Identifying Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs and Their Response to Landscape Patterns at Different Scales in an Agricultural Basin in Central China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Ning Zhou & Fanglei Zhong & Yanjie Yin, 2023. "Does Livelihood Determine Attitude? The Impact of Farmers’ Livelihood Capital on the Performance of Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Management: An Empirical Investigation in Yilong Lake Basin,," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-22, May.
    3. Jolita Kruopienė & Inga Gurauskienė & Aušra Randė, 2024. "Phosphorus Flow Analysis in Lithuania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-14, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sarfo, Isaac & Qiao, Jiajun & Yeboah, Emmanuel & Puplampu, Dzifa Adimle & Kwang, Clement & Fynn, Iris Ekua Mensimah & Batame, Michael & Appea, Emmanuella Aboagye & Hagan, Daniel Fiifi Tawia & Ayelazun, 2024. "Meta-analysis of land use systems development in Africa: Trajectories, implications, adaptive capacity, and future dynamics," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Tassadit Kourat & Dalila Smadhi & Brahim Mouhouche & Nerdjes Gourari & M. G. Mostofa Amin & Christopher Robin Bryant, 2021. "Assessment of future climate change impact on rainfed wheat yield in the semi-arid Eastern High Plain of Algeria using a crop model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(3), pages 2175-2203, July.
    3. Abou Ali, Asma & Bouchaou, Lhoussaine & Er-Raki, Salah & Hssaissoune, Mohammed & Brouziyne, Youssef & Ezzahar, Jamal & Khabba, Saïd & Chakir, Adnane & Labbaci, Adnane & Chehbouni, Abdelghani, 2023. "Assessment of crop evapotranspiration and deep percolation in a commercial irrigated citrus orchard under semi-arid climate: Combined Eddy-Covariance measurement and soil water balance-based approach," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    4. Pignalosa, Antonio & Silvestri, Nicola & Pugliese, Francesco & Corniello, Alfonso & Gerundo, Carlo & Del Seppia, Nicola & Lucchesi, Massimo & Coscini, Nicola & De Paola, Francesco & Giugni, Maurizio, 2022. "Long-term simulations of Nature-Based Solutions effects on runoff and soil losses in a flat agricultural area within the catchment of Lake Massaciuccoli (Central Italy)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    5. Jeong, Jin Su, 2018. "Design of spatial PGIS-MCDA-based land assessment planning for identifying sustainable land-use adaptation priorities for climate change impacts," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 61-71.
    6. Dzierzbicka-Glowacka, Lidia & Dybowski, Dawid & Janecki, Maciej & Wojciechowska, Ewa & Szymczycha, Beata & Potrykus, Dawid & Nowicki, Artur & Szymkiewicz, Adam & Zima, Piotr & Jaworska-Szulc, Beata & , 2022. "Modelling the impact of the agricultural holdings and land-use structure on the quality of inland and coastal waters with an innovative and interdisciplinary toolkit," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    7. Edward Osei & Syed H. Jafri & Philip W. Gassman & Ali Saleh, 2023. "Simulated Ecosystem and Farm-Level Economic Impacts of Conservation Tillage in a Northeastern Iowa County," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-22, April.
    8. Zitouna-Chebbi, Rim & Jacob, Frédéric & Prévot, Laurent & Voltz, Marc, 2023. "Documenting evapotranspiration and surface energy fluxes over rainfed annual crops within a Mediterranean hilly agrosystem," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Oduor, Brian Omondi & Campo-Bescós, Miguel Ángel & Lana-Renault, Noemí & Kyllmar, Katarina & Mårtensson, Kristina & Casalí, Javier, 2023. "Quantification of agricultural best management practices impacts on sediment and phosphorous export in a small catchment in southeastern Sweden," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    10. Sonja Bauer, 2020. "Identification of Water-Reuse Potentials to Strengthen Rural Areas in Water-Scarce Regions—The Case Study of Wuwei," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-20, December.
    11. Dechmi, Farida & Skhiri, Ahmed & Isidoro, Daniel, 2021. "Modeling environmental impact in a semi-arid intensive irrigated watershed," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    12. Adiba, Atman & Razouk, Rachid & Charafi, Jamal & Haddioui, Abdelmajid & Hamdani, Anas, 2021. "Assessment of water stress tolerance in eleven pomegranate cultivars based on agronomic traits," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    13. Villani, Lorenzo & Castelli, Giulio & Yimer, Estifanos Addisu & Nkwasa, Albert & Penna, Daniele & van Griensven, Ann & Bresci, Elena, 2024. "Exploring adaptive capacities in Mediterranean agriculture: Insights from Central Italy's Ombrone catchment," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    14. Edward Osei & Syed H. Jafri & Philip W. Gassman & Ali Saleh & Oscar Gallego, 2023. "Climate Change Impacts on Surface Runoff and Nutrient and Sediment Losses in Buchanan County, Iowa," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.
    15. Marcinkowski, Paweł & Piniewski, Mikołaj, 2024. "Future changes in crop yield over Poland driven by climate change, increasing atmospheric CO2 and nitrogen stress," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    16. Laima Česonienė & Daiva Šileikienė & Midona Dapkienė, 2021. "Influence of Anthropogenic Load in River Basins on River Water Status: A Case Study in Lithuania," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    17. Fouad H. Saeed & Mahmoud S. Al-Khafaji & Furat A. Mahmood Al-Faraj, 2021. "Sensitivity of Irrigation Water Requirement to Climate Change in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions towards Sustainable Management of Water Resources," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-21, December.
    18. Wu, Lei & Liu, Xia & Chen, Junlai & Li, Jinfeng & Yu, Yang & Ma, Xiaoyi, 2022. "Efficiency assessment of best management practices in sediment reduction by investigating cost-effective tradeoffs," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    19. Saleem A. Salman & Shamsuddin Shahid & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Mohammed Sanusi Shiru & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Zaher Mundher Yaseen, 2020. "Changes in Climatic Water Availability and Crop Water Demand for Iraq Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-20, April.
    20. Renfang Chang & Yunqi Wang & Huifang Liu & Zhen Wang & Lei Ma & Jiancong Zhang & Junjie Li & Zhiyi Yan & Yihui Zhang & Danqing Li, 2024. "Optimizing Non-Point Source Pollution Management: Evaluating Cost-Effective Strategies in a Small Watershed within the Three Gorges Reservoir Area, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-21, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:267:y:2022:i:c:s0378377422001822. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.