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A discrete‐time hazard analysis of the exit of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia

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  • Kelly J. Tiller
  • Shiferaw T. Feleke
  • Jane H. Starnes

Abstract

This article examines the exit and survival dynamics of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia using a discrete‐time hazard logit model. The study also predicts the effects of selected farm and family characteristics on exit hazards, assesses the proportionality of their effects over time and their relative importance in explaining the variation in exit hazards among burley tobacco growers. Results provide the longitudinal progression of the probability of exiting the tobacco industry since the end of the federal tobacco program in 2004, and identify off‐farm participation, percentage of farm receipts from tobacco, tobacco price, educational level, and farm size as the most important determinants of the decision to exit the tobacco industry. Further, the effects of off‐farm participation and farm size on the exit hazards of burley tobacco farms are proportional over time while the effects of the percentage of farm receipts from tobacco and tobacco price are time variant.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelly J. Tiller & Shiferaw T. Feleke & Jane H. Starnes, 2010. "A discrete‐time hazard analysis of the exit of burley tobacco growers in Tennessee, North Carolina, and Virginia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(5), pages 397-408, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:41:y:2010:i:5:p:397-408
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2010.00453.x
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    2. Vaiknoras, Kate A. & Larochelle, Catherine & Birol, Ekin & Asare-Marfo, Dorene & Herrington, Caitlin, 2017. "The Roles of Formal and Informal Delivery Approaches in Achieving Fast and Sustained Adoption of Biofortified Crops: Learnings from the Iron Bean Delivery Approaches in Rwanda," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258288, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
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