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Supply and demand estimates for feed grains in China

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  • Zhang Y. Zhou
  • Wei M. Tian
  • Bill Malcolm

Abstract

In the past two decades, the use of grain to feed livestock in China has increased rapidly. A number of studies have examined demand and supply of grain for animal feed in China. Forecasts have been made. Generally, these projections have turned out to be well wide of the actual supply and demand. Further, forecasts of supply and demand for feed grains for the same time periods have differed greatly. Accurate forecasts of variables affecting supply and demand benefit both producers and consumers. Past forecasts of supply and demand of feed grain for livestock production in China are reviewed and reasons for discrepancies between projections are explored. Ways to improve projections of demand for and supply of grain for livestock feed in China are identified.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhang Y. Zhou & Wei M. Tian & Bill Malcolm, 2008. "Supply and demand estimates for feed grains in China," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 111-122, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:agecon:v:39:y:2008:i:1:p:111-122
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2008.00319.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Delgado, Christopher L. & Rosegrant, Mark W. & Steinfeld, Henning & Ehui, Simeon K. & Courbois, Claude, 1999. "Livestock to 2020: the next food revolution," 2020 vision briefs 61, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Hongyun, Han, 2002. "Chinese Agricultural Water Resource Utilization in 21st Century," 2002 Conference (46th), February 13-15, 2002, Canberra, Australia 173981, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
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    Cited by:

    1. Cao, Li‐Juan & Tian, Wei‐Ming & Wang, Ji‐Min & Malcolm, Bill & Liu, Hong‐Bo & Zhou, Zhang‐Yue, 2013. "Recent Food Consumption Trends in China and Trade," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 21, pages 1-30.
    2. Sicheng Zhao & Tingyu Li & Guogang Wang & Yongxiang Zhang, 2023. "Adjustment of Meat Consumption Structure under the Dual Goals of Food Security and Carbon Reduction in China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Chao Yang Dong & Bei Bei Ma & Chun Xia LU, 2020. "Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Feed Grain Demand of Dairy Cows in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, January.
    4. Yuanyuan Chen & Changhe Lu, 2019. "Future Grain Consumption Trends and Implications on Grain Security in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-14, September.
    5. Jabbar, Mohammad A., 2008. "Feed and fodder markets in South Asia and East Africa :A synthesis of four PRA case studies:," Research Reports 181847, International Livestock Research Institute.
    6. West, Jason, 2024. "Urban food consumption temporal patterns using power law scaling," International Journal on Food System Dynamics, International Center for Management, Communication, and Research, vol. 15(01), January.
    7. Masuda, Tadayoshi & Goldsmith, Peter D., 2012. "China's Meat and Egg Production and Soybean Meal Demand for Feed: An Elasticity Analysis and Long-Term Projections," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, September.

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