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Simulation-Optimization Modeling for Conjunctive Use Management under Hydrological Uncertainty

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  • Sanjay Raul
  • Sudhindra Panda

Abstract

The canal water supply, which is the only source of irrigation, in the rice-dominated cropping system of the Hirakud canal command (eastern India) is able to meet only 54 % of the irrigation demand at 90 % probability of exceedance. Hence, considering groundwater as the supplemental source of irrigation, conjunctive use management study by combined simulation-optimization modelling was undertaken in order to predict the maximum permissible groundwater pumpage from the command area. Further, optimal land and water resources allocation model was developed to determine the optimal cropping pattern for maximizing net annual return. The modelling results suggested that 2.0 and 2.3 million m 3 of groundwater can be pumped from the bottom aquifer during monsoon and non-monsoon seasons, respectively, at 90 % probability of exceedance of rainfall and canal water availability (PERC). Optimal cropping patterns and pumping strategies can lead to about 51.3–12.5 % increase in net annual return from the area at 10–90 % PERC. The sensitivity analysis of the model indicates that the variation in the market price of crops has very high influence on the optimal solution followed by the cost of cultivation and cultivable area. Finally, different future scenarios of land and water use were formulated for the command area. The adoption of optimal cropping patterns and optimal pumping strategies is strongly recommended for sustainable management of available land and water resources of the canal command under hydrological uncertainties. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Sanjay Raul & Sudhindra Panda, 2013. "Simulation-Optimization Modeling for Conjunctive Use Management under Hydrological Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1323-1350, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:27:y:2013:i:5:p:1323-1350
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0240-9
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    1. M. Mohammad Rezapour Tabari, 2015. "Conjunctive Use Management under Uncertainty Conditions in Aquifer Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2967-2986, June.
    2. Mandal, Uday & Dhar, Anirban & Panda, Sudhindra N., 2021. "Enhancement of sustainable agricultural production system by integrated natural resources management framework under climatic and operational uncertainty," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    3. Saeed Alimohammadi & Masoume Behrouz, 2021. "Stochastic Design of Flood Control Systems; Uncertainty Propagation and Results Representation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(13), pages 4457-4476, October.
    4. S. S. Khandelwal & S. D. Dhiman, 2018. "Optimal Allocation of Land and Water Resources in a Canal Command Area in the Deterministic and Stochastic Regimes," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(5), pages 1569-1584, March.
    5. M. Rezapour Tabari & Abdollah Yazdi, 2014. "Conjunctive Use of Surface and Groundwater with Inter-Basin Transfer Approach: Case Study Piranshahr," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(7), pages 1887-1906, May.
    6. Chunlong Li & Jianzhong Zhou & Shuo Ouyang & Chao Wang & Yi Liu, 2015. "Water Resources Optimal Allocation Based on Large-scale Reservoirs in the Upper Reaches of Yangtze River," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2171-2187, May.
    7. D.-A. An-Vo & S. Mushtaq & T. Nguyen-Ky & J. Bundschuh & T. Tran-Cong & T. Maraseni & K. Reardon-Smith, 2015. "Nonlinear Optimisation Using Production Functions to Estimate Economic Benefit of Conjunctive Water Use for Multicrop Production," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(7), pages 2153-2170, May.

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