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The Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policies in Latin America

In: International Spillovers of Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Fructuoso Borrallo

    (Banco de España)

  • Ignacio Hernando

    (Banco de España)

  • Javier Vallés

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

This paper offers an empirical analysis of the way in which us unconventional monetary policy has affected Latin American countries. First, we estimate the effects of US monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond interest rates, exchange rates, and stock market indices for a set of emerging countries, including five Latin American economies. We found that QE announcements in 2008 and 2009, and the tapering talk in 2013 generated sizable sovereign yield and exchange rate fluctuations. We further find some excess response of Latin American asset prices that disappear once we take into account their country characteristics. In the second part of the paper we estimate a simple model that measures the influence of country-specific macroeconomic fundamentals on the transmission of US financial disturbances. An estimated model including the inflation rate, the CDS spread, the ratio of official reserves, and market capitalization explains some of the observed cross-country heterogeneity of spillovers from US monetary policy announcements. Under this model, a greater impact from the normalization of US monetary policy can be expected in Latin American relative to other emerging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Fructuoso Borrallo & Ignacio Hernando & Javier Vallés, 2017. "The Effects of US Unconventional Monetary Policies in Latin America," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Ángel Estrada García & Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), International Spillovers of Monetary Policy, edition 1, chapter 5, pages 111-154, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    • Handle: RePEc:cml:incocp:3-05
    Note: Joint Research Program XX Meeting of the Central Bank Researchers Network
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Saba Ndayezhin Danladi, 2022. "Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy and Macreconomic Conditions in Nigeria: Evidence from Time-Varying Parameter Structural Vector Autoregression (TVP-SVAR)," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 101-120.
    3. Prabu A, Edwin & Bhattacharyya, Indranil & Ray, Partha, 2016. "Is the stock market impervious to monetary policy announcements: Evidence from emerging India," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 166-179.
    4. M. Yu. GOLOVNIN, 2018. "External effects of US monetary policy," Outlines of global transformations: politics, economics, law, Center for Crisis Society Studies, vol. 11(2).
    5. Gang Wang, 2019. "The Effects of Quantitative Easing Announcements on the Mortgage Market: An Event Study Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-30, February.
    6. Apergis, Nicholas & Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Cooray, Arusha, 2020. "Monetary policy and commodity markets: Unconventional versus conventional impact and the role of economic uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    unconventional monetary policy; spillovers; emerging economies; event study.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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