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Drivers of Export Demand: A Focus on the GIIPS Countries

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  • Bernardina Algieri

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type="main" xml:id="twec12153-abs-0001"> This study investigates the drivers of export demand in the peripheral economies of the Euro Area, namely Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain (GIIPS), for the period between 1980 and 2012. Recently, several authors have pointed out that changes in trade export shares are not associated with major terms of trade disturbances; rather, they are the result of other underlying factors commonly defined as ‘non-price competitiveness’. Starting from this premise, the study extends the traditional imperfect substitute trade model to include a measure of non-price competitiveness: real capital stock. The latter is a measure of a country's total resource base and captures the presence of product differentiation and product innovation. The results show a significant link between export demand and cumulative investments. In the short-term, GIIPS exports are dominated by the movements of worldwide real income, while changes in price and non-competitiveness take longer to affect export performance. In the long-run, all three variables play a significant role in pushing exports.

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  • Bernardina Algieri, 2014. "Drivers of Export Demand: A Focus on the GIIPS Countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(10), pages 1454-1482, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:37:y:2014:i:10:p:1454-1482
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    3. Luigi Bonatti & Andrea Fracasso, 2017. "Addressing the Core-Periphery Imbalances in Europe: Resource Misallocation and Expansionary Fiscal Policies," EconPol Working Paper 6, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    4. Wim Naudé & Martin Cameron, 2021. "Export-Led Growth after COVID-19: The Case of Portugal," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 52, pages 7-53, July.
    5. Bruno Ducoudré & Eric Heyer, 2014. "Baisse de l'euro et désinflation compétitive," Post-Print hal-01093016, HAL.
    6. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/c6c7hcjgm915q0m9u9i8r91sb is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Xavier Timbeau, 2014. "Le piège de la déflation : Perspectives 2014-2015," Post-Print hal-03460404, HAL.
    8. Esposito, Piero, 2017. "Trade creation, trade diversion and imbalances in the EMU," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 462-472.
    9. D. Baiardi & C. Bianchi, 2018. "At the roots of China's striking performance in textile exports: a comparison with its main Asian competitors," Economics Department Working Papers 2018-EP03, Department of Economics, Parma University (Italy).
    10. Günçavdı, Öner & Suna Kayam, Saime, 2017. "Unravelling the structure of Turkish exports: Impediments and policy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 307-323.
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    12. Bernardina Algieri & Antonio Aquino & Marianna Succurro, 2022. "Trade Specialisation and Changing Patterns of Comparative Advantages in Manufactured Goods," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 8(3), pages 607-667, November.
    13. Kiyotaka Sato & Junko Shimizu & Nagendra Shrestha & Shajuan Zhang, 2013. "Industry-specific Real Effective Exchange Rates and Export Price Competitiveness: The Cases of Japan, China, and Korea," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 8(2), pages 298-321, December.
    14. Nicholas‐Joseph Lazarou & Andreas Zervas, 2023. "Declining long‐run income elasticities and the rise of cyclicality of trade: Evidence from Greece, 1995–2018," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(6), pages 1873-1888, June.
    15. Samih Antoine Azar, 2017. "The Determinants of Export Documentary Credit in Lebanon," Accounting and Finance Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 1-68, February.
    16. Esposito, Piero, 2015. "Trade (dis)Integration and Imbalances in the EMU," LEAP Working Papers 2015/7, Luiss Institute for European Analysis and Policy.
    17. Bernardina Algieri, 2015. "Price and non-price competitiveness in export demand: empirical evidence from Italy," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 42(1), pages 157-183, February.
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