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The effects of total sleep deprivation on bayesian updating

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  • Dickinson, David L.
  • Drummond, Sean P. A.

Abstract

Subjects performed a decision task (Grether, 1980) in both a well-rested and experimentally sleep-deprived state. We found two main results: 1) final choice accuracy was unaffected by sleep deprivation, and yet 2) the estimated decision model differed significantly following sleep-deprivation. Following sleep deprivation, subjects placed significantly less weight on new information in forming their beliefs. Because the altered decision process still maintains decision accuracy, it may suggest that increased accident and error rates attributed to reduced sleep in modern society stem from reduced auxiliary function performance (e.g., slowed reaction time, reduced motor skills) or other components of decision making, rather than the inability to integrate multiple pieces of information.

Suggested Citation

  • Dickinson, David L. & Drummond, Sean P. A., 2008. "The effects of total sleep deprivation on bayesian updating," Judgment and Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, vol. 3(2), pages 181-190, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:judgdm:v:3:y:2008:i:2:p:181-190_6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harrison, Y. & Horne, J. A., 1999. "One Night of Sleep Loss Impairs Innovative Thinking and Flexible Decision Making, ," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 78(2), pages 128-145, May.
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    5. David M. Grether, 1980. "Bayes Rule as a Descriptive Model: The Representativeness Heuristic," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 95(3), pages 537-557.
    6. Grether, David M., 1992. "Testing bayes rule and the representativeness heuristic: Some experimental evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 31-57, January.
    7. Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky, 2013. "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & William T Ziemba (ed.), HANDBOOK OF THE FUNDAMENTALS OF FINANCIAL DECISION MAKING Part I, chapter 6, pages 99-127, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Miscellaneous
      by Martin Ryan in Geary Behaviour Centre on 2010-01-27 22:20:00
    2. Sleep deprivation and rationality
      by chris dillow in Stumbling and Mumbling on 2006-03-21 19:53:08

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