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Freight rates in downside and upside markets: pricing of own and spillover risks from other shipping segments

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  • Panayiotis Theodossiou
  • Dimitris Tsouknidis
  • Christos Savva

Abstract

Shipping freight rates are notoriously volatile and shipping investors are perceived to be risk loving. The paper explores the stochastic properties of freight rates in the shipping industry and derives the analytical equations for their moments in downside and upside markets by using a two‐piece extension of the generalized error distribution. Pricing equations developed across shipping segments show how conditional risk and conditional skewness are priced along with their risk spillover effects. Results reveal the existence of a positive skewness premium, suggesting that shipping investors are willing to accept lower expected returns for the opportunity to earn high pay‐offs in the future.

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  • Panayiotis Theodossiou & Dimitris Tsouknidis & Christos Savva, 2020. "Freight rates in downside and upside markets: pricing of own and spillover risks from other shipping segments," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 183(3), pages 1097-1119, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:183:y:2020:i:3:p:1097-1119
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12553
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    3. Panos K. Pouliasis & Christos Bentsos, 2024. "Oil price uncertainty and the relation to tanker shipping," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2472-2494, April.
    4. Panayiotis Theodossiou & Polina Ellina & Christos S. Savva, 2022. "Stochastic properties and pricing of bitcoin using a GJR-GARCH model with conditional skewness and kurtosis components," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 695-716, August.
    5. Kamil Makieła & Błażej Mazur, 2020. "Bayesian Model Averaging and Prior Sensitivity in Stochastic Frontier Analysis," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-22, April.
    6. Konstantinos D. Melas & Photis M. Panayides & Dimitris A. Tsouknidis, 2022. "Dynamic volatility spillovers and investor sentiment components across freight-shipping markets," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 24(2), pages 368-394, June.
    7. Konstantinos Drakos & Dimitris Tsouknidis, 2024. "Investment under uncertainty and irreversibility: Evidence from the shipping markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2139-2154, April.
    8. Ioannis Karaoulanis & Theodore Pelagidis, 2021. "Panamax markets behaviour: explaining volatility and expectations," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-24, December.
    9. Arthur J. Lin & Hai-Yen Chang & Brian Hung, 2022. "Identifying Key Financial, Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG), Bond, and COVID-19 Factors Affecting Global Shipping Companies—A Hybrid Multiple-Criteria Decision-Making Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-29, April.

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