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Ukrainian Refugees’ Return Intentions and Integration in the Course of Time

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  • Joop Age Harm Adema
  • Cevat Giray Aksoy
  • Yvonne Giesing
  • Panu Poutvaara

Abstract

Most Ukrainians plan to return, but the share of Ukrainian refugees planning to settle outside of Ukraine has gradually increased and reached 25 percent by mid-2024 By June 2024, 12 percent of Ukrainian refugees had returned to Ukraine and 7 percent had moved to another host country compared to 2022 Liberation of certain districts in late 2022 increased the probability of people from there returning to Ukraine by 5 percentage points Local conflict in home municipality has redirected return to other parts of Ukraine, without reducing the overall probability of returning The EU should encourage Ukrainian refugees to return once the conflict is over, but also help them to find work while under temporary protection

Suggested Citation

  • Joop Age Harm Adema & Cevat Giray Aksoy & Yvonne Giesing & Panu Poutvaara, 2024. "Ukrainian Refugees’ Return Intentions and Integration in the Course of Time," EconPol Forum, CESifo, vol. 25(06), pages 36-40, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:epofor:v:25:y:2024:i:06:p:36-40
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/econpol-forum-2024-6-adema-aksoy-giesing-poutvaara-eu-regulation.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Alrababah, Ala & Masterson, Daniel & Casalis, Marine & Hangartner, Dominik & Weinstein, Jeremy, 2023. "The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(4), pages 1108-1131, October.
    3. Kalena E. Cortes, 2004. "Are Refugees Different from Economic Immigrants? Some Empirical Evidence on the Heterogeneity of Immigrant Groups in the United States," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(2), pages 465-480, May.
    4. Adema, Joop & Aksoy, Cevat Giray & Giesing, Yvonne & Poutvaara, Panu, 2024. "The Effect of Conflict on Refugees' Return and Integration: Evidence from Ukraine," IZA Discussion Papers 16962, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Cortes, Kalena E., 2004. "Are Refugees Different from Economic Immigrants? Some Empirical Evidence on the Heterogeneity of Immigrant Groups in the United States," IZA Discussion Papers 1063, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
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