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Zuwanderung nach der EU-Osterweiterung: Wo liegen die Probleme?

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  • Hans-Werner Sinn
  • Martin Werding

Abstract

In den Verhandlungen zur EU-Osterweiterung steht im ersten Halbjahr 2001 die Regelung zur Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit auf der Tagesordnung. Mittlerweile liegen mehrere Schätzungen des Zuwanderungspotentials vor, das nach der EU-Erweiterung für Deutschland oder ganz Westeuropa wirksam werden kann. Die öffentliche Diskussion konzentriert sich dabei vor allem auf das jeweils projizierte Migrationsvolumen, das für Deutschland nach Ablauf von 15 Jahren auf Werte zwischen 2 und 6 Mill. Personen geschätzt wird. Letztlich sind es aber nicht so sehr die nur schwer vorauszuschätzenden Zuwanderungszahlen, sondern in erster Linie die bestehenden ökonomischen und rechtlichen Rahmenbedingungen für Wanderungen innerhalb einer erweiterten EU, die als eigentliche Ursache möglicher Folgeprobleme anzusehen sind.

Suggested Citation

  • Hans-Werner Sinn & Martin Werding, 2001. "Zuwanderung nach der EU-Osterweiterung: Wo liegen die Probleme?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(08), pages 18-27, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:08:p:18-27
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Clemens Fuest & Marcel Thum, 2001. "Zuwanderungsgewinne bei unvollständigen Arbeitsmärkten?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(08), pages 28-31, May.
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    10. Hans-Werner Sinn & Gebhard Flaig & Martin Werding & Sonja Munz & Nicola Düll & Herbert Hofmann, 2001. "EU enlargement and labour-force migration: Proposals for a gradual convergence of labour markets," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 2.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Björn Alecke & Gerhard Untiedt, 2003. "EU-Osterweiterung und regionale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(22), pages 10-17, November.
    2. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2003. "Das demographische Defizit - die Fakten, die Folgen, die Ursachen und ihre Politikimplikationen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(05), pages 20-36, March.
    3. Klaus Prettner & Alfred Stiglbauer, 2007. "Effects of the Full Opening of the Austrian Labor Market to EU-8 Citizens," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 50-66.
    4. Richter, Wolfram F., 2002. "Social Security and Taxation of Labour Subject to Subsidiarity and Freedom of Movement," IZA Discussion Papers 490, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2013. "Das demographische Defizit – die Fakten, die Folgen, die Ursachen und die Politikimplikationen," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(21), pages 03-23, November.
    6. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2005. "Europe’s Demographic Deficit A Plea For A Child Pension System," De Economist, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 1-45, December.
    7. Jana Vavreÿécková, 2002. "Ist der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt durch eine Migration der Bevölkerung aus Tschechien bedroht?," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 9(02), pages 11-20, 09.
    8. Möllers, Judith, 2006. "Außerlandwirtschaftliche Diversifikation im Transformationsprozzess: Diversifikationsentscheidungen und -strategien ländlicher Haushalte in Slowenien und Mazedonien," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 35, number 92495.
    9. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2005. "Europe's Demographic Deficit," Munich Reprints in Economics 934, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
    10. Dickmann, Nicola, 2004. "Ein demographisches Porträt der osteuropäischen Beitrittsländer," IW-Trends – Vierteljahresschrift zur empirischen Wirtschaftsforschung, Institut der deutschen Wirtschaft (IW) / German Economic Institute, vol. 31(1), pages 21-26.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU-Erweiterung; Osteuropa; Internationale Arbeitsmobilität; Wohlfahrt; Arbeitsmarkt; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J39 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Other
    • J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General

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