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Combining scenario workshops with modeling to assess future irrigation water demands

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  • Rinaudo, Jean-Daniel
  • Maton, Laure
  • Terrason, Isabelle
  • Chazot, Sébastien
  • Richard-Ferroudji, Audrey
  • Caballero, Yvan

Abstract

We discuss methodological issues related to the development of long term future agricultural water demand scenarios. We present the results of original research which combines the use of scenario workshops with quantitative crop water requirement modeling approaches. Using a Southern France case study, we describe four scenarios, debated with farmers and stakeholders during workshops and evaluated in terms of total water demand. Results suggest that socio-economic evolution could lead to a 40% increase of irrigation water demand. From a methodological perspective, the research highlights the mutual benefits for both policy makers and scientists of involving stakeholders in the development of scenarios, using both qualitative storylines and quantitative modeling tools.

Suggested Citation

  • Rinaudo, Jean-Daniel & Maton, Laure & Terrason, Isabelle & Chazot, Sébastien & Richard-Ferroudji, Audrey & Caballero, Yvan, 2013. "Combining scenario workshops with modeling to assess future irrigation water demands," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 103-112.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:130:y:2013:i:c:p:103-112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2013.08.016
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    Cited by:

    1. Corentin Girard & Jean-Daniel Rinaudo & Manuel Pulido-Velazquez & Yvan Caballero, 2015. "An interdisciplinary modelling framework for selecting adaptation measures at the river basin scale in a global change scenario," Post-Print hal-01183833, HAL.
    2. Atsede D. Tegegne & Marianne Penker & Maria Wurzinger, 2016. "Participatory Demographic Scenarios Addressing Uncertainty and Transformative Change in Ethiopia," Systemic Practice and Action Research, Springer, vol. 29(3), pages 277-296, June.
    3. P. Marcos-Garcia & M. Pulido-Velazquez & C. Sanchis-Ibor & M. García-Mollá & M. Ortega-Reig & A. Garcia-Prats & C. Girard, 2023. "From local knowledge to decision making in climate change adaptation at basin scale. Application to the Jucar River Basin, Spain," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(4), pages 1-23, April.
    4. Hérivaux, C. & Vinatier, F. & Sabir, M. & Guillot, F. & Rinaudo, J.D., 2021. "Combining narrative scenarios, local knowledge and land-use change modelling for integrating soil erosion in a global perspective," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

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