IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/ajaeau/22331.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Basis Risk And Hedging Strategies For Australian Wheat Exports

Author

Listed:
  • Bond, Gary E.
  • Thompson, Stanley R.
  • Geldard, Jane M.

Abstract

Basis risk can play a significant role in the determination of effective hedging strategies. In this paper a portfolio framework is developed to examine the effect of basis risk on hedging strategies for Australian wheat exports. Monthly data for the period 1977 to 1984 were used to implement the analytical framework. While the traditional definition of hedging implies a hedge ratio of unity, the results of this research show that the average ratio of optimal hedge to stockholding is well below unity. Evolving market conditions can also cause the optimal hedge ratio to vary substantially over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Bond, Gary E. & Thompson, Stanley R. & Geldard, Jane M., 1985. "Basis Risk And Hedging Strategies For Australian Wheat Exports," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 29(3), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:ajaeau:22331
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.22331
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/22331/files/29030199.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.22331?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Peter Berck, 1981. "Portfolio Theory and the Demand for Futures: The Case of California Cotton," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(3), pages 466-474.
    2. Mishkin, Frederic S, 1982. "Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Matter? An Econometric Investigation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(1), pages 22-51, February.
    3. Makin, John H, 1982. "Anticipated Money, Inflation Uncertainty and Real Economic Activity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 64(1), pages 126-134, February.
    4. Avraham Kamara, 1982. "Issues in futures markets: A survey," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 2(3), pages 261-294, September.
    5. C. A. Carter & R. M. A. Loyns, 1985. "Hedging Feedlot Cattle: A Canadian Perspective," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(1), pages 32-39.
    6. Gary E. Bond & Stanley R. Thompson, 1985. "Risk Aversion and the Recommended Hedging Ratio," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(4), pages 870-872.
    7. Rolfo, Jacques, 1980. "Optimal Hedging under Price and Quantity Uncertainty: The Case of a Cocoa Producer," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 88(1), pages 100-116, February.
    8. Anne E. Peck, 1975. "Hedging and Income Stability: Concepts, Implications, and an Example," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 57(3), pages 410-419.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Simmons, Phil, 1999. "Does Separation Theorem Explain Why Farmers Have So Little Interest In Futures Markets?," Working Papers 12933, University of New England, School of Economics.
    2. Simmons, Phil & Rambaldi, Alicia N., 1997. "Potential demand for hedging by Australian wheat producers," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 41(2), pages 1-12.
    3. Prehn, Sören & Feil, Jan-Henning, 2017. "Why millers prefer to hedge at the KCBoT and grain elevator operators at the CBoT," 2017 International Congress, August 28-September 1, 2017, Parma, Italy 261262, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Research On Futures Markets: Issues, Approaches, And Empirical Findings," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, July.
    5. Carter, Colin A., 1999. "Commodity futures markets: a survey," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 43(2), pages 1-39, June.
    6. Frechette, Darren L., 2000. "Hedging With Futures And Options: A Demand Systems Approach," 2000 Conference, April 17-18 2000, Chicago, Illinois 18941, NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    7. Hegde, S. Aaron, 2004. "An Economic History Of The Failure Of Broiler Futures," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20397, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. David J. Pannell & Getu Hailu & Alfons Weersink & Amanda Burt, 2008. "More reasons why farmers have so little interest in futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 39(1), pages 41-50, July.
    2. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Research On Futures Markets: Issues, Approaches, And Empirical Findings," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, July.
    3. Alexander, Vickie J. & Musser, Wesley N. & Mason, George, 1986. "Futures Markets And Firm Decisions Under Price, Production, And Financial Uncertainty," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Duncan, Steven Scott, 1988. "The relevant forecast of variance of income for marketing decisions under uncertainty," ISU General Staff Papers 198801010800009839, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    5. Jules Sadefo Kamdem & Zoulkiflou Moumouni, 2020. "Comparison of Some Static Hedging Models of Agricultural Commodities Price Uncertainty," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 631-655, September.
    6. Zoulkiflou Moumouni & Jules Sadefo-Kamdem, 2019. "New models of commodity risk hedging according to the behavior of economic decision-makers or Rollover Strategies," Working Papers hal-02417459, HAL.
    7. Tronstad, Russell, 1989. "Optimal Cash Grain Sale, Storage, and Hedging Decisions for Grain Producers: A Stochastic Dynamic Programming Analysis," 1989 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 2, Baton Rouge, Louisiana 270518, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Ali F. Darrat, 1985. "Does Anticipated Fiscal Policy Matter? The Italian Evidence," Public Finance Review, , vol. 13(3), pages 339-352, July.
    9. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Hedging Objectives, Hedging Markets, And The Relevant Range Of Hedge Ratios," Working Papers 225826, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    10. Tabesh, Hamid, 1987. "Hedging price risk to soybean producers with futures and options: a case study," ISU General Staff Papers 1987010108000010306, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    11. Puntsag, Davgadorj, 2020. "Mongolian mineral export basket risk: A Portfolio theory approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    12. Novak, Frank & Bauer, Leonard & Dailly, Sally & Melvin, Richard, 1992. "An Analysis of Risk and Return in Hog Finishing," Project Report Series 232358, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    13. Paul Oslington, 2012. "General Equilibrium: Theory and Evidence," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 88(282), pages 446-448, September.
    14. Dubman, Robert W., 1988. "Establishing Peanut Purchasing Contract Terms With Uncertain Market Prices And Input Supplies," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 19(1), pages 1-14, February.
    15. Stückler, Maria, 2002. "Handel auf Terminkontraktmärkten," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 80, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    16. Wilson, William W., 1982. "Hedging Effectiveness of U.S. Wheat Futures Markets," Agricultural Economics Reports 23215, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    17. Feil, J.-H. & Anastassiadis, F. & Mußhoff, O. & Schilling, P., 2015. "Analysing Farmers’ Use of Price Hedging Instruments: An Experimental Approach," Proceedings “Schriften der Gesellschaft für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften des Landbaues e.V.”, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA), vol. 50, March.
    18. Robert J. Myers & Stanley R. Thompson, 1989. "Generalized Optimal Hedge Ratio Estimation," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 71(4), pages 858-868.
    19. Robert P. Flood & Robert J. Hodrick, 1985. "Optimal Price and Inventory Adjustment in an Open-Economy Model of the Business Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 100(Supplemen), pages 887-914.
    20. Mumey, G.A. & Bauer, L. & Boyda, A., 1988. "An Estimate of Risk and Returns From Cropping Alternatives," Project Report Series 232065, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:ajaeau:22331. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaresea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.