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Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies

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  • Maigana Alhaji Bakawu

    (Department of Statistics, Mai Idris Alooma Polytechnic Geidam, Nigeria)

Abstract

This paper presents a fuzzy time series methodology for forecasting demographic trends that could serve as a scientific approach toward a feasible and sustainable socio-economic development policies. In the experimental section, empirical analysis of population variation of Yobe State, Nigeria spanning over periods of 1996 – 2020 was carried out. The result revealed that FTS model can be used as an appropriate forecasting tool to predict population variations. It is expected that the findings of this research will benefit the present government’s drive on education among other socio-economic conditions of Yobe State as the government declared a state of emergency in the basic and secondary education in the state on the occasion of its inauguration and swearing-in ceremony on 29th May, 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Maigana Alhaji Bakawu, 2021. "Demographic Trends Forecasting: A Panacea for Sustainable Education Development Policies," International Journal of Science and Business, IJSAB International, vol. 5(7), pages 118-126.
    • Handle: RePEc:aif:journl:v:5:y:2021:i:7:p:118-126
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. -, 2020. "Education in the time of COVID-19," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 45905 edited by Eclac.
    2. Himadri Ghosh & S. Chowdhury & Prajneshu, 2016. "An improved fuzzy time-series method of forecasting based on L -- R fuzzy sets and its application," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 1128-1139, May.
    3. -, 2020. "Education in the time of COVID-19," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 45905 edited by Eclac.
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