IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/jlaare/264070.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Managing Catastrophic Risk in Agriculture through Ex Ante Subsidized Insurance or Ex Post Disaster Aid

Author

Listed:
  • Bulut, Harun

Abstract

We consider a political economy in which government cares about risk-averse farmers’ loss of income but incurs political cost if it provides monetary support to farmers. Farmers’ expectations of government disaster aid and overconfidence (optimism bias) regarding their risk prevent farmers from purchasing full insurance under actuarially fair rates. Considering this conclusion, government prefers to subsidize farmers’ purchases of insurance ex ante rather than solely relying on disaster aid ex post. The resulting subsidy rate depends on the political environment, the degree of systemic risk, the distribution of farmers’ risk preferences, and the nature and distribution of farmers’ risk perceptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Bulut, Harun, 2017. "Managing Catastrophic Risk in Agriculture through Ex Ante Subsidized Insurance or Ex Post Disaster Aid," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(3), September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:264070
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.264070
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/264070/files/JARE%2CSeptember2017%2C%237%2CBulut%2C406-426withSupplement.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/264070/files/JARE%2CSeptember2017%2C%237%2CBulut%2C406-426withSupplement.pdf?subformat=pdfa
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.264070?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Brent Hueth, 2000. "The Goals of U.S. Agricultural Policy: A Mechanism Design Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(1), pages 14-24.
    2. Xiaodong Du & Hongli Feng & David A. Hennessy, 2017. "Rationality of Choices in Subsidized Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 732-756.
    3. Richard H. Thaler, 2008. "Commentary—Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice: Anatomy of a Failure," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(1), pages 12-14, 01-02.
    4. Guesnerie, Roger & Laffont, Jean-Jacques, 1984. "A complete solution to a class of principal-agent problems with an application to the control of a self-managed firm," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 329-369, December.
    5. Zulauf, Carl & Orden, David, 2014. "The US Agricultural Act of 2014: Overview and analysis:," IFPRI discussion papers 1393, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Woodard, Joshua D., 2016. "Crop Insurance Demand More Elastic than Previously Thought," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-7.
    7. Georges Dionne (ed.), 2013. "Handbook of Insurance," Springer Books, Springer, edition 2, number 978-1-4614-0155-1, December.
    8. Richard H. Thaler, 2008. "Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(1), pages 15-25, 01-02.
    9. Babcock, Bruce A. & Choi, E. Kwan & Feinerman, Eli, 1993. "Risk And Probability Premiums For Cara Utility Functions," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 1-8, July.
    10. Olivier Mahul & Charles J. Stutley, 2010. "Government Support to Agricultural Insurance : Challenges and Options for Developing Countries," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2432.
    11. Robert Innes, 2003. "Crop Insurance in a Political Economy: An Alternative Perspective on Agricultural Policy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 85(2), pages 318-335.
    12. Barry K. Goodwin & Ligia A. Vado, 2007. "Public Responses to Agricultural Disasters: Rethinking the Role of Government," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 55(4), pages 399-417, December.
    13. Steven Shavell, 2014. "A General Rationale for a Governmental Role in the Relief of Large Risks," NBER Working Papers 20192, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Steven Shavell, 2014. "A general rationale for a governmental role in the relief of large risks," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 213-234, December.
    15. Stefano DellaVigna, 2009. "Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 315-372, June.
    16. Sherrick, Bruce J., 2002. "The Accuracy Of Producers' Probability Beliefs: Evidence And Implications For Insurance Valuation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-17, July.
    17. Ifft, Jennifer & Kuethe, Todd H. & Morehart, Mitchell, 2013. "Farm Debt Use by Farms with Crop Insurance," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 28(3), pages 1-5.
    18. Barry K. Goodwin & Vincent H. Smith, 2013. "What Harm Is Done By Subsidizing Crop Insurance?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(2), pages 489-497.
    19. Patrick, Kevin & Ifft, Jennifer & Kuethe, Todd, 2013. "Debt Use by Farms with Crop Insurance," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 3, November.
    20. Harun Bulut & Keith J. Collins & Thomas P. Zacharias, 2012. "Optimal Coverage Level Choice with Individual and Area Insurance Plans," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1013-1023.
    21. Collins, Keith J. & Bulut, Harun, 2011. "Crop Insurance And The Future Farm Safety Net," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 26(4), pages 1-7.
    22. Carl H. Nelson & Edna T. Loehman, 1987. "Further Toward a Theory of Agricultural Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 69(3), pages 523-531.
    23. Jensen, Mark, 2017. "Crop Insurance - Impact to Ag Finance," Agricultural Outlook Forum 2017 260538, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum.
    24. John Duncan & Robert J. Myers, 2000. "Crop Insurance under Catastrophic Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 82(4), pages 842-855.
