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An Economic History Of The Failure Of Broiler Futures

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  • Hegde, S. Aaron

Abstract

Hedging with a futures market is one risk management alternative available to producers of most agricultural commodities. However, such an option is unavailable to broiler growers as there are no active broiler futures. Over the last 40 years there were three occasions during which futures were available for broilers. Each of the three markets failed to catch on and were thus removed from trading. We investigate the reasons for the failures time and time again. Using an econometric model, we find that the presence of a relatively efficient cross-hedge was a major reason the broiler futures collapsed.

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  • Hegde, S. Aaron, 2004. "An Economic History Of The Failure Of Broiler Futures," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20397, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea04:20397
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.20397
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Leland L. Johnson, 1960. "The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 27(3), pages 139-151.
    2. Peter Berck, 1981. "Portfolio Theory and the Demand for Futures: The Case of California Cotton," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 63(3), pages 466-474.
    3. MacDonald, James M. & Ollinger, Michael & Nelson, Kenneth E. & Handy, Charles R., 2000. "Consolidation In U.S. Meatpacking," Agricultural Economic Reports 34021, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Charles R. Knoeber & Walter N. Thurman, 1995. ""Don't Count Your Chickens...": Risk and Risk Shifting in the Broiler Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(3), pages 486-496.
    5. John D. Lawrence & Ted C. Schroeder & Marvin L. Hayenga, 2001. "Evolving Producer-Packer-Customer Linkages in the Beef and Pork Industries," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2), pages 370-385.
    6. Sandor, Richard L, 1973. "Innovation by an Exchange: A Case Study of the Development of the Plywood Futures Contract," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 16(1), pages 119-136, April.
    7. Bond, Gary E. & Thompson, Stanley R. & Geldard, Jane M., 1985. "Basis Risk And Hedging Strategies For Australian Wheat Exports," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 29(3), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Gerda Blau, 1944. "Some Aspects of the Theory of Futures Trading," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 12(1), pages 1-30.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fizaine, Florian, 2018. "Toward generalization of futures contracts for raw materials: A probabilistic answer applied to metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 379-388.

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