IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v252y2021ics0378377421001682.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Enhancement of sustainable agricultural production system by integrated natural resources management framework under climatic and operational uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Mandal, Uday
  • Dhar, Anirban
  • Panda, Sudhindra N.

Abstract

Constant decline of freshwater reserve poses a major challenge for coastal agricultural systems. The present study focuses on the integrated land and water resources management framework under operational and climatic uncertainties to achieve sustainable agricultural production in a tropical coastal river basin. To capture the operational and climatic uncertainties, Grey Linear Programming (GLP) and Acceptability Constrained Linear Programming (ACLP) optimization models were developed. GLP can consider both climatic and operational uncertainties. However, ACLP can accommodate operational uncertainty only. Groundwater model was coupled within the optimization models (GLP and ACLP) by a grey response matrix. The SWAT estimated recharge rates were utilized in the MODFLOW model as the groundwater flux. The calibrated (R2 = 0.80) and validated (R2 = 0.84) groundwater flow simulation model was utilized to generate the grey response matrix. The eight plausible scenarios were tested for GLP (Scenarios I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII) and ACLP (Scenarios Ia, IIa, IIIa, Iva, Va, VIa, VIIa, VIIIa) with groundwater table fluctuation (GWTF) method and grey response matrix as drawdown constraint. A reduction in net annual return was observed in Scenarios III and IV (with grey response matrix) in comparison to Scenarios I and II (with groundwater table fluctuation) under any change in crop yield. Decrease was more prominent for Rabi (winter) season compared to Kharif (monsoon) season. Futuristic Scenarios (V, VI, VII, VIII) considering crop yield reduction showed a possible change required in cropping pattern (specifically rice area reduction in Kharif Season). ACLP model results showed similar trends. Results suggest that the GWTF method overestimates the groundwater availability compared to the physically based simulation model. Obtained land and water resources management plans were cross-validated for the safe yield limit using MODFLOW simulation model.

Suggested Citation

  • Mandal, Uday & Dhar, Anirban & Panda, Sudhindra N., 2021. "Enhancement of sustainable agricultural production system by integrated natural resources management framework under climatic and operational uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:252:y:2021:i:c:s0378377421001682
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106903
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377421001682
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106903?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sanjay Raul & Sudhindra Panda, 2013. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling for Conjunctive Use Management under Hydrological Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1323-1350, March.
    2. Huang, G. H. & Baetz, B. W. & Patry, G. G., 1995. "Grey fuzzy integer programming: An application to regional waste management planning under uncertainty," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 17-38, March.
    3. Vasant P Gandhi, 2009. "Groundwater Irrigation in India: Gains, Costs and Risks," Working Papers id:2091, eSocialSciences.
    4. Chao-Chung Yang & Liang-Cheng Chang & Chang-Shian Chen & Ming-Sheng Yeh, 2009. "Multi-objective Planning for Conjunctive Use of Surface and Subsurface Water Using Genetic Algorithm and Dynamics Programming," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(3), pages 417-437, February.
    5. Li, Mo & Guo, Ping, 2015. "A coupled random fuzzy two-stage programming model for crop area optimization—A case study of the middle Heihe River basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 53-66.
    6. Yang, Gaiqiang & Guo, Ping & Huo, Lijuan & Ren, Chongfeng, 2015. "Optimization of the irrigation water resources for Shijin irrigation district in north China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 82-98.
    7. Singh, D. K. & Jaiswal, C. S. & Reddy, K. S. & Singh, R. M. & Bhandarkar, D. M., 2001. "Optimal cropping pattern in a canal command area," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 1-8, August.
    8. K. Srinivasa Raju & D. Nagesh Kumar, 2004. "Irrigation Planning using Genetic Algorithms," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(2), pages 163-176, April.
