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Modelling regional labour market dynamics in space and time

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  • Solmaria Halleck Vega
  • J. Paul Elhorst

Abstract

type="main" xml:lang="es"> Este artículo amplía el modelo seminal de mercado laboral regional de Blanchard y Katz con la inclusión de efectos de interacción por medio de un enfoque de datos de panel espacial dinámico. Son tres las contribuciones clave de este modelo ampliado: (i) la suposición poco realista de que las regiones son independientes entre sí ya no es necesaria; (ii) la magnitud y la importancia de los llamados efectos de spillover se pueden evaluar empíricamente; y (iii) se puede investigar las propagaciones temporal y espacial de perturbaciones en la demanda de mano de obra. Por medio de datos anuales del período 1986–2010 para 112 regiones en ocho países de la UE, se han estimado tanto los modelos no espaciales como los espaciales. Se encontró que la mayoría de los efectos de spillover son altamente significativos. De acuerdo con la teoría económica, el impacto de una perturbación de la demanda específica para una región es más grande en la región en la que se origina la perturbación. La perturbación también se propaga a otras regiones, afectando especialmente a los vecinos de primer y segundo orden.

Suggested Citation

  • Solmaria Halleck Vega & J. Paul Elhorst, 2014. "Modelling regional labour market dynamics in space and time," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(4), pages 819-841, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:93:y:2014:i:4:p:819-841
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    4. Halleck Vega, Solmaria & Elhorst, J. Paul, 2016. "A regional unemployment model simultaneously accounting for serial dynamics, spatial dependence and common factors," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-95.
    5. Danqing Chen & Jianbao Chen & Shuangshuang Li, 2021. "Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression of Spatial Dynamic Durbin Panel Data Model with Fixed Effects," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-24, December.
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    7. Evgeny V. Balatsky & Natalia A. Ekimova, 2023. "Antifragility of the national economy: A heuristic assessment," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 24(2), pages 28-49, July.
    8. Florin Oprea & Mihaela Onofrei & Dan Lupu & Georgeta Vintila & Gigel Paraschiv, 2020. "The Determinants of Economic Resilience. The Case of Eastern European Regions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-11, May.
    9. Solmaria Halleck Vega & J. Paul Elhorst, 2017. "Regional labour force participation across the European Union: a time–space recursive modelling approach with endogenous regressors," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2-3), pages 138-160, July.
    10. Luo, Dongdong & Xing, Chunbing, 2016. "Population adjustments in response to local demand shifts in China," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 101-114.
    11. Ángel L. Martín‐Román & Jaime Cuéllar‐Martín & Alfonso Moral, 2020. "Labor supply and the business cycle: The “bandwagon worker effect”," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(6), pages 1607-1642, December.
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