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The Interaction Of Monetary Policy And Stock Returns

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  • William J. Crowder

Abstract

The “irrational exuberance” of the stock market in the late 1990s led to a discussion of the appropriate policy response by monetary authorities. Any response would be contingent on the stock market reaction to policy shocks. In this study, I employ a structural vector autoregression to estimate the response of the stock market returns to innovations in the federal funds rate. The role of the stock market in the Federal Reserve policy rule can also be examined empirically.

Suggested Citation

  • William J. Crowder, 2006. "The Interaction Of Monetary Policy And Stock Returns," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 29(4), pages 523-535, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfnres:v:29:y:2006:i:4:p:523-535
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-6803.2006.00192.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ben S. Bernanke & Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2005. "What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(3), pages 1221-1257, June.
    2. Stefania D'Amico & Mira Farka, 2011. "The Fed and the Stock Market: An Identification Based on Intraday Futures Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 126-137, January.
    3. Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha, 1999. "Error Bands for Impulse Responses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(5), pages 1113-1156, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Hayo & Britta Niehof, 2011. "Identification Through Heteroscedasticity in a Multicountry and Multimarket Framework," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201124, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    2. Hassan Heidari & Arash Refah Kahriz & Yousef Mohammadzadeh, 2019. "Stock market behavior of pharmaceutical industry in Iran and macroeconomic factors," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 255-277, August.
    3. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Duffy, David & Filis, George, 2013. "Stock market response to monetary and fiscal policy shocks: Multi-country evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 754-769.
    4. Chen Jo-Hui & Diaz John Francis T., 2021. "Application of grey relational analysis and artificial neural networks on currency exchange-traded notes (ETNs)," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 25(2), pages 1-17, April.
    5. Ram Chandra Bhattarai & Nayan Krishna Joshi, 2009. "Dynamic Relationship among the Stock Market and the Macroeconomic Factors," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 10(2), pages 451-469, July.
    6. Galloppo, Giuseppe & Paimanova, Viktoriia, 2017. "The impact of monetary policy on BRIC markets asset prices during global financial crises," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 21-49.
    7. Chiang, Thomas C., 2021. "Spillovers of U.S. market volatility and monetary policy uncertainty to global stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Martin T. Bohl & Pierre L. Siklos & David Sondermann, 2008. "European Stock Markets and the ECB's Monetary Policy Surprises," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(2), pages 117-130, August.
    9. Behera, Chinmaya & Rath, Badri Narayan & Mishra, Pramod Kumar, 2024. "The impact of monetary and fiscal stimulus on stock returns during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. French, Joseph J. & Naka, Atsuyuki, 2013. "Dynamic relationships among equity flows, equity returns and dividends: Behavior of U.S. investors in China and India," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 13-29.
    11. Chauvet, Marcelle & Jiang, Cheng, 2023. "Nonlinear relationship between monetary policy and stock returns: Evidence from the U.S," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    12. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk, 2016. "The infernal couple China-Oil Price and the Responses of G7 Equities: A QQ Approach," MPRA Paper 70379, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2015. "Do Stock Prices Impact Consumption and Interest Rate in South Africa? Evidence from a Time-varying Vector Autoregressive Model," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 14(2), pages 176-196, August.
    14. Arabinda Basistha & Richard Startz, 2022. "Monetary shock measurement and stock markets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(2-3), pages 685-706, March.

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