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Planning scenarios for popular economy based on commerce in public space

Author

Listed:
  • Hernández Gil, Cristian

    (Universidad de la Amazonia)

  • García Capdevilla, Diana Ali

    (Universidad de la Amazonia)

Abstract

Introduction: This article comprises the analysis of popular economy in public spaces, based on scenario planning, approaching it from a foresight perspective. Objective: The study aims to analyze the possible scenarios of popular economy derived from commerce in public spaces in a city of the Caquetá department (Colombia). Methodology: A mixed-design, descriptive-type investigation was carried out using the SEARCH method to achieve this. Results: The findings present three scenarios resulting from the development of popular economy in the territory: 1) social chaos and insecurity; 2) weakening of the economic and tourism potential; and 3) widening of the economic development gap compared to the national average. Conclusions: The study highlights the reasons that have led to considering popular economy as an issue to be addressed by national public management. Additionally, the main challenge for territorial entities is to define assertive solutions through public policies to reduce informality or, at the very least, improve the population's living conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernández Gil, Cristian & García Capdevilla, Diana Ali, 2025. "Planning scenarios for popular economy based on commerce in public space," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 26(1), pages 115-141, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000520:021334
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Margherita Pagani, 2009. "Roadmapping 3G mobile TV : Strategic thinking and scenario planning through repeated cross-impact handling," Post-Print hal-02313094, HAL.
    2. Sapio, Bartolomeo, 1995. "SEARCH (Scenario evaluation and analysis through repeated cross impact handling): a new method for scenario analysis with an application to the Videotel service in Italy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 113-131, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    quality of life; trade; urban space; poverty; security;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • J46 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Informal Labor Market
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • P17 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Performance and Prospects

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