    25. Keith H. Coble & Barry J. Barnett, 2013. "Why Do We Subsidize Crop Insurance?," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 95(2), pages 498-504.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bulut, Harun, 2016. "Economic Design for the Supply Side of Agricultural Insurance Markets," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236008, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Fezzi, Carlo & Menapace, Luisa & Raffaelli, Roberta, 2021. "Estimating risk preferences integrating insurance choices with subjective beliefs," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    3. Hongli Feng & Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy, 2020. "Depressed demand for crop insurance contracts, and a rationale based on third generation Prospect Theory," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(1), pages 59-73, January.
    4. Mingyu Hu & Fujin Yi & Hong Zhou & Feier Yan, 2024. "The More the Better? Reconsidering the Welfare Effect of Crop Insurance Premium Subsidy," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-19, November.
    5. Xiaodong Du & Hongli Feng & David A. Hennessy, 2017. "Rationality of Choices in Subsidized Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 732-756.
    6. Bulut, Harun, 2016. "U.S. Farmers’ Insurance Choices under Expected Utility Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236019, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Xuche Gong & David A. Hennessy & Hongli Feng, 2023. "Systemic risk, relative subsidy rates, and area yield insurance choice," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(3), pages 888-913, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bulut, Harun & Collins, Keith J., 2013. "Political Economy of Crop Insurance Risk Subsidies under Imperfect Information," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150577, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Fabio G Santeramo, 2019. "I Learn, You Learn, We Gain Experience in Crop Insurance Markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(2), pages 284-304, June.
    3. Bulut, Harun, 2016. "U.S. Farmers’ Insurance Choices under Expected Utility Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236019, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. Bulut, Harun, 2016. "Economic Design for the Supply Side of Agricultural Insurance Markets," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236008, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Xiaodong Du & Hongli Feng & David A. Hennessy, 2017. "Rationality of Choices in Subsidized Crop Insurance Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 99(3), pages 732-756.
    6. Alexandre Gohin, 2019. "General Equilibrium Modelling of the Insurance Industry: U.S. Crop Insurance," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 4(2), pages 108-145, December.
    7. Eric J Belasco & Joseph Cooper & Vincent H Smith, 2020. "The Development of a Weather‐based Crop Disaster Program," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(1), pages 240-258, January.
    8. Tobias Dalhaus & Barry J Barnett & Robert Finger, 2020. "Behavioral weather insurance: Applying cumulative prospect theory to agricultural insurance design under narrow framing," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-25, May.
    9. Woodard, Joshua, 2016. "Estimation of Insurance Deductible Demand under Endogenous Premium Rates," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236151, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Luckstead, Jeff & Devadoss, Stephen, 2016. "Implication of 2014 Farm Policies for Wheat Production," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235362, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Jisang Yu & Edward D. Perry, 2024. "Premium subsidies and selection in the federal crop insurance program," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 280-297, February.
    12. Jisang Yu & Daniel A. Sumner, 2018. "Effects of subsidized crop insurance on crop choices," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(4), pages 533-545, July.
    13. Jesse Tack & Keith Coble & Barry Barnett, 2018. "Warming temperatures will likely induce higher premium rates and government outlays for the U.S. crop insurance program," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(5), pages 635-647, September.
    14. Yugang Ding & Cheng Sun, 2022. "Does agricultural insurance promote primary industry production? Evidence from a quasi-experiment in China," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 47(2), pages 434-459, April.
    15. Jake An & Donnel Briley & Shai Danziger & Shai Levi, 2023. "The Impact of Social Investing on Charitable Donations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 1264-1274, February.
    16. Matthew Stuart & Cindy Yu & David A. Hennessy, 2023. "The Impact of Stocks on Correlations between Crop Yields and Prices and on Revenue Insurance Premiums using Semiparametric Quantile Regression," Papers 2308.11805, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    17. Zhang, Li, 2008. "Three essays on agricultural risk and insurance," ISU General Staff Papers 2008010108000016857, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    18. Eduard Marinov, 2017. "The 2017 Nobel Prize in Economics," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 117-159.
    19. William M. Fonta & Safietou Sanfo & Abbi M. Kedir & Djiby R. Thiam, 2018. "Estimating farmers’ willingness to pay for weather index-based crop insurance uptake in West Africa: Insight from a pilot initiative in Southwestern Burkina Faso," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 6(1), pages 1-20, December.
    20. Miao, Ruiqing & Hennessy, David A. & Feng, Hongli, 2016. "The Effects of Crop Insurance Subsidies and Sodsaver on Land-Use Change," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 41(2), May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:264070. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/waeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.