IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/dat/earchi/y2022i1p34-43.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Relationship Between Food Production Prices And Inflation In Bulgaria

Author

Listed:
  • Lachezar Borisov

    (Higher School of Insurance and Finance)

Abstract

The study aims to find relationships between the total producer price index for food products and the harmonized consumer price index for food products in Bulgaria. The analysis of the relationships aims to reveal the impact of producer prices on the final consumer price of food products, as well as the period in which the strongest relationships are present. The sharp rise in food prices in Bulgaria, the macroeconomic forecasts for the continuation of this trend and their impact on the welfare of citizens make it necessary to analyse various interrelationships that serve the study and forecasting of certain processes in the country. The study concludes that there is a causal relationship between the total producer price index for food products and the harmonized consumer price index for food products in Bulgaria. In contrast to the general case where inflationary processes are transmitted from producer prices to consumer prices with a lag of 5 months, in the case of food products this happens within the same month.

Suggested Citation

  • Lachezar Borisov, 2022. "The Relationship Between Food Production Prices And Inflation In Bulgaria," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 1 Year 20, pages 34-43.
    • Handle: RePEc:dat:earchi:y:2022:i:1:p:34-43
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10610/4619
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Irz, Xavier & Niemi, Jyrki & Liu, Xing, 2013. "Determinants of food price inflation in Finland—The role of energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 656-663.
    2. Luca ONORANTE & Gianluigi FERRUCCI & Rebeca JIMÉNEZ-RODRÍGUEZ, 2010. "Food Price Pass-Through in the Euro Area: the Role of Asymmetries and Non-Linearities," EcoMod2010 259600125, EcoMod.
    3. Jungho Baek & Won W. Koo, 2010. "Analyzing Factors Affecting U.S. Food Price Inflation," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 58(3), pages 303-320, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lachezar Borisov, 2022. "Consumer Confidence And Real Economic Growth In The Eurozone," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 8(3).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Patricia Toledo & Roberto Duncan, 2024. "Forecasting food price inflation during global crises," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 1087-1113, July.
    2. Sefa Işik & Fatih Cemil Özbugday, 2021. "The impact of agricultural input costs on food prices in Turkey: A case study," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(3), pages 101-110.
    3. Zhu, Xiaoyu & Barichello, Richard & Vercammen, James, 2023. "Analyzing the Dynamics of Food Price Inflation: An examination of Labour Costs, Supply Chains and Retail Food Price Inflation," 2023: The Future of (Ag-) Trade and Trade Governance in Times of Economic Sanctions and Declining Multilateralism, December 10-12, Clearwater Beach, FL 339508, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    4. Elena I. Ianchovichina & Josef L. Loening & Christina A. Wood, 2014. "How Vulnerable are Arab Countries to Global Food Price Shocks?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(9), pages 1302-1319, September.
    5. Nemati, Mehdi, 2017. "Relationship among Energy, Bioenergy and Agricultural Commodity Prices: Re-Considering Structural Changes," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 5(3), July.
    6. Rashid Khan, Haroon Ur & Islam, Talat & Yousaf, Sheikh Usman & Zaman, Khalid & Shoukry, Alaa Mohamd & Sharkawy, Mohamed A. & Gani, Showkat & Aamir, Alamzeb & Hishan, Sanil S., 2019. "The impact of financial development indicators on natural resource markets: Evidence from two-step GMM estimator," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 240-255.
    7. Maurizio Aragrande & Mauro Bruni & Alberico Loi & Roberto Esposti, 2017. "The effect of EU 2006 sugar regime reform on vertical price transmission," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, December.
    8. Rizgar Abdlkarim Abdlaziz & Khalid Abdul Rahim & Peter Adamu, 2016. "Oil and Food Prices Co-integration Nexus for Indonesia: A Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 82-87.
    9. Luca Cacchiarelli & Daniel Lass & Alessandro Sorrentino, 2016. "CAP Reform and Price Transmission in the Italian Pasta Chain," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 482-497, November.
    10. Martin Gächter & Hanno Lorenz & Paul Ramskogler & Maria Antoinette Silgoner, 2013. "An Export-Based Measure of Competitiveness," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 75-92.
    11. Fatemeh Razmi & Azali Mohamed & Lee Chin & Muzafar Shah Habibullah, 2017. "How Does Monetary Policy Affect Economic Vulnerability to Oil Price Shock as against US Economy Shock?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 544-550.
    12. Michael Pedersen, 2011. "Propagation of Shocks to Food and Energy Prices: an International Comparison," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 648, Central Bank of Chile.
    13. Hudson, John, 2015. "Consequences of Aid Volatility for Macroeconomic Management and Aid Effectiveness," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 62-74.
    14. Michael K. Adjemian & Shawn Arita & Seth Meyer & Delmy Salin, 2024. "Factors affecting recent food price inflation in the United States," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(2), pages 648-676, June.
    15. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugando, Mikel, 2014. "US dollar exchange rate and food price dependence: Implications for portfolio risk management," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 72-89.
    16. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur, 2012. "Oil price, agricultural commodity prices, and the dollar: A panel cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 1098-1104.
    17. Cullen S. Hendrix, 2011. "Markets vs. Malthus: Food Security and the Global Economy," Policy Briefs PB11-12, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    18. Afesorgbor, S. Kwaku & Kornher, Lukas & Santeramo, Fabio, 2023. "The impacts of economic sanctions on food (prices) security: Evidence from targeted countries," 2023: The Future of (Ag-) Trade and Trade Governance in Times of Economic Sanctions and Declining Multilateralism, December 10-12, Clearwater Beach, FL 339511, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    19. Jitka Sirohi & Zuzana Hloušková & Klára Bartoňová & Karel Malec & Mansoor Maitah & Robert Koželský, 2023. "The Vertical Price Transmission in Pork Meat Production in the Czech Republic," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-14, June.
    20. Nazlioglu, Saban & Soytas, Ugur, 2011. "World oil prices and agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from an emerging market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 488-496, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    producer price index for food products; consumer price index for food products; inflation; forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dat:earchi:y:2022:i:1:p:34-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Kostadin Bashev (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/tsenobg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.