    9. Linker, Raphael, 2020. "Unified framework for model-based optimal allocation of crop areas and water," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    10. Li, Jiang & Song, Jian & Li, Mo & Shang, Songhao & Mao, Xiaomin & Yang, Jian & Adeloye, Adebayo J., 2018. "Optimization of irrigation scheduling for spring wheat based on simulation-optimization model under uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 245-260.
    11. Nicolaos Theodossiou, 2004. "Application of Non-Linear Simulation and Optimisation Models in Groundwater Aquifer Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(2), pages 125-141, April.
    12. Sethi, Laxmi Narayan & Panda, Sudhindra N. & Nayak, Manoj K., 2006. "Optimal crop planning and water resources allocation in a coastal groundwater basin, Orissa, India," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 209-220, June.
    13. Uday Mandal & Satiprasad Sahoo & Selva Balaji Munusamy & Anirban Dhar & Sudhindra N. Panda & Amlanjyoti Kar & Prasanta K. Mishra, 2016. "Delineation of Groundwater Potential Zones of Coastal Groundwater Basin Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making Technique," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4293-4310, September.
    14. Huang, G. H., 1998. "A hybrid inexact-stochastic water management model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 137-158, May.
    15. Ajay Singh & Sudhindra Panda, 2013. "Optimization and Simulation Modelling for Managing the Problems of Water Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(9), pages 3421-3431, July.
    16. Ajay Singh, 2016. "Optimal Allocation of Resources for Increasing Farm Revenue under Hydrological Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(7), pages 2569-2580, May.
    17. Huang, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Chen, X. & Ma, Y.G., 2012. "Optimization of the irrigation water resources for agricultural sustainability in Tarim River Basin, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 74-85.
    18. S. S. Khandelwal & S. D. Dhiman, 2018. "Optimal Allocation of Land and Water Resources in a Canal Command Area in the Deterministic and Stochastic Regimes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1569-1584, March.
    19. Singh, Ajay & Panda, Sudhindra Nath, 2012. "Development and application of an optimization model for the maximization of net agricultural return," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 267-275.
    20. R. Rejani & Madan Jha & Sudhindra Panda, 2009. "Simulation-Optimization Modelling for Sustainable Groundwater Management in a Coastal Basin of Orissa, India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(2), pages 235-263, January.
    21. Gong, Xinghui & Zhang, Hongbo & Ren, Chongfeng & Sun, Dongyong & Yang, Jiantao, 2020. "Optimization allocation of irrigation water resources based on crop water requirement under considering effective precipitation and uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    22. Kall, P., 1982. "Stochastic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 125-130, June.
    23. Gandhi, Vasant P. & N V Namboodiri, 2009. "Groundwater Irrigation in India: Gains, Costs and Risks," IIMA Working Papers WP2009-03-08, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    24. Huang, Guo H. & Baetz, Brian W. & Patry, Gilles G., 1995. "Grey integer programming: An application to waste management planning under uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(3), pages 594-620, June.
    25. Hamid Safavi & Fatemeh Darzi & Miguel Mariño, 2010. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling of Conjunctive Use of Surface Water and Groundwater," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 1965-1988, August.
    26. J. Yazdi & S. Salehi Neyshabouri, 2012. "A Simulation-Based Optimization Model for Flood Management on a Watershed Scale," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4569-4586, December.
    27. Shu Chen & Dongguo Shao & Xudong Li & Caixiu Lei, 2016. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling of Conjunctive Operation of Reservoirs and Ponds for Irrigation of Multiple Crops Using an Improved Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 2887-2905, July.
    28. Safavi, Hamid R. & Enteshari, Sajad, 2016. "Conjunctive use of surface and ground water resources using the ant system optimization," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 23-34.
    29. Aris Psilovikos, 2006. "Response Matrix Minimization Used in Groundwater Management with Mathematical Programming: A Case Study in a Transboundary Aquifer in Northern Greece," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(2), pages 277-290, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Yin & Alnafrah, Ibrahim & Zhou, Yaying, 2024. "A systemic efficiency measurement of resource management and sustainable practices: A network bias-corrected DEA assessment of OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Yao & Xu, Xu & Huang, Quanzhong & Huo, Zailin & Huang, Guanhua, 2016. "Optimizing regional irrigation water use by integrating a two-level optimization model and an agro-hydrological model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 76-88.
