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Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda

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  • Kozicka, Marta
  • Gotor, Elisabetta
  • Ocimati, Walter
  • de Jager, Tamar
  • Kikulwe, Enoch
  • Groot, Jeroen C.J.

Abstract

We analyse the impact of two large-scale regime shifts caused by disease incidence or climate change, and associated crop productivity and price changes, on banana-based smallholders in Uganda. We evaluate these farmers' vulnerability and assess the potential of using increased crop diversity to improve their resilience. We further explore trade-offs and synergies between environmental, economic and nutritional outcomes faced by the farmers in their decision making when a regime shift occurs. We simulate the large-scale scenarios with the IMPACT model and use the results obtained to assess their effect at the local level using the bio-economic farm-household model, FarmDESIGN.

Suggested Citation

  • Kozicka, Marta & Gotor, Elisabetta & Ocimati, Walter & de Jager, Tamar & Kikulwe, Enoch & Groot, Jeroen C.J., 2020. "Responding to future regime shifts with agrobiodiversity: A multi-level perspective on small-scale farming in Uganda," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:183:y:2020:i:c:s0308521x19309618
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2020.102864
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