IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/beo/journl/v69y2024i240p31-56.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Public And Publicly Guaranteed External Debt, Debt Servicing And Investment In Emerging Economies

Author

Listed:
  • Oluseyi Omosuyi

Abstract

The global financial crisis of 2007 gave a major boost to the debt-investment nexus debate given the astronomical growth in external debt and its associated debt servicing burdens, which constrain the fiscal space of many developed and emerging economies. Hence, this study examined the effect of external debt and debt servicing on investment in MINT countries for the period, 1990–2021 using the FMOLS estimation technique. The results show that external debt adversely affects investment in Indonesia but stimulates investment in Türkiye while debt servicing has a catastrophic effect on investment in Indonesia and Türkiye but enhances investment in Nigeria. Overall, the effect of external debt and debt servicing on investment in MINT countries are mixed. Hence, the policymakers in each country need to put measures in place to foster debt sustainability, ensure effective domestic resource mobilisation for investment purposes and promote debt transparency by adopting effective debt management practices.

Suggested Citation

  • Oluseyi Omosuyi, 2024. "Public And Publicly Guaranteed External Debt, Debt Servicing And Investment In Emerging Economies," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 69(240), pages 31-56, January –.
  • Handle: RePEc:beo:journl:v:69:y:2024:i:240:p:31-56
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.ekof.bg.ac.rs/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/240-02.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ismail O. Fasanya & Ayinke Fajobi & Abiodun Adetokunbo, 2021. "Are Fiscal Deficits Inflationary In Nigeria? New Evidence From Bounds Testing To Cointegration With Structural Breaks," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 66(228), pages 123-148, January –.
    2. Krugman, Paul, 1988. "Financing vs. forgiving a debt overhang," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 253-268, November.
    3. Toan Quoc Nguyen & Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Ms. Rina Bhattacharya, 2003. "External Debt, Public Investment, and Growth in Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2003/249, International Monetary Fund.
    4. SAUNGWEME, Talknice & ODHIAMBO, Nicholas M., 2018. "Public Debt Service And Economic Growth: A Survey Of International Literature," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(2), pages 129-142.
    5. Musibau Adetunji Babatunde & Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi, 2023. "Growth effect of trade misinvoicing in Sub-Saharan Africa: the role of governance," International Journal of Development Issues, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 22(2), pages 241-254, May.
    6. Joshua Adeyemi Ogunjimi, 2020. "Oil Price Asymmetry and Sectoral Output in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Studies, Online Science Publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15.
    7. Arsène Aurelien Njamen Kengdo & Luc Nembot Ndeffo & Désiré Avom, 2020. "The effect of external debt on domestic investment in sub-Saharan African sub-regions," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 69-82, December.
    8. Joshua Adeyemi Ogunjimi, 2020. "Oil Price Asymmetry And Sectoral Output In Nigeria," International Journal of Economics, Business and Management Studies, Pacharapa Naka, vol. 7(1), pages 1-15.
    9. Augustin Kwasi Fosu, 2007. "The External Debt-Servicing Constraint and Public Expenditure Composition: Evidence from African Economies," WIDER Working Paper Series RP2007-36, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    10. Khan, Mohsin S & Knight, Malcolm D, 1988. "Import Compression and Export Performance in Developing Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(2), pages 315-321, May.
    11. Abdulkarim Yusuf & Saidatulakmal Mohd & David McMillan, 2021. "The impact of government debt on economic growth in Nigeria," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(1), pages 1946249-194, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Naeem AKRAM*, 2017. "Role of Public Debt in Economic Growth of Sri Lanka: An ARDL Approach," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 27(2), pages 189-212.
    2. Saungweme Talknice & Odhiambo Nicholas M., 2019. "Does Public Debt Service Expenditure Crowd-Out Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from an African Developing Country," Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, Sciendo, vol. 64(3), pages 23-38, December.
    3. Sen, Swapan & Kasibhatla, Krishna M. & Stewart, David B., 2007. "Debt overhang and economic growth-the Asian and the Latin American experiences," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 3-11, March.
    4. Siddique, Abu & Selvanathan, E.A. & Selvanathan, Saroja, 2016. "The impact of external debt on growth: Evidence from highly indebted poor countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 874-894.
    5. Markus Eberhardt & Andrea F. Presbitero, 2013. "This Time They’re Different: Heterogeneity and Nonlinearity in the Relationship between Debt and Growth," Discussion Papers 2013/10, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    6. Catherine Pattillo & Hélène Poirson & Luca Antonio Ricci, 2011. "External Debt and Growth," Review of Economics and Institutions, Università di Perugia, vol. 2(3).
    7. Haytham Y.M. Ewaida, 2017. "The Impact of Sovereign Debt on Growth: An Empirical Study on GIIPS versus JUUSD Countries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 607-633.
    8. Spilioti, Stella & Vamvoukas, George, 2015. "The impact of government debt on economic growth: An empirical investigation of the Greek market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 34-40.
    9. Johansson, Pernilla, 2009. "Grants to needy countries? A study of aid composition between 1975 and 2005," Working Papers 2009:19, Lund University, Department of Economics.
    10. Serhan ÇIFTÇIOĞLU & Amin SOKHANVAR, 2018. "External Debt- Economic Growth Nexus in Selected CEE Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 85-100, December.
    11. Danny Cassimon & Marin Ferry & Marc Raffinot & Bjorn Van Campenhout, 2013. "Dynamic fiscal impact of the debt relief initiatives on african heavily indebted poor countries (HIPCs)," Working Papers DT/2013/01, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    12. Cassimon, Danny & Van Campenhout, Bjorn & Ferry, Marin & Raffinot, Marc, 2015. "Africa: Out of debt, into fiscal space? Dynamic fiscal impact of the debt relief initiatives on African Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs)," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 29-52.
    13. Presbitero, Andrea F., 2008. "Debt Relief Effectiveness and Institution Building," MPRA Paper 12597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Qayyum, Unbreen & Din, Musleh-ud & Haider, Adnan, 2014. "Foreign aid, external debt and governance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 41-52.
    15. Imbs, Jean & Ranciere, Romain, 2005. "The overhang hangover," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3673, The World Bank.
    16. Yusuf Dogan & Deniz Sukruoglu, 2022. "Analysis of External Debt-Based Growth Hypothesis with Markov Regime Switching Models for the Turkish Economy," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-1), pages 329-360, June.
    17. Swastika, Purti & Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "The Impact of Debt on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Indonesia," MPRA Paper 58837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Drine, Imed & Nabi, M. Sami, 2010. "Public external debt, informality and production efficiency in developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 487-495, March.
    19. Brian Tavonga Mazorodze, 2020. "Re-visiting the External Debt-Economic Growth Question in Zimbabwe," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 12(2), pages 1-8.
    20. Ralf Hepp, 2005. "Can Debt Relief Buy Growth?," International Finance 0510003, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    External debt; debt servicing; investment; FMOLS; MINT;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:beo:journl:v:69:y:2024:i:240:p:31-56. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Goran Petrić (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/efbeoyu.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.