    2. Ajay Singh, 2014. "Irrigation Planning and Management Through Optimization Modelling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 1-14, January.
    3. Liuyue He & Sufen Wang & Congcong Peng & Qian Tan, 2018. "Optimization of Water Consumption Distribution Based on Crop Suitability in the Middle Reaches of Heihe River," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, June.
    4. Shannak, Sa'd, 2022. "Optimizing dynamics of water-energy-food nexus in a desert climate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    5. Singh, Ajay, 2014. "Simulation–optimization modeling for conjunctive water use management," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 23-29.
    6. Ajay Singh, 2016. "Optimal Allocation of Resources for Increasing Farm Revenue under Hydrological Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(7), pages 2569-2580, May.
    7. Sanjay Raul & Sudhindra Panda, 2013. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling for Conjunctive Use Management under Hydrological Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1323-1350, March.
    8. Chen, Shu & Shao, Dongguo & Gu, Wenquan & Xu, Baoli & Li, Haoxin & Fang, Longzhang, 2017. "An interval multistage water allocation model for crop different growth stages under inputs uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 86-97.
    9. Gong, Xinghui & Zhang, Hongbo & Ren, Chongfeng & Sun, Dongyong & Yang, Jiantao, 2020. "Optimization allocation of irrigation water resources based on crop water requirement under considering effective precipitation and uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    10. Deepti Rani & Sandra Mourato & Madalena Moreira, 2020. "A Generalized Dynamic Programming Modelling Approach for Integrated Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(4), pages 1335-1351, March.
    11. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, X., 2011. "An interval-valued minimax-regret analysis approach for the identification of optimal greenhouse-gas abatement strategies under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 4313-4324, July.
    12. Chunlong Li & Jianzhong Zhou & Shuo Ouyang & Chao Wang & Yi Liu, 2015. "Water Resources Optimal Allocation Based on Large-scale Reservoirs in the Upper Reaches of Yangtze River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2171-2187, May.
    13. Cao, M.F. & Huang, G.H. & Lin, Q.G., 2010. "Integer programming with random-boundary intervals for planning municipal power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(8), pages 2506-2516, August.
    14. Zhou, Feng & Huang, Gordon H. & Chen, Guo-Xian & Guo, Huai-Cheng, 2009. "Enhanced-interval linear programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 323-333, December.
    15. Xu, Y. & Huang, G.H. & Qin, X.S. & Cao, M.F., 2009. "SRCCP: A stochastic robust chance-constrained programming model for municipal solid waste management under uncertainty," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 53(6), pages 352-363.
    16. Dong, C. & Huang, G.H. & Cai, Y.P. & Liu, Y., 2012. "An inexact optimization modeling approach for supporting energy systems planning and air pollution mitigation in Beijing city," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 673-688.
    17. Lv, Y. & Yan, X.D. & Sun, W. & Gao, Z.Y., 2015. "A risk-based method for planning of bus–subway corridor evacuation under hybrid uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 188-199.
    18. Gaiqiang Yang & Ping Guo & Mo Li & Shiqi Fang & Liudong Zhang, 2016. "An Improved Solving Approach for Interval-Parameter Programming and Application to an Optimal Allocation of Irrigation Water Problem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(2), pages 701-729, January.
    19. Shaban Boloukat, Mohammad Hadi & Akbari Foroud, Asghar, 2016. "Stochastic-based resource expansion planning for a grid-connected microgrid using interval linear programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 776-787.
    20. M. Mohammad Rezapour Tabari, 2015. "Conjunctive Use Management under Uncertainty Conditions in Aquifer Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2967-2986, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:252:y:2021:i:c:s0378377421001682. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.