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U.S. Farmers’ Insurance Choices under Expected Utility Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory

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  • Bulut, Harun

Abstract

Towards explaining regional differences in U.S. farmers’ crop insurance choices, we propose a budget heuristic effect within the standard Expected Utility Theory (EUT) framework and conduct theoretical and simulation analyses. We also disentangle the effects of various aspects the cumulative prospect theory (CPT) framework in a separate simulation analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Bulut, Harun, 2016. "U.S. Farmers’ Insurance Choices under Expected Utility Theory and Cumulative Prospect Theory," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 236019, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea16:236019
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.236019
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bruce A. Babcock, 2015. "Using Cumulative Prospect Theory to Explain Anomalous Crop Insurance Coverage Choice," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 97(5), pages 1371-1384.
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    7. Coppess, Jonathan & Sherrick, Bruce & Schnitkey, Gary, 2014. "Evaluating the Actual Production History Yield Exclusion Provision of the 2014 Farm Bill," farmdoc daily, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-7, September.
    8. Heerman, Kari E.R. & Cooper, Joseph & Johansson, Robert & Worth, Thomas, 2016. "Farmer response to crop insurance incentives under heterogeneous risk-management strategies," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235967, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Harun Bulut & Keith J. Collins, 2014. "Designing farm supplemental revenue coverage options on top of crop insurance coverage," Agricultural Finance Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 74(3), pages 397-426, August.
    10. Alexis Louaas & Pierre Picard, 2014. "Optimal Insurance For Catastrophic Risk: Theory And Application To Nuclear Corporate Liability," Working Papers hal-01097897, HAL.
    11. Xiaodong Du & David A. Hennessy & Hongli Feng, 2014. "A Natural Resource Theory of U.S. Crop Insurance Contract Choice," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 96(1), pages 232-252.
    12. Richard H. Thaler, 2008. "Commentary—Mental Accounting and Consumer Choice: Anatomy of a Failure," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(1), pages 12-14, 01-02.
    13. Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. "Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
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    15. Babcock, Bruce, 2015. "Using Prospect Theory to Explain Anomalous Crop Insurance Coverage Choice," 2015 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 3-5, 2015, Boston, Massachusetts 189682, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Bulut, Harun, 2017. "Managing Catastrophic Risk in Agriculture through Ex Ante Subsidized Insurance or Ex Post Disaster Aid," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(3), September.
    17. Harun Bulut & Keith J. Collins & Thomas P. Zacharias, 2012. "Optimal Coverage Level Choice with Individual and Area Insurance Plans," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1013-1023.
    18. Barry K. Goodwin, 1993. "An Empirical Analysis of the Demand for Multiple Peril Crop Insurance," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 75(2), pages 425-434.
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    Cited by:

    1. Shin, Soye, 2018. "Better understanding of Demand for Weather Index Insurance among Smallholder Farmers under Prospect Theory," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274477, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Lauriane Yehouenou & Barry J Barnett & Ardian Harri & Keith H Coble, 2018. "STAX Appeal?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 563-584, December.

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