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Early predictors of adolescent violence

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  • Ellickson, P.L.
  • McGuigan, K.A.

Abstract

Objectives. This study sought to identify early predictors of adolescent violence and to assess whether they vary bye sex and across different types and levels of violence. Methods. Data from a 5-year longitudinal self-report survey of more than 4300 high school seniors and dropouts from California and Oregon were used to regress measures of relational, predatory, and overall violence on predictors measured 5 years earlier. Results. Deviant behavior in grade 7, poor grades, and weak bonds with middle school predicted violent behavior 5 years later. Attending a middle school with comparatively high levels of cigarette and marijuana use was also linked with subsequent violence. Early drug use and peer drug use predicted increased levels of predatory violence but not its simple occurrence. Girls with low self-esteem during early adolescence were more likely to hit others later on; boys who attended multiple elementary schools were also more likely to engage in relational violence. Conclusions. Violence prevention programs for younger adolescents should include efforts to prevent or reduce troublesome behavior in school and poor academic performance. Adolescent girls may also profit from efforts to raise self-esteem; adolescent boys may need extra training in resisting influences that encourage deviant behavior. Programs aimed at preventing drug use may yield an added violence reduction bonus.

Suggested Citation

  • Ellickson, P.L. & McGuigan, K.A., 2000. "Early predictors of adolescent violence," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 90(4), pages 566-572.
  • Handle: RePEc:aph:ajpbhl:2000:90:4:566-572_9
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    Cited by:

    1. Wencai Hu & Mengru Sun, 2023. "COVID-19 Stressors and Aggression among Chinese College Students: The Mediation Role of Coping Strategies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-13, February.
    2. Ison, Stephen & Rye, Tom, 2003. "Lessons from travel planning and road user charging for policy-making: through imperfection to implementation," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 223-233, July.
    3. Lee, Jungup & Randolph, Karen A., 2015. "Effects of parental monitoring on aggressive behavior among youth in the United States and South Korea: A cross-national study," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-9.
    4. Ibabe, Izaskun & Jaureguizar, Joana, 2010. "Child-to-parent violence: Profile of abusive adolescents and their families," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 616-624, July.
    5. Li, Qingyi & Cheng, Tyrone C., 2017. "New evidence in physical violent behaviors among school-aged children: A multiple disadvantages model," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 301-308.
    6. Zimmerman, Gregory M. & Rees, Carter, 2014. "Do school disciplinary policies have positive social impacts? Examining the attenuating effects of school policies on the relationship between personal and peer delinquency," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 54-65.
    7. McCluskey, Cynthia Perez & McCluskey, John D. & Bynum, Timothy S., 2006. "Early onset offending and later violent and gun outcomes in a contemporary youth cohort," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 531-541.
    8. Yolanda Zografova & Ekaterina Evtimova Dimitrova, 2023. "The Role of Family and Media Environment on Aggressive Behaviour in Bulgarian Schools," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, October